How Do Floods and Drought Impact Economic Growth and Human Development at the Sub-National Level in India?

This paper tries to shift the focus of research on the impact of natural disasters on economic growth from global and national levels to sub-national levels. Inadequate sub-national level information is a significant lacuna for planning spatially targeted climate change adaptation investments. A fix...

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Main Authors: Upali Amarasinghe, Giriraj Amarnath, Niranga Alahacoon, Surajit Ghosh
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2020-10-01
Series:Climate
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2225-1154/8/11/123
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author Upali Amarasinghe
Giriraj Amarnath
Niranga Alahacoon
Surajit Ghosh
author_facet Upali Amarasinghe
Giriraj Amarnath
Niranga Alahacoon
Surajit Ghosh
author_sort Upali Amarasinghe
collection DOAJ
description This paper tries to shift the focus of research on the impact of natural disasters on economic growth from global and national levels to sub-national levels. Inadequate sub-national level information is a significant lacuna for planning spatially targeted climate change adaptation investments. A fixed-effect panel regression analyses of 19 states from 2001 to 2015 assess the impacts of exposure to floods and droughts on the growth of gross state domestic product (GSDP) and human development index (HDI) in India. The flood and drought exposure are estimated using satellite data. The 19 states comprise 95% of the population and contribute 93% to the national GDP. The results show that floods indeed expose a large area, but droughts have the most significant impacts at the sub-national level. The most affected GSDPs are in the non-agriculture sectors, positively by the floods and negatively by droughts. No significant influence on human development may be due to substantial investment on mitigation of flood and drought impacts and their influence on better income, health, and education conditions. Because some Indian states still have a large geographical area, profiling disasters impacts at even smaller sub-national units such as districts can lead to effective targeted mitigation and adaptation activities, reduce shocks, and accelerate income growth and human development.
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spelling doaj.art-8a9d533b72dd4f13b6e8626535ea97632023-11-20T18:27:55ZengMDPI AGClimate2225-11542020-10-0181112310.3390/cli8110123How Do Floods and Drought Impact Economic Growth and Human Development at the Sub-National Level in India?Upali Amarasinghe0Giriraj Amarnath1Niranga Alahacoon2Surajit Ghosh3International Water Management Institute (IWMI), 127 Sunil Mawatha, Pelawatte, Colombo 10120, Sri LankaInternational Water Management Institute (IWMI), 127 Sunil Mawatha, Pelawatte, Colombo 10120, Sri LankaInternational Water Management Institute (IWMI), 127 Sunil Mawatha, Pelawatte, Colombo 10120, Sri LankaInternational Water Management Institute (IWMI), 127 Sunil Mawatha, Pelawatte, Colombo 10120, Sri LankaThis paper tries to shift the focus of research on the impact of natural disasters on economic growth from global and national levels to sub-national levels. Inadequate sub-national level information is a significant lacuna for planning spatially targeted climate change adaptation investments. A fixed-effect panel regression analyses of 19 states from 2001 to 2015 assess the impacts of exposure to floods and droughts on the growth of gross state domestic product (GSDP) and human development index (HDI) in India. The flood and drought exposure are estimated using satellite data. The 19 states comprise 95% of the population and contribute 93% to the national GDP. The results show that floods indeed expose a large area, but droughts have the most significant impacts at the sub-national level. The most affected GSDPs are in the non-agriculture sectors, positively by the floods and negatively by droughts. No significant influence on human development may be due to substantial investment on mitigation of flood and drought impacts and their influence on better income, health, and education conditions. Because some Indian states still have a large geographical area, profiling disasters impacts at even smaller sub-national units such as districts can lead to effective targeted mitigation and adaptation activities, reduce shocks, and accelerate income growth and human development.https://www.mdpi.com/2225-1154/8/11/123floodsdroughtsgross domestic productHDIsatellite datastates
spellingShingle Upali Amarasinghe
Giriraj Amarnath
Niranga Alahacoon
Surajit Ghosh
How Do Floods and Drought Impact Economic Growth and Human Development at the Sub-National Level in India?
Climate
floods
droughts
gross domestic product
HDI
satellite data
states
title How Do Floods and Drought Impact Economic Growth and Human Development at the Sub-National Level in India?
title_full How Do Floods and Drought Impact Economic Growth and Human Development at the Sub-National Level in India?
title_fullStr How Do Floods and Drought Impact Economic Growth and Human Development at the Sub-National Level in India?
title_full_unstemmed How Do Floods and Drought Impact Economic Growth and Human Development at the Sub-National Level in India?
title_short How Do Floods and Drought Impact Economic Growth and Human Development at the Sub-National Level in India?
title_sort how do floods and drought impact economic growth and human development at the sub national level in india
topic floods
droughts
gross domestic product
HDI
satellite data
states
url https://www.mdpi.com/2225-1154/8/11/123
work_keys_str_mv AT upaliamarasinghe howdofloodsanddroughtimpacteconomicgrowthandhumandevelopmentatthesubnationallevelinindia
AT girirajamarnath howdofloodsanddroughtimpacteconomicgrowthandhumandevelopmentatthesubnationallevelinindia
AT nirangaalahacoon howdofloodsanddroughtimpacteconomicgrowthandhumandevelopmentatthesubnationallevelinindia
AT surajitghosh howdofloodsanddroughtimpacteconomicgrowthandhumandevelopmentatthesubnationallevelinindia