New Feature Selection Approach for Photovoltaïc Power Forecasting Using KCDE

Feature selection helps improve the accuracy and computational time of solar forecasting. However, FS is often passed by or conducted with methods that do not suit the solar forecasting issue, such as filter or linear methods. In this study, we propose a wrapper method termed Sequential Forward Sele...

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Main Authors: Jérémy Macaire, Sara Zermani, Laurent Linguet
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2023-09-01
Series:Energies
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/16/19/6842
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author Jérémy Macaire
Sara Zermani
Laurent Linguet
author_facet Jérémy Macaire
Sara Zermani
Laurent Linguet
author_sort Jérémy Macaire
collection DOAJ
description Feature selection helps improve the accuracy and computational time of solar forecasting. However, FS is often passed by or conducted with methods that do not suit the solar forecasting issue, such as filter or linear methods. In this study, we propose a wrapper method termed Sequential Forward Selection (SFS), with a Kernel Conditional Density Estimator (KCDE) named SFS-KCDE, as FS to forecast day-ahead regional PV power production in French Guiana. This method was compared to three other FS methods used in earlier studies: the Pearson correlation method, the RReliefF (RRF) method, and SFS using a linear regression. It has been shown that SFS-KCDE outperforms other FS methods, particularly for overcast sky conditions. Moreover, Wrapper methods show better forecasting performance than filter methods and should be used.
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spelling doaj.art-8ab4c3daa8194d8f8f6f008adb16213b2023-11-19T14:19:36ZengMDPI AGEnergies1996-10732023-09-011619684210.3390/en16196842New Feature Selection Approach for Photovoltaïc Power Forecasting Using KCDEJérémy Macaire0Sara Zermani1Laurent Linguet2Espace pour le Développement (Espace-Dev), Université de Guyane, 97300 Cayenne, FranceEspace pour le Développement (Espace-Dev), Université de Guyane, 97300 Cayenne, FranceEspace pour le Développement (Espace-Dev), Université de Guyane, 97300 Cayenne, FranceFeature selection helps improve the accuracy and computational time of solar forecasting. However, FS is often passed by or conducted with methods that do not suit the solar forecasting issue, such as filter or linear methods. In this study, we propose a wrapper method termed Sequential Forward Selection (SFS), with a Kernel Conditional Density Estimator (KCDE) named SFS-KCDE, as FS to forecast day-ahead regional PV power production in French Guiana. This method was compared to three other FS methods used in earlier studies: the Pearson correlation method, the RReliefF (RRF) method, and SFS using a linear regression. It has been shown that SFS-KCDE outperforms other FS methods, particularly for overcast sky conditions. Moreover, Wrapper methods show better forecasting performance than filter methods and should be used.https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/16/19/6842photovoltaic power forecastingfeature selectionmachine learningKernel conditional density estimator
spellingShingle Jérémy Macaire
Sara Zermani
Laurent Linguet
New Feature Selection Approach for Photovoltaïc Power Forecasting Using KCDE
Energies
photovoltaic power forecasting
feature selection
machine learning
Kernel conditional density estimator
title New Feature Selection Approach for Photovoltaïc Power Forecasting Using KCDE
title_full New Feature Selection Approach for Photovoltaïc Power Forecasting Using KCDE
title_fullStr New Feature Selection Approach for Photovoltaïc Power Forecasting Using KCDE
title_full_unstemmed New Feature Selection Approach for Photovoltaïc Power Forecasting Using KCDE
title_short New Feature Selection Approach for Photovoltaïc Power Forecasting Using KCDE
title_sort new feature selection approach for photovoltaic power forecasting using kcde
topic photovoltaic power forecasting
feature selection
machine learning
Kernel conditional density estimator
url https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/16/19/6842
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