Developing a Long Short-Term Memory-Based Model for Forecasting the Daily Energy Consumption of Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning Systems in Buildings

Forecasting the energy consumption of heating, ventilating, and air conditioning systems is important for the energy efficiency and sustainability of buildings. In fact, conventional models present limitations in these systems due to their complexity and unpredictability. To overcome this, the long...

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Main Authors: Luis Mendoza-Pittí, Huriviades Calderón-Gómez, José Manuel Gómez-Pulido, Miguel Vargas-Lombardo, José Luis Castillo-Sequera, Clara Simon de Blas
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2021-07-01
Series:Applied Sciences
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3417/11/15/6722
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author Luis Mendoza-Pittí
Huriviades Calderón-Gómez
José Manuel Gómez-Pulido
Miguel Vargas-Lombardo
José Luis Castillo-Sequera
Clara Simon de Blas
author_facet Luis Mendoza-Pittí
Huriviades Calderón-Gómez
José Manuel Gómez-Pulido
Miguel Vargas-Lombardo
José Luis Castillo-Sequera
Clara Simon de Blas
author_sort Luis Mendoza-Pittí
collection DOAJ
description Forecasting the energy consumption of heating, ventilating, and air conditioning systems is important for the energy efficiency and sustainability of buildings. In fact, conventional models present limitations in these systems due to their complexity and unpredictability. To overcome this, the long short-term memory-based model is employed in this work. Our objective is to develop and evaluate a model to forecast the daily energy consumption of heating, ventilating, and air conditioning systems in buildings. For this purpose, we apply a comprehensive methodology that allows us to obtain a robust, generalizable, and reliable model by tuning different parameters. The results show that the proposed model achieves a significant improvement in the coefficient of variation of root mean square error of 9.5% compared to that proposed by international agencies. We conclude that these results provide an encouraging outlook for its implementation as an intelligent service for decision making, capable of overcoming the problems of other noise-sensitive models affected by data variations and disturbances without the need for expert knowledge in the domain.
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spelling doaj.art-8b28c65f554741b38dc63415956b25022023-11-22T05:18:29ZengMDPI AGApplied Sciences2076-34172021-07-011115672210.3390/app11156722Developing a Long Short-Term Memory-Based Model for Forecasting the Daily Energy Consumption of Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning Systems in BuildingsLuis Mendoza-Pittí0Huriviades Calderón-Gómez1José Manuel Gómez-Pulido2Miguel Vargas-Lombardo3José Luis Castillo-Sequera4Clara Simon de Blas5Department of Computer Science, University of Alcalá, 28805 Alcalá de Henares, SpainDepartment of Computer Science, University of Alcalá, 28805 Alcalá de Henares, SpainDepartment of Computer Science, University of Alcalá, 28805 Alcalá de Henares, SpainSNI, Senacyt Panama, E-Health and Supercomputing Research Group (GISES), Technological University of Panama, Panama City 0819-07289, PanamaDepartment of Computer Science, University of Alcalá, 28805 Alcalá de Henares, SpainDepartment of Computer’s Sciences, Technical School of Computer Engineering, Rey Juan Carlos University, 28933 Madrid, SpainForecasting the energy consumption of heating, ventilating, and air conditioning systems is important for the energy efficiency and sustainability of buildings. In fact, conventional models present limitations in these systems due to their complexity and unpredictability. To overcome this, the long short-term memory-based model is employed in this work. Our objective is to develop and evaluate a model to forecast the daily energy consumption of heating, ventilating, and air conditioning systems in buildings. For this purpose, we apply a comprehensive methodology that allows us to obtain a robust, generalizable, and reliable model by tuning different parameters. The results show that the proposed model achieves a significant improvement in the coefficient of variation of root mean square error of 9.5% compared to that proposed by international agencies. We conclude that these results provide an encouraging outlook for its implementation as an intelligent service for decision making, capable of overcoming the problems of other noise-sensitive models affected by data variations and disturbances without the need for expert knowledge in the domain.https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3417/11/15/6722daily energy consumptiondeep learningforecasting modelHVAC systemslong short-term memoryshort-term forecast
spellingShingle Luis Mendoza-Pittí
Huriviades Calderón-Gómez
José Manuel Gómez-Pulido
Miguel Vargas-Lombardo
José Luis Castillo-Sequera
Clara Simon de Blas
Developing a Long Short-Term Memory-Based Model for Forecasting the Daily Energy Consumption of Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning Systems in Buildings
Applied Sciences
daily energy consumption
deep learning
forecasting model
HVAC systems
long short-term memory
short-term forecast
title Developing a Long Short-Term Memory-Based Model for Forecasting the Daily Energy Consumption of Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning Systems in Buildings
title_full Developing a Long Short-Term Memory-Based Model for Forecasting the Daily Energy Consumption of Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning Systems in Buildings
title_fullStr Developing a Long Short-Term Memory-Based Model for Forecasting the Daily Energy Consumption of Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning Systems in Buildings
title_full_unstemmed Developing a Long Short-Term Memory-Based Model for Forecasting the Daily Energy Consumption of Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning Systems in Buildings
title_short Developing a Long Short-Term Memory-Based Model for Forecasting the Daily Energy Consumption of Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning Systems in Buildings
title_sort developing a long short term memory based model for forecasting the daily energy consumption of heating ventilation and air conditioning systems in buildings
topic daily energy consumption
deep learning
forecasting model
HVAC systems
long short-term memory
short-term forecast
url https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3417/11/15/6722
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