The disruption of elective procedures due to COVID-19 in Brazil in 2020
Abstract Elective procedures were temporarily suspended several times over the course of the pandemic of COVID-19. Monthly data from the Unified Health System (SUS) were used for the period between January 2008 and December 2020 and the interrupted time series method was used to estimate the effect...
| Main Authors: | , , , , , , , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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Nature Portfolio
2022-06-01
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| Series: | Scientific Reports |
| Online Access: | https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-13746-5 |
| _version_ | 1818235769540575232 |
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| author | Gustavo Saraiva Frio Letícia Xander Russo Cleandro Pires de Albuquerque Licia Maria Henrique da Mota Adriana Ferreira Barros-Areal Andréa Pedrosa Ribeiro Alves Oliveira João Firmino-Machado Everton Nunes da Silva |
| author_facet | Gustavo Saraiva Frio Letícia Xander Russo Cleandro Pires de Albuquerque Licia Maria Henrique da Mota Adriana Ferreira Barros-Areal Andréa Pedrosa Ribeiro Alves Oliveira João Firmino-Machado Everton Nunes da Silva |
| author_sort | Gustavo Saraiva Frio |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Abstract Elective procedures were temporarily suspended several times over the course of the pandemic of COVID-19. Monthly data from the Unified Health System (SUS) were used for the period between January 2008 and December 2020 and the interrupted time series method was used to estimate the effect of the pandemic on the number of elective surgeries and elective procedures that were not performed. Considering a 9-month period, a reduction of 46% in the number of elective procedures carried out in the SUS could be attributed to COVID-19, corresponding to about 828,429 elective procedures cancelled, ranging from 549,921 to 1,106,936. To a full recovery of pre-pandemic performance, SUS would need to increase about 21,362 hospital beds, ranging from 12,370 to 36,392 hospital beds during a 6 month-period. This effort would represent an increase of 8.48% (ranging from 4.91 to 14.45%) in relation to the total number of SUS’s hospital beds in 2019. As a result, the pandemic will leave a large number of elective procedures to be carried out, which will require efforts by health agencies to meet this demand. |
| first_indexed | 2024-12-12T11:59:14Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-8b3b2e24981b4b00a4354c1d785b0c13 |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 2045-2322 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-12-12T11:59:14Z |
| publishDate | 2022-06-01 |
| publisher | Nature Portfolio |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Scientific Reports |
| spelling | doaj.art-8b3b2e24981b4b00a4354c1d785b0c132022-12-22T00:25:09ZengNature PortfolioScientific Reports2045-23222022-06-011211810.1038/s41598-022-13746-5The disruption of elective procedures due to COVID-19 in Brazil in 2020Gustavo Saraiva Frio0Letícia Xander Russo1Cleandro Pires de Albuquerque2Licia Maria Henrique da Mota3Adriana Ferreira Barros-Areal4Andréa Pedrosa Ribeiro Alves Oliveira5João Firmino-Machado6Everton Nunes da Silva7Graduate Program in Collective Health, Faculty of Health Science, University of BrasiliaDepartment of Economics, Federal University of Grande DouradosGraduate Program in Medical Science, Faculty of Medicine, University Hospital of Brasília, University of BrasiliaGraduate Program in Medical Science, Faculty of Medicine, University of BrasiliaGraduate Program in Medical Science, Health Department of the Federal District (SES/DF), Faculty of Medicine, University of BrasiliaFaculty of Medicine, University Hospital of Brasília, University of BrasíliaFaculty of Medicine, Institute of Public Health (ISPUP), University of PortoGraduate Program in Collective Health, Faculty of Health Science, Faculty of Ceilândia, University of BrasiliaAbstract Elective procedures were temporarily suspended several times over the course of the pandemic of COVID-19. Monthly data from the Unified Health System (SUS) were used for the period between January 2008 and December 2020 and the interrupted time series method was used to estimate the effect of the pandemic on the number of elective surgeries and elective procedures that were not performed. Considering a 9-month period, a reduction of 46% in the number of elective procedures carried out in the SUS could be attributed to COVID-19, corresponding to about 828,429 elective procedures cancelled, ranging from 549,921 to 1,106,936. To a full recovery of pre-pandemic performance, SUS would need to increase about 21,362 hospital beds, ranging from 12,370 to 36,392 hospital beds during a 6 month-period. This effort would represent an increase of 8.48% (ranging from 4.91 to 14.45%) in relation to the total number of SUS’s hospital beds in 2019. As a result, the pandemic will leave a large number of elective procedures to be carried out, which will require efforts by health agencies to meet this demand.https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-13746-5 |
| spellingShingle | Gustavo Saraiva Frio Letícia Xander Russo Cleandro Pires de Albuquerque Licia Maria Henrique da Mota Adriana Ferreira Barros-Areal Andréa Pedrosa Ribeiro Alves Oliveira João Firmino-Machado Everton Nunes da Silva The disruption of elective procedures due to COVID-19 in Brazil in 2020 Scientific Reports |
| title | The disruption of elective procedures due to COVID-19 in Brazil in 2020 |
| title_full | The disruption of elective procedures due to COVID-19 in Brazil in 2020 |
| title_fullStr | The disruption of elective procedures due to COVID-19 in Brazil in 2020 |
| title_full_unstemmed | The disruption of elective procedures due to COVID-19 in Brazil in 2020 |
| title_short | The disruption of elective procedures due to COVID-19 in Brazil in 2020 |
| title_sort | disruption of elective procedures due to covid 19 in brazil in 2020 |
| url | https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-13746-5 |
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