Monitoring the future behaviour of urban drainage system under climate change: a case study from north-western England

Catchments hydrological conditions and responses are anticipated to be affected by the changes in weather patterns, increasing in climate variability and extreme rainfall. Thus, engineers have no choice but to consider climate change in their practices in order to adapt and serve the public interest...

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Main Author: Osman Yassin Z.
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: De Gruyter 2014-11-01
Series:Open Engineering
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1515/eng-2015-0003
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author Osman Yassin Z.
author_facet Osman Yassin Z.
author_sort Osman Yassin Z.
collection DOAJ
description Catchments hydrological conditions and responses are anticipated to be affected by the changes in weather patterns, increasing in climate variability and extreme rainfall. Thus, engineers have no choice but to consider climate change in their practices in order to adapt and serve the public interests. This paper is an exploration of the impacts of climate change on the hydrology that underlies the hydraulic design of urban drainage system. Future rainfall has been downscaled from the Global Climate Model (GCM) employing a hybrid Generalised Linear Model (GLM) and Artificial Neural Network (ANN) downscaling techniques under different greenhouse emission scenarios. The output from this model is applied to a combined sewer system of an urban drainage catchment in the Northwest of England during the 21st Century to monitor its future behaviour in winter and summer seasons. Potential future changes in rainfall intensity are expected to alter the level of service of the system, causing more challenges in terms of surface flooding and increase in surcharge level in sewers. The results obtained demonstrate that there is a real chance for these effects to take place and therefore would require more attention from designers and catchment managers.
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spelling doaj.art-8b4ac1dea63b458e8c851035be4f49332022-12-21T19:18:32ZengDe GruyterOpen Engineering2391-54392014-11-015110.1515/eng-2015-0003eng-2015-0003Monitoring the future behaviour of urban drainage system under climate change: a case study from north-western EnglandOsman Yassin Z.0Department of Civil Engineering and Construction, ESS Group, University of Bolton, Deane Road, Bolton, BL3 5AB, UKCatchments hydrological conditions and responses are anticipated to be affected by the changes in weather patterns, increasing in climate variability and extreme rainfall. Thus, engineers have no choice but to consider climate change in their practices in order to adapt and serve the public interests. This paper is an exploration of the impacts of climate change on the hydrology that underlies the hydraulic design of urban drainage system. Future rainfall has been downscaled from the Global Climate Model (GCM) employing a hybrid Generalised Linear Model (GLM) and Artificial Neural Network (ANN) downscaling techniques under different greenhouse emission scenarios. The output from this model is applied to a combined sewer system of an urban drainage catchment in the Northwest of England during the 21st Century to monitor its future behaviour in winter and summer seasons. Potential future changes in rainfall intensity are expected to alter the level of service of the system, causing more challenges in terms of surface flooding and increase in surcharge level in sewers. The results obtained demonstrate that there is a real chance for these effects to take place and therefore would require more attention from designers and catchment managers.https://doi.org/10.1515/eng-2015-0003urban drainage climate change combined sewer system artificial neural network storm water infoworks cs
spellingShingle Osman Yassin Z.
Monitoring the future behaviour of urban drainage system under climate change: a case study from north-western England
Open Engineering
urban drainage
climate change
combined sewer system
artificial neural network
storm water
infoworks cs
title Monitoring the future behaviour of urban drainage system under climate change: a case study from north-western England
title_full Monitoring the future behaviour of urban drainage system under climate change: a case study from north-western England
title_fullStr Monitoring the future behaviour of urban drainage system under climate change: a case study from north-western England
title_full_unstemmed Monitoring the future behaviour of urban drainage system under climate change: a case study from north-western England
title_short Monitoring the future behaviour of urban drainage system under climate change: a case study from north-western England
title_sort monitoring the future behaviour of urban drainage system under climate change a case study from north western england
topic urban drainage
climate change
combined sewer system
artificial neural network
storm water
infoworks cs
url https://doi.org/10.1515/eng-2015-0003
work_keys_str_mv AT osmanyassinz monitoringthefuturebehaviourofurbandrainagesystemunderclimatechangeacasestudyfromnorthwesternengland