Modelling and discussion on emission reduction transformation path of China's electric power industry under 'double carbon' goal
China has promised to peak carbon emission before 2030 and to achieve carbon neutrality before 2060 (i.e., “double carbon” goal). Under this background, the emission reduction transformation path of China's electric power industry is studied in this paper. First, several boundary conditions (i....
| Main Authors: | , , , , , , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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Elsevier
2022-09-01
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| Series: | Heliyon |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2405844022017856 |
| _version_ | 1811241893631098880 |
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| author | Shengyuan Liu Zhenzhi Lin Yicheng Jiang Tianhan Zhang Li Yang Weitao Tan Feng Lu |
| author_facet | Shengyuan Liu Zhenzhi Lin Yicheng Jiang Tianhan Zhang Li Yang Weitao Tan Feng Lu |
| author_sort | Shengyuan Liu |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | China has promised to peak carbon emission before 2030 and to achieve carbon neutrality before 2060 (i.e., “double carbon” goal). Under this background, the emission reduction transformation path of China's electric power industry is studied in this paper. First, several boundary conditions (i.e., assumptions) of electric power structure transformation (i.e., the costs of power generations, the costs of energy storage systems, the developments of carbon sinks, the emission factors, and the quotas of carbon sinks) are given considering the whole society electricity consumption in the future. Second, a transformation path optimization model is established aim to minimize the total cost in the electric power industry. Then, according to the optimization results, the transformation predictions for the power industry under the ''30·60 scenario'' (i.e., the scenario that can achieve carbon peak and carbon neutrality before 2030 and 2060) are analyzed in detail, and are compared with the ones of ''2 °C scenario'' and ''1.5 °C scenario'' defined by IPCC. Furthermore, the influence of different carbon prices on the transformation path is also analyzed. It can be concluded from the simulation results that the ''30·60 scenario'' is a scenario between ''2 °C scenario'' and ''1.5 °C scenario'', and carbon emission can be reduced rapidly under the guidance of high carbon prices. |
| first_indexed | 2024-04-12T13:43:07Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-8b6e86b4ad4545e2b7c236aa7932d4a3 |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 2405-8440 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-04-12T13:43:07Z |
| publishDate | 2022-09-01 |
| publisher | Elsevier |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Heliyon |
| spelling | doaj.art-8b6e86b4ad4545e2b7c236aa7932d4a32022-12-22T03:30:47ZengElsevierHeliyon2405-84402022-09-0189e10497Modelling and discussion on emission reduction transformation path of China's electric power industry under 'double carbon' goalShengyuan Liu0Zhenzhi Lin1Yicheng Jiang2Tianhan Zhang3Li Yang4Weitao Tan5Feng Lu6School of Electrical Engineering, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, China; State Grid Zhejiang Electric Power Corporation, Hangzhou, ChinaSchool of Electrical Engineering, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, China; Corresponding author.State Grid Zhejiang Electric Power Corporation, Hangzhou, ChinaSchool of Electrical Engineering, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, ChinaSchool of Electrical Engineering, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, ChinaSchool of Electrical Engineering, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, ChinaState Grid Huzhou Power Supply Company, Huzhou, ChinaChina has promised to peak carbon emission before 2030 and to achieve carbon neutrality before 2060 (i.e., “double carbon” goal). Under this background, the emission reduction transformation path of China's electric power industry is studied in this paper. First, several boundary conditions (i.e., assumptions) of electric power structure transformation (i.e., the costs of power generations, the costs of energy storage systems, the developments of carbon sinks, the emission factors, and the quotas of carbon sinks) are given considering the whole society electricity consumption in the future. Second, a transformation path optimization model is established aim to minimize the total cost in the electric power industry. Then, according to the optimization results, the transformation predictions for the power industry under the ''30·60 scenario'' (i.e., the scenario that can achieve carbon peak and carbon neutrality before 2030 and 2060) are analyzed in detail, and are compared with the ones of ''2 °C scenario'' and ''1.5 °C scenario'' defined by IPCC. Furthermore, the influence of different carbon prices on the transformation path is also analyzed. It can be concluded from the simulation results that the ''30·60 scenario'' is a scenario between ''2 °C scenario'' and ''1.5 °C scenario'', and carbon emission can be reduced rapidly under the guidance of high carbon prices.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2405844022017856Carbon dioxide emissionCarbon neutralityElectric power structureTransformation pathScenarioChina |
| spellingShingle | Shengyuan Liu Zhenzhi Lin Yicheng Jiang Tianhan Zhang Li Yang Weitao Tan Feng Lu Modelling and discussion on emission reduction transformation path of China's electric power industry under 'double carbon' goal Heliyon Carbon dioxide emission Carbon neutrality Electric power structure Transformation path Scenario China |
| title | Modelling and discussion on emission reduction transformation path of China's electric power industry under 'double carbon' goal |
| title_full | Modelling and discussion on emission reduction transformation path of China's electric power industry under 'double carbon' goal |
| title_fullStr | Modelling and discussion on emission reduction transformation path of China's electric power industry under 'double carbon' goal |
| title_full_unstemmed | Modelling and discussion on emission reduction transformation path of China's electric power industry under 'double carbon' goal |
| title_short | Modelling and discussion on emission reduction transformation path of China's electric power industry under 'double carbon' goal |
| title_sort | modelling and discussion on emission reduction transformation path of china s electric power industry under double carbon goal |
| topic | Carbon dioxide emission Carbon neutrality Electric power structure Transformation path Scenario China |
| url | http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2405844022017856 |
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