The effect of sampling health facilities on estimates of effective coverage: a simulation study

Abstract Background Most existing facility assessments collect data on a sample of health facilities. Sampling of health facilities may introduce bias into estimates of effective coverage generated by ecologically linking individuals to health providers based on geographic proximity or administrativ...

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Main Authors: Emily D. Carter, Abdoulaye Maiga, Mai Do, Glebelho Lazare Sika, Rosine Mosso, Abdul Dosso, Melinda K. Munos
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: BMC 2022-12-01
Series:International Journal of Health Geographics
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1186/s12942-022-00307-2
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author Emily D. Carter
Abdoulaye Maiga
Mai Do
Glebelho Lazare Sika
Rosine Mosso
Abdul Dosso
Melinda K. Munos
author_facet Emily D. Carter
Abdoulaye Maiga
Mai Do
Glebelho Lazare Sika
Rosine Mosso
Abdul Dosso
Melinda K. Munos
author_sort Emily D. Carter
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Background Most existing facility assessments collect data on a sample of health facilities. Sampling of health facilities may introduce bias into estimates of effective coverage generated by ecologically linking individuals to health providers based on geographic proximity or administrative catchment. Methods We assessed the bias introduced to effective coverage estimates produced through two ecological linking approaches (administrative unit and Euclidean distance) applied to a sample of health facilities. Our analysis linked MICS household survey data on care-seeking for child illness and childbirth care with data on service quality collected from a census of health facilities in the Savanes region of Cote d’Ivoire. To assess the bias introduced by sampling, we drew 20 random samples of three different sample sizes from our census of health facilities. We calculated effective coverage of sick child and childbirth care using both ecological linking methods applied to each sampled facility data set. We compared the sampled effective coverage estimates to ecologically linked census-based estimates and estimates based on true source of care. We performed sensitivity analyses with simulated preferential care-seeking from higher-quality providers and randomly generated provider quality scores. Results Sampling of health facilities did not significantly bias effective coverage compared to either the ecologically linked estimates derived from a census of facilities or true effective coverage estimates using the original data or simulated random quality sensitivity analysis. However, a few estimates based on sampling in a setting where individuals preferentially sought care from higher-quality providers fell outside of the estimate bounds of true effective coverage. Those cases predominantly occurred using smaller sample sizes and the Euclidean distance linking method. None of the sample-based estimates fell outside the bounds of the ecologically linked census-derived estimates. Conclusions Our analyses suggest that current health facility sampling approaches do not significantly bias estimates of effective coverage produced through ecological linking. Choice of ecological linking methods is a greater source of bias from true effective coverage estimates, although facility sampling can exacerbate this bias in certain scenarios. Careful selection of ecological linking methods is essential to minimize the potential effect of both ecological linking and sampling error.
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spelling doaj.art-8b71a47d4cdb49a4aea56eadf4ee44012022-12-22T04:41:55ZengBMCInternational Journal of Health Geographics1476-072X2022-12-0121111510.1186/s12942-022-00307-2The effect of sampling health facilities on estimates of effective coverage: a simulation studyEmily D. Carter0Abdoulaye Maiga1Mai Do2Glebelho Lazare Sika3Rosine Mosso4Abdul Dosso5Melinda K. Munos6Institute for International Programs, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public HealthInstitute for International Programs, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public HealthDepartment of Global Community Health and Behavioral Sciences, Tulane University School of Public Health and Tropical Medicine, TulaneEcole Nationale Supérieure de Statistique Et d’Economie AppliquéeEcole Nationale Supérieure de Statistique Et d’Economie AppliquéeJohns Hopkins Center for Communication ProgramsInstitute for International Programs, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public HealthAbstract Background Most existing facility assessments collect data on a sample of health facilities. Sampling of health facilities may introduce bias into estimates of effective coverage generated by ecologically linking individuals to health providers based on geographic proximity or administrative catchment. Methods We assessed the bias introduced to effective coverage estimates produced through two ecological linking approaches (administrative unit and Euclidean distance) applied to a sample of health facilities. Our analysis linked MICS household survey data on care-seeking for child illness and childbirth care with data on service quality collected from a census of health facilities in the Savanes region of Cote d’Ivoire. To assess the bias introduced by sampling, we drew 20 random samples of three different sample sizes from our census of health facilities. We calculated effective coverage of sick child and childbirth care using both ecological linking methods applied to each sampled facility data set. We compared the sampled effective coverage estimates to ecologically linked census-based estimates and estimates based on true source of care. We performed sensitivity analyses with simulated preferential care-seeking from higher-quality providers and randomly generated provider quality scores. Results Sampling of health facilities did not significantly bias effective coverage compared to either the ecologically linked estimates derived from a census of facilities or true effective coverage estimates using the original data or simulated random quality sensitivity analysis. However, a few estimates based on sampling in a setting where individuals preferentially sought care from higher-quality providers fell outside of the estimate bounds of true effective coverage. Those cases predominantly occurred using smaller sample sizes and the Euclidean distance linking method. None of the sample-based estimates fell outside the bounds of the ecologically linked census-derived estimates. Conclusions Our analyses suggest that current health facility sampling approaches do not significantly bias estimates of effective coverage produced through ecological linking. Choice of ecological linking methods is a greater source of bias from true effective coverage estimates, although facility sampling can exacerbate this bias in certain scenarios. Careful selection of ecological linking methods is essential to minimize the potential effect of both ecological linking and sampling error.https://doi.org/10.1186/s12942-022-00307-2SamplingCensusEffective coverageQuality-adjusted coverageSimulationGIS
spellingShingle Emily D. Carter
Abdoulaye Maiga
Mai Do
Glebelho Lazare Sika
Rosine Mosso
Abdul Dosso
Melinda K. Munos
The effect of sampling health facilities on estimates of effective coverage: a simulation study
International Journal of Health Geographics
Sampling
Census
Effective coverage
Quality-adjusted coverage
Simulation
GIS
title The effect of sampling health facilities on estimates of effective coverage: a simulation study
title_full The effect of sampling health facilities on estimates of effective coverage: a simulation study
title_fullStr The effect of sampling health facilities on estimates of effective coverage: a simulation study
title_full_unstemmed The effect of sampling health facilities on estimates of effective coverage: a simulation study
title_short The effect of sampling health facilities on estimates of effective coverage: a simulation study
title_sort effect of sampling health facilities on estimates of effective coverage a simulation study
topic Sampling
Census
Effective coverage
Quality-adjusted coverage
Simulation
GIS
url https://doi.org/10.1186/s12942-022-00307-2
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