The Evaluation of the Effectiveness of Counterterrorism Policies on the PKK-inflicted Violence during the Democratization Process of Turkey

This study tries to explore the relationship between soft-line governmental policy interventions of Turkey andthe responses of the PKK (The Kurdistan Workers’ Party) by using time series data from 1995 to 2010. The negative binomial specifications for two models, the number of incidents and the numb...

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Main Authors: Irfan Ciftci, Sedat Kula
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: University of St Andrews 2015-02-01
Series:Journal of Terrorism Research
Subjects:
Online Access:http://jtr.st-andrews.ac.uk/articles/1075
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author Irfan Ciftci
Sedat Kula
author_facet Irfan Ciftci
Sedat Kula
author_sort Irfan Ciftci
collection DOAJ
description This study tries to explore the relationship between soft-line governmental policy interventions of Turkey andthe responses of the PKK (The Kurdistan Workers’ Party) by using time series data from 1995 to 2010. The negative binomial specifications for two models, the number of incidents and the number casualties are used. The aggregated impact of soft-line policies on the level of violence is found to be positive and significant. In one hand, Turkey’s EU accession process had a decreasing impact on PKK inflicted violence. On the other hand, the Active Repentance Law increased the violence in the short run. It was found that defiance based governmental policy interventions of Turkey had an increasing impact on the PKK-inflicted violence.
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spelling doaj.art-8ba73aa7efef478aaf5974b1b4a636d32022-12-21T17:58:11ZengUniversity of St AndrewsJournal of Terrorism Research2049-70402015-02-016110.15664/jtr.1075846The Evaluation of the Effectiveness of Counterterrorism Policies on the PKK-inflicted Violence during the Democratization Process of TurkeyIrfan CiftciSedat KulaThis study tries to explore the relationship between soft-line governmental policy interventions of Turkey andthe responses of the PKK (The Kurdistan Workers’ Party) by using time series data from 1995 to 2010. The negative binomial specifications for two models, the number of incidents and the number casualties are used. The aggregated impact of soft-line policies on the level of violence is found to be positive and significant. In one hand, Turkey’s EU accession process had a decreasing impact on PKK inflicted violence. On the other hand, the Active Repentance Law increased the violence in the short run. It was found that defiance based governmental policy interventions of Turkey had an increasing impact on the PKK-inflicted violence.http://jtr.st-andrews.ac.uk/articles/1075Kurdish ConflictThe PKKCounter-terrorismViolenceSoft-line policies
spellingShingle Irfan Ciftci
Sedat Kula
The Evaluation of the Effectiveness of Counterterrorism Policies on the PKK-inflicted Violence during the Democratization Process of Turkey
Journal of Terrorism Research
Kurdish Conflict
The PKK
Counter-terrorism
Violence
Soft-line policies
title The Evaluation of the Effectiveness of Counterterrorism Policies on the PKK-inflicted Violence during the Democratization Process of Turkey
title_full The Evaluation of the Effectiveness of Counterterrorism Policies on the PKK-inflicted Violence during the Democratization Process of Turkey
title_fullStr The Evaluation of the Effectiveness of Counterterrorism Policies on the PKK-inflicted Violence during the Democratization Process of Turkey
title_full_unstemmed The Evaluation of the Effectiveness of Counterterrorism Policies on the PKK-inflicted Violence during the Democratization Process of Turkey
title_short The Evaluation of the Effectiveness of Counterterrorism Policies on the PKK-inflicted Violence during the Democratization Process of Turkey
title_sort evaluation of the effectiveness of counterterrorism policies on the pkk inflicted violence during the democratization process of turkey
topic Kurdish Conflict
The PKK
Counter-terrorism
Violence
Soft-line policies
url http://jtr.st-andrews.ac.uk/articles/1075
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