Assessment Research of Bijie Drought Risk Based On Cloud Model

This paper chooses 8 cities and counties of Bijie area as the research target. With the research foundation of natural disaster risk theory and drought risk formation principle, we start from dangerousness, exposure , vulnerability and the ability to prevent disaster to filter out 23 indexes range f...

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Main Author: Ying He
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Society for Risk Analysis - China 2013-11-01
Series:Journal of Risk Analysis and Crisis Response (JRACR)
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.atlantis-press.com/article/11336.pdf
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author Ying He
author_facet Ying He
author_sort Ying He
collection DOAJ
description This paper chooses 8 cities and counties of Bijie area as the research target. With the research foundation of natural disaster risk theory and drought risk formation principle, we start from dangerousness, exposure , vulnerability and the ability to prevent disaster to filter out 23 indexes range from social status, economy, weather and geology to construct the assessment system of Bijie drought risk. To solve the uncertainty of quantitative description for drought risk assessment index and the judge of assessment result, cloud model and entropy weight method are implemented to decide how much percentage the city or county belong on each index. In the end, we use the weight of 23 indexes to get the drought risk level each city or county belongs to. The result reveal that Weining has the highest risk while Bijie, Qianxi, Zhijin, Hezhang have higher risk of drought occurence and Dafang and Jinsha have normal risk, Nayong has lower risk. This research aims to help governments at all levels to prevent drought and provide decision basis to reduce drought loss.
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spelling doaj.art-8bb1e997273d4d399ee85364a714d6832022-12-22T01:20:57ZengSociety for Risk Analysis - ChinaJournal of Risk Analysis and Crisis Response (JRACR)2210-85052013-11-013410.2991/jrarc.2013.3.4.5Assessment Research of Bijie Drought Risk Based On Cloud ModelYing HeThis paper chooses 8 cities and counties of Bijie area as the research target. With the research foundation of natural disaster risk theory and drought risk formation principle, we start from dangerousness, exposure , vulnerability and the ability to prevent disaster to filter out 23 indexes range from social status, economy, weather and geology to construct the assessment system of Bijie drought risk. To solve the uncertainty of quantitative description for drought risk assessment index and the judge of assessment result, cloud model and entropy weight method are implemented to decide how much percentage the city or county belong on each index. In the end, we use the weight of 23 indexes to get the drought risk level each city or county belongs to. The result reveal that Weining has the highest risk while Bijie, Qianxi, Zhijin, Hezhang have higher risk of drought occurence and Dafang and Jinsha have normal risk, Nayong has lower risk. This research aims to help governments at all levels to prevent drought and provide decision basis to reduce drought loss.https://www.atlantis-press.com/article/11336.pdfBijie; Drought risk; Normal cloud model; Cloud generator; Entropy weight method
spellingShingle Ying He
Assessment Research of Bijie Drought Risk Based On Cloud Model
Journal of Risk Analysis and Crisis Response (JRACR)
Bijie; Drought risk; Normal cloud model; Cloud generator; Entropy weight method
title Assessment Research of Bijie Drought Risk Based On Cloud Model
title_full Assessment Research of Bijie Drought Risk Based On Cloud Model
title_fullStr Assessment Research of Bijie Drought Risk Based On Cloud Model
title_full_unstemmed Assessment Research of Bijie Drought Risk Based On Cloud Model
title_short Assessment Research of Bijie Drought Risk Based On Cloud Model
title_sort assessment research of bijie drought risk based on cloud model
topic Bijie; Drought risk; Normal cloud model; Cloud generator; Entropy weight method
url https://www.atlantis-press.com/article/11336.pdf
work_keys_str_mv AT yinghe assessmentresearchofbijiedroughtriskbasedoncloudmodel