Observed and simulated estimates of the meridional overturning circulation at 26.5° N in the Atlantic

Daily timeseries of the meridional overturning circulation (MOC) estimated from the UK/US RAPID/MOCHA array at 26.5° N in the Atlantic are used to evaluate the MOC as simulated in two global circulation models: (I) an 8-member ensemble of the coupled climate model ECHAM5/MPI-OM, and (II) the...

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Main Authors: P. Heimbach, T. Kanzow, H. Haak, S. Cunnningham, J. Baehr, J. Marotzke
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Copernicus Publications 2009-11-01
Series:Ocean Science
Online Access:http://www.ocean-sci.net/5/575/2009/os-5-575-2009.pdf
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author P. Heimbach
T. Kanzow
H. Haak
S. Cunnningham
J. Baehr
J. Marotzke
author_facet P. Heimbach
T. Kanzow
H. Haak
S. Cunnningham
J. Baehr
J. Marotzke
author_sort P. Heimbach
collection DOAJ
description Daily timeseries of the meridional overturning circulation (MOC) estimated from the UK/US RAPID/MOCHA array at 26.5° N in the Atlantic are used to evaluate the MOC as simulated in two global circulation models: (I) an 8-member ensemble of the coupled climate model ECHAM5/MPI-OM, and (II) the ECCO-GODAE state estimate. In ECHAM5/MPI-OM, we find that the observed and simulated MOC have a similar variability and time-mean within the 99% confidence interval. In ECCO-GODAE, we find that the observed and simulated MOC show a significant correlation within the 99% confidence interval. To investigate the contribution of the different transport components, the MOC is decomposed into Florida Current, Ekman and mid-ocean transports. In both models, the mid-ocean transport is closely approximated by the residual of the MOC minus Florida Current and Ekman transports. As the models conserve volume by definition, future comparisons of the RAPID/MOCHA mid-ocean transport should be done against the residual transport in the models. The similarity in the variance and the correlation between the RAPID/MOCHA, and respectively ECHAM5/MPI-OM and ECCO-GODAE MOC estimates at 26.5° N is encouraging in the context of estimating (natural) variability in climate simulations and its use in climate change signal-to-noise detection analyses. Enhanced confidence in simulated hydrographic and transport variability will require longer observational time series.
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spelling doaj.art-8bc742cd70104675a5b8c8103d7809fe2022-12-22T00:51:42ZengCopernicus PublicationsOcean Science1812-07841812-07922009-11-0154575589Observed and simulated estimates of the meridional overturning circulation at 26.5° N in the AtlanticP. HeimbachT. KanzowH. HaakS. CunnninghamJ. BaehrJ. MarotzkeDaily timeseries of the meridional overturning circulation (MOC) estimated from the UK/US RAPID/MOCHA array at 26.5° N in the Atlantic are used to evaluate the MOC as simulated in two global circulation models: (I) an 8-member ensemble of the coupled climate model ECHAM5/MPI-OM, and (II) the ECCO-GODAE state estimate. In ECHAM5/MPI-OM, we find that the observed and simulated MOC have a similar variability and time-mean within the 99% confidence interval. In ECCO-GODAE, we find that the observed and simulated MOC show a significant correlation within the 99% confidence interval. To investigate the contribution of the different transport components, the MOC is decomposed into Florida Current, Ekman and mid-ocean transports. In both models, the mid-ocean transport is closely approximated by the residual of the MOC minus Florida Current and Ekman transports. As the models conserve volume by definition, future comparisons of the RAPID/MOCHA mid-ocean transport should be done against the residual transport in the models. The similarity in the variance and the correlation between the RAPID/MOCHA, and respectively ECHAM5/MPI-OM and ECCO-GODAE MOC estimates at 26.5° N is encouraging in the context of estimating (natural) variability in climate simulations and its use in climate change signal-to-noise detection analyses. Enhanced confidence in simulated hydrographic and transport variability will require longer observational time series.http://www.ocean-sci.net/5/575/2009/os-5-575-2009.pdf
spellingShingle P. Heimbach
T. Kanzow
H. Haak
S. Cunnningham
J. Baehr
J. Marotzke
Observed and simulated estimates of the meridional overturning circulation at 26.5° N in the Atlantic
Ocean Science
title Observed and simulated estimates of the meridional overturning circulation at 26.5° N in the Atlantic
title_full Observed and simulated estimates of the meridional overturning circulation at 26.5° N in the Atlantic
title_fullStr Observed and simulated estimates of the meridional overturning circulation at 26.5° N in the Atlantic
title_full_unstemmed Observed and simulated estimates of the meridional overturning circulation at 26.5° N in the Atlantic
title_short Observed and simulated estimates of the meridional overturning circulation at 26.5° N in the Atlantic
title_sort observed and simulated estimates of the meridional overturning circulation at 26 5 deg n in the atlantic
url http://www.ocean-sci.net/5/575/2009/os-5-575-2009.pdf
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