Alternative Threat Methodology
Of the many challenges facing risk analysis practitioners, perhaps the most difficult to overcome is in the field of terrorist threat analysis. When estimating the threat associated with naturally occurring events, historical data provides a great deal of insight into the frequency of those events....
| Main Author: | |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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Henley-Putnam University
2011-01-01
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| Series: | Journal of Strategic Security |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | http://scholarcommons.usf.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1086&context=jss |
| _version_ | 1818939806633164800 |
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| author | Charles B. King III |
| author_facet | Charles B. King III |
| author_sort | Charles B. King III |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Of the many challenges facing risk analysis practitioners, perhaps the most difficult to overcome is in the field of terrorist threat analysis. When estimating the threat associated with naturally occurring events, historical data provides a great deal of insight into the frequency of those events. Threat associated with accidents applies many operations research tools to gauge future failure-rates (Failure Mode and Effects Analysis being perhaps the most widely known). However, estimating the probability of an individual's or group's attacking a specific (or even a generic) target is an element of risk analysis in which art and intuition are applied far more regularly than is science. |
| first_indexed | 2024-12-20T06:29:36Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-8c5748737a8b4a8892efe6d02ca5655d |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 1944-0464 1944-0472 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-12-20T06:29:36Z |
| publishDate | 2011-01-01 |
| publisher | Henley-Putnam University |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Journal of Strategic Security |
| spelling | doaj.art-8c5748737a8b4a8892efe6d02ca5655d2022-12-21T19:50:11ZengHenley-Putnam UniversityJournal of Strategic Security1944-04641944-04722011-01-01415768Alternative Threat MethodologyCharles B. King IIIOf the many challenges facing risk analysis practitioners, perhaps the most difficult to overcome is in the field of terrorist threat analysis. When estimating the threat associated with naturally occurring events, historical data provides a great deal of insight into the frequency of those events. Threat associated with accidents applies many operations research tools to gauge future failure-rates (Failure Mode and Effects Analysis being perhaps the most widely known). However, estimating the probability of an individual's or group's attacking a specific (or even a generic) target is an element of risk analysis in which art and intuition are applied far more regularly than is science.http://scholarcommons.usf.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1086&context=jssHomeland securityIntelligence analysisMethodologyTerrorism / counterterrorismThreat assessment |
| spellingShingle | Charles B. King III Alternative Threat Methodology Journal of Strategic Security Homeland security Intelligence analysis Methodology Terrorism / counterterrorism Threat assessment |
| title | Alternative Threat Methodology |
| title_full | Alternative Threat Methodology |
| title_fullStr | Alternative Threat Methodology |
| title_full_unstemmed | Alternative Threat Methodology |
| title_short | Alternative Threat Methodology |
| title_sort | alternative threat methodology |
| topic | Homeland security Intelligence analysis Methodology Terrorism / counterterrorism Threat assessment |
| url | http://scholarcommons.usf.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1086&context=jss |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT charlesbkingiii alternativethreatmethodology |