Effects of Serbian accession to the European Union

In this article, the global simulation model (GSIM) of Joseph F. Francois and Keith H. Hall (2009) for analyzing global, regional, and unilateral trade policy changes was applied to Serbia. This was to measure the effects of full trade liberalization with the EU after Serbian accession to the EU....

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Holzner Mario, Ivanić Valentina
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Economists' Association of Vojvodina 2012-01-01
Series:Panoeconomicus
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.doiserbia.nb.rs/img/doi/1452-595X/2012/1452-595X1203355H.pdf
_version_ 1818023956629684224
author Holzner Mario
Ivanić Valentina
author_facet Holzner Mario
Ivanić Valentina
author_sort Holzner Mario
collection DOAJ
description In this article, the global simulation model (GSIM) of Joseph F. Francois and Keith H. Hall (2009) for analyzing global, regional, and unilateral trade policy changes was applied to Serbia. This was to measure the effects of full trade liberalization with the EU after Serbian accession to the EU. As anticipated, most of the changes in welfare after full liberalization of trade between Serbia and EU can be expected in sectors where Serbia has specialized; protection against imports from the EU is strong. However, losses could also occur in sectors that currently face strong protection against the rest of the world and this protection is lost after EU accession. Trade liberalization will lead to a substantial loss of tariff revenues. Reduced consumer prices might, on the one hand increase consumer surplus but on the other hand decrease producer surplus and output in certain industries.
first_indexed 2024-12-10T03:52:34Z
format Article
id doaj.art-8c7bf2682f804f27908eb555dc69f80a
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 1452-595X
language English
last_indexed 2024-12-10T03:52:34Z
publishDate 2012-01-01
publisher Economists' Association of Vojvodina
record_format Article
series Panoeconomicus
spelling doaj.art-8c7bf2682f804f27908eb555dc69f80a2022-12-22T02:03:12ZengEconomists' Association of VojvodinaPanoeconomicus1452-595X2012-01-0159335536710.2298/PAN1203355HEffects of Serbian accession to the European UnionHolzner MarioIvanić ValentinaIn this article, the global simulation model (GSIM) of Joseph F. Francois and Keith H. Hall (2009) for analyzing global, regional, and unilateral trade policy changes was applied to Serbia. This was to measure the effects of full trade liberalization with the EU after Serbian accession to the EU. As anticipated, most of the changes in welfare after full liberalization of trade between Serbia and EU can be expected in sectors where Serbia has specialized; protection against imports from the EU is strong. However, losses could also occur in sectors that currently face strong protection against the rest of the world and this protection is lost after EU accession. Trade liberalization will lead to a substantial loss of tariff revenues. Reduced consumer prices might, on the one hand increase consumer surplus but on the other hand decrease producer surplus and output in certain industries.http://www.doiserbia.nb.rs/img/doi/1452-595X/2012/1452-595X1203355H.pdfcost of protectionpartial equilibrium modeltrade policy modellingSerbia
spellingShingle Holzner Mario
Ivanić Valentina
Effects of Serbian accession to the European Union
Panoeconomicus
cost of protection
partial equilibrium model
trade policy modelling
Serbia
title Effects of Serbian accession to the European Union
title_full Effects of Serbian accession to the European Union
title_fullStr Effects of Serbian accession to the European Union
title_full_unstemmed Effects of Serbian accession to the European Union
title_short Effects of Serbian accession to the European Union
title_sort effects of serbian accession to the european union
topic cost of protection
partial equilibrium model
trade policy modelling
Serbia
url http://www.doiserbia.nb.rs/img/doi/1452-595X/2012/1452-595X1203355H.pdf
work_keys_str_mv AT holznermario effectsofserbianaccessiontotheeuropeanunion
AT ivanicvalentina effectsofserbianaccessiontotheeuropeanunion