Capital market efficiency in transitioning Southeastern European countries

Purpose: This paper is a continuation of research in the series that examines the weak form of the efficient capital markets theorem in Southeast European transitioning economies. Model modifications are based on learnings through the previously established inapplicability of foreign exchange metric...

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Main Authors: Ante Dodig, Milica Bugarčić
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Faculty of Economics and Business in Osijek 2023-01-01
Series:Ekonomski Vjesnik
Subjects:
Online Access:https://hrcak.srce.hr/file/439841
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author Ante Dodig
Milica Bugarčić
author_facet Ante Dodig
Milica Bugarčić
author_sort Ante Dodig
collection DOAJ
description Purpose: This paper is a continuation of research in the series that examines the weak form of the efficient capital markets theorem in Southeast European transitioning economies. Model modifications are based on learnings through the previously established inapplicability of foreign exchange metrics. At the same time, the model is being expanded by incorporating new research markets, extending the time coverage to the longest duration to date, between 2005 and 2021, to cover economic bust and recovery periods and research inherent improvements in the capital market context, and adding new variables to provide more sturdiness and conclusiveness. Methodology: The paper applies the panel pooled mean group estimator by aggregating cross-country data. By using level series prime data instead of differentials, this method enables efficient use of information and resolves at best the identified market shallowness. Results: The statistical results of empirical research infer the inefficiency of the investigated markets with greater robustness and supplementary new information revealing more powerful corrective investor and policy behavior in collectively more mature markets. Conclusions: The findings firmly reiterate subpar capital markets performance in a prolonged and more comprehensive environment. The recommendations conclusively emphasize the importance of structural reforms to support sustainability through elementary setup drivers, such as transparency, governance, judiciary productivity, and policy support, inter alia.
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spelling doaj.art-8cb39c3f7d244aeab90fb04562cfc9632024-04-15T18:40:55ZengFaculty of Economics and Business in OsijekEkonomski Vjesnik0353-359X1847-22062023-01-01361577310.51680/ev.36.1.5Capital market efficiency in transitioning Southeastern European countriesAnte Dodig0Milica Bugarčić1Union University Belgrade, School of Computing, Belgrade, SerbiaUnion University Belgrade, Belgrade Banking Academy, Belgrade, SerbiaPurpose: This paper is a continuation of research in the series that examines the weak form of the efficient capital markets theorem in Southeast European transitioning economies. Model modifications are based on learnings through the previously established inapplicability of foreign exchange metrics. At the same time, the model is being expanded by incorporating new research markets, extending the time coverage to the longest duration to date, between 2005 and 2021, to cover economic bust and recovery periods and research inherent improvements in the capital market context, and adding new variables to provide more sturdiness and conclusiveness. Methodology: The paper applies the panel pooled mean group estimator by aggregating cross-country data. By using level series prime data instead of differentials, this method enables efficient use of information and resolves at best the identified market shallowness. Results: The statistical results of empirical research infer the inefficiency of the investigated markets with greater robustness and supplementary new information revealing more powerful corrective investor and policy behavior in collectively more mature markets. Conclusions: The findings firmly reiterate subpar capital markets performance in a prolonged and more comprehensive environment. The recommendations conclusively emphasize the importance of structural reforms to support sustainability through elementary setup drivers, such as transparency, governance, judiciary productivity, and policy support, inter alia.https://hrcak.srce.hr/file/439841economycapital marketsfrontier and emerging marketsSoutheast Europemarket efficiency
spellingShingle Ante Dodig
Milica Bugarčić
Capital market efficiency in transitioning Southeastern European countries
Ekonomski Vjesnik
economy
capital markets
frontier and emerging markets
Southeast Europe
market efficiency
title Capital market efficiency in transitioning Southeastern European countries
title_full Capital market efficiency in transitioning Southeastern European countries
title_fullStr Capital market efficiency in transitioning Southeastern European countries
title_full_unstemmed Capital market efficiency in transitioning Southeastern European countries
title_short Capital market efficiency in transitioning Southeastern European countries
title_sort capital market efficiency in transitioning southeastern european countries
topic economy
capital markets
frontier and emerging markets
Southeast Europe
market efficiency
url https://hrcak.srce.hr/file/439841
work_keys_str_mv AT antedodig capitalmarketefficiencyintransitioningsoutheasterneuropeancountries
AT milicabugarcic capitalmarketefficiencyintransitioningsoutheasterneuropeancountries