A Noncentral Lindley Construction Illustrated in an INAR(1) Environment

This paper proposes a previously unconsidered generalization of the Lindley distribution by allowing for a measure of noncentrality. Essential structural characteristics are investigated and derived in explicit and tractable forms, and the estimability of the model is illustrated via the fit of this...

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Main Authors: Johannes Ferreira, Ané van der Merwe
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2022-01-01
Series:Stats
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2571-905X/5/1/5
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author Johannes Ferreira
Ané van der Merwe
author_facet Johannes Ferreira
Ané van der Merwe
author_sort Johannes Ferreira
collection DOAJ
description This paper proposes a previously unconsidered generalization of the Lindley distribution by allowing for a measure of noncentrality. Essential structural characteristics are investigated and derived in explicit and tractable forms, and the estimability of the model is illustrated via the fit of this developed model to real data. Subsequently, this model is used as a candidate for the parameter of a Poisson model, which allows for departure from the usual equidispersion restriction that the Poisson offers when modelling count data. This Poisson-noncentral Lindley is also systematically investigated and characteristics are derived. The value of this count model is illustrated and implemented as the count error distribution in an integer autoregressive environment, and juxtaposed against other popular models. The effect of the systematically-induced noncentrality parameter is illustrated and paves the way for future flexible modelling not only as a standalone contender in continuous Lindley-type scenarios but also in discrete and discrete time series scenarios when the often-encountered equidispersed assumption is not adhered to in practical data environments.
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spelling doaj.art-8cc25793ea6a440896c71bb5ebb59daf2023-11-30T22:23:59ZengMDPI AGStats2571-905X2022-01-0151708810.3390/stats5010005A Noncentral Lindley Construction Illustrated in an INAR(1) EnvironmentJohannes Ferreira0Ané van der Merwe1Department of Statistics, Faculty of Natural and Agricultural Sciences, University of Pretoria, Pretoria 0028, South AfricaDepartment of Statistics, Faculty of Natural and Agricultural Sciences, University of Pretoria, Pretoria 0028, South AfricaThis paper proposes a previously unconsidered generalization of the Lindley distribution by allowing for a measure of noncentrality. Essential structural characteristics are investigated and derived in explicit and tractable forms, and the estimability of the model is illustrated via the fit of this developed model to real data. Subsequently, this model is used as a candidate for the parameter of a Poisson model, which allows for departure from the usual equidispersion restriction that the Poisson offers when modelling count data. This Poisson-noncentral Lindley is also systematically investigated and characteristics are derived. The value of this count model is illustrated and implemented as the count error distribution in an integer autoregressive environment, and juxtaposed against other popular models. The effect of the systematically-induced noncentrality parameter is illustrated and paves the way for future flexible modelling not only as a standalone contender in continuous Lindley-type scenarios but also in discrete and discrete time series scenarios when the often-encountered equidispersed assumption is not adhered to in practical data environments.https://www.mdpi.com/2571-905X/5/1/5compoundingmaximum likelihoodmomentsPoissontransition probability
spellingShingle Johannes Ferreira
Ané van der Merwe
A Noncentral Lindley Construction Illustrated in an INAR(1) Environment
Stats
compounding
maximum likelihood
moments
Poisson
transition probability
title A Noncentral Lindley Construction Illustrated in an INAR(1) Environment
title_full A Noncentral Lindley Construction Illustrated in an INAR(1) Environment
title_fullStr A Noncentral Lindley Construction Illustrated in an INAR(1) Environment
title_full_unstemmed A Noncentral Lindley Construction Illustrated in an INAR(1) Environment
title_short A Noncentral Lindley Construction Illustrated in an INAR(1) Environment
title_sort noncentral lindley construction illustrated in an inar 1 environment
topic compounding
maximum likelihood
moments
Poisson
transition probability
url https://www.mdpi.com/2571-905X/5/1/5
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