Evaluation and Estimation of the 24 hour Maximum Rainfall in the Provice of Golestan

Spatail variability of rainfall has diverse effects on the management and planning of water resources on a watershed, as well as on the national scale. Spatial variability analysis of different parameters, e.g. rainfall, can be very important in estimating the water balance uncertainties and in the...

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Main Authors: S J, M D
Format: Article
Language:fas
Published: Marvdasht Branch, Islamic Azad University 2009-12-01
Series:مهندسی منابع آب
Online Access:https://wej.marvdasht.iau.ir/article_1656_003194a4b1407270f570a1c22f8e456a.pdf
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author S J
M D
author_facet S J
M D
author_sort S J
collection DOAJ
description Spatail variability of rainfall has diverse effects on the management and planning of water resources on a watershed, as well as on the national scale. Spatial variability analysis of different parameters, e.g. rainfall, can be very important in estimating the water balance uncertainties and in the decision-making processes. In the presence of Spatail correlation between observations, application of Geostatistical interpolation methods provides usually provides close estimation of the sought values. This technique was implemented in the deformination of the abundance of the 24 hr maximum rainfall of 27 rain guaging stations in Golestan plain. The methods used were ordinary kriging, cokriging and weighted moving average. Cross validation was used to evaluate different interpolation methods. Statistical analysis showed that winter rainfall had the smallest coefficient of variation in comparison with the other time periods used. Geostatistical analysis showed a strong spatial correlation of the data; the best semivariogram model was spherical. The cross-validation results indicated that except for winter, cokriging results in a smaller error for rainfall estimation. Moreover, the generated rainfall maps indicate that the northern region of the presence reccives leave amount of precipitation.
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spelling doaj.art-8ce5179345514ba3abb462197ae525382024-01-10T07:59:34ZfasMarvdasht Branch, Islamic Azad Universityمهندسی منابع آب2008-63772423-71912009-12-012413221656Evaluation and Estimation of the 24 hour Maximum Rainfall in the Provice of GolestanS J0M D1دانشجوی کارشناسی ارشد آبیاری و زهکشیاستادیار گروه مهندسی آبSpatail variability of rainfall has diverse effects on the management and planning of water resources on a watershed, as well as on the national scale. Spatial variability analysis of different parameters, e.g. rainfall, can be very important in estimating the water balance uncertainties and in the decision-making processes. In the presence of Spatail correlation between observations, application of Geostatistical interpolation methods provides usually provides close estimation of the sought values. This technique was implemented in the deformination of the abundance of the 24 hr maximum rainfall of 27 rain guaging stations in Golestan plain. The methods used were ordinary kriging, cokriging and weighted moving average. Cross validation was used to evaluate different interpolation methods. Statistical analysis showed that winter rainfall had the smallest coefficient of variation in comparison with the other time periods used. Geostatistical analysis showed a strong spatial correlation of the data; the best semivariogram model was spherical. The cross-validation results indicated that except for winter, cokriging results in a smaller error for rainfall estimation. Moreover, the generated rainfall maps indicate that the northern region of the presence reccives leave amount of precipitation.https://wej.marvdasht.iau.ir/article_1656_003194a4b1407270f570a1c22f8e456a.pdf
spellingShingle S J
M D
Evaluation and Estimation of the 24 hour Maximum Rainfall in the Provice of Golestan
مهندسی منابع آب
title Evaluation and Estimation of the 24 hour Maximum Rainfall in the Provice of Golestan
title_full Evaluation and Estimation of the 24 hour Maximum Rainfall in the Provice of Golestan
title_fullStr Evaluation and Estimation of the 24 hour Maximum Rainfall in the Provice of Golestan
title_full_unstemmed Evaluation and Estimation of the 24 hour Maximum Rainfall in the Provice of Golestan
title_short Evaluation and Estimation of the 24 hour Maximum Rainfall in the Provice of Golestan
title_sort evaluation and estimation of the 24 hour maximum rainfall in the provice of golestan
url https://wej.marvdasht.iau.ir/article_1656_003194a4b1407270f570a1c22f8e456a.pdf
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