Capital Structure Models and Contingent Convertible Securities

We implemented a methodology to calibrate capital structure models for banks that have issued contingent convertible securities (CoCos). Typical studies involving capital structure model calibration focus on non-financial firms as they have lower leverage and no contingent convertible securities. Fr...

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Main Authors: Di Meng, Adam Metzler, R. Mark Reesor
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2024-03-01
Series:Risks
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2227-9091/12/3/55
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author Di Meng
Adam Metzler
R. Mark Reesor
author_facet Di Meng
Adam Metzler
R. Mark Reesor
author_sort Di Meng
collection DOAJ
description We implemented a methodology to calibrate capital structure models for banks that have issued contingent convertible securities (CoCos). Typical studies involving capital structure model calibration focus on non-financial firms as they have lower leverage and no contingent convertible securities. From a theoretical perspective, we found that jumps in the asset value process were necessary to obtain a satisfactory fit to the market data. In practice, contingent capital conversion triggers are discretionary, and there is considerable uncertainty around when regulators are likely to enforce conversion. The market-implied conversion triggers we obtain indicate that the market expects regulators to enforce conversion while the issuing bank is a going concern, as opposed to a gone concern. This fact is presumably of interest to potential dealers, regulators, issuers, and investors.
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spelling doaj.art-8ce72c3ded514955b74017040f0403012024-03-27T14:03:07ZengMDPI AGRisks2227-90912024-03-011235510.3390/risks12030055Capital Structure Models and Contingent Convertible SecuritiesDi Meng0Adam Metzler1R. Mark Reesor2Department of Mathematics, Wilfrid Laurier University, Waterloo, ON N2L 3C5, CanadaDepartment of Mathematics, Wilfrid Laurier University, Waterloo, ON N2L 3C5, CanadaDepartment of Mathematics, Wilfrid Laurier University, Waterloo, ON N2L 3C5, CanadaWe implemented a methodology to calibrate capital structure models for banks that have issued contingent convertible securities (CoCos). Typical studies involving capital structure model calibration focus on non-financial firms as they have lower leverage and no contingent convertible securities. From a theoretical perspective, we found that jumps in the asset value process were necessary to obtain a satisfactory fit to the market data. In practice, contingent capital conversion triggers are discretionary, and there is considerable uncertainty around when regulators are likely to enforce conversion. The market-implied conversion triggers we obtain indicate that the market expects regulators to enforce conversion while the issuing bank is a going concern, as opposed to a gone concern. This fact is presumably of interest to potential dealers, regulators, issuers, and investors.https://www.mdpi.com/2227-9091/12/3/55capital structure modelcontingent convertible securitiesdiscontinuous asset value processcalibration
spellingShingle Di Meng
Adam Metzler
R. Mark Reesor
Capital Structure Models and Contingent Convertible Securities
Risks
capital structure model
contingent convertible securities
discontinuous asset value process
calibration
title Capital Structure Models and Contingent Convertible Securities
title_full Capital Structure Models and Contingent Convertible Securities
title_fullStr Capital Structure Models and Contingent Convertible Securities
title_full_unstemmed Capital Structure Models and Contingent Convertible Securities
title_short Capital Structure Models and Contingent Convertible Securities
title_sort capital structure models and contingent convertible securities
topic capital structure model
contingent convertible securities
discontinuous asset value process
calibration
url https://www.mdpi.com/2227-9091/12/3/55
work_keys_str_mv AT dimeng capitalstructuremodelsandcontingentconvertiblesecurities
AT adammetzler capitalstructuremodelsandcontingentconvertiblesecurities
AT rmarkreesor capitalstructuremodelsandcontingentconvertiblesecurities