Sensitivity of very small glaciers in the Swiss Alps to future climate change

Very small glaciers (<0.5 km2) account for more than 80% of the total number of glaciers in mid- to low-latitude mountain ranges. Although their total area and volume is small compared to larger glaciers, they are a relevant component of the cryosphere, contributing to landscape formation, local...

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Main Authors: Matthias eHuss, Mauro eFischer
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Frontiers Media S.A. 2016-04-01
Series:Frontiers in Earth Science
Subjects:
Online Access:http://journal.frontiersin.org/Journal/10.3389/feart.2016.00034/full
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author Matthias eHuss
Matthias eHuss
Mauro eFischer
author_facet Matthias eHuss
Matthias eHuss
Mauro eFischer
author_sort Matthias eHuss
collection DOAJ
description Very small glaciers (<0.5 km2) account for more than 80% of the total number of glaciers in mid- to low-latitude mountain ranges. Although their total area and volume is small compared to larger glaciers, they are a relevant component of the cryosphere, contributing to landscape formation, local hydrology and sea-level rise. Worldwide glacier monitoring mostly focuses on medium-sized to large glaciers leaving us with a limited understanding of the response of dwarf glaciers to climate change. In this study, we present a comprehensive modeling framework to assess past and future changes of very small glaciers at the mountain-range scale. Among other processes our model accounts for snow redistribution, changes in glacier geometry and the time-varying effect of supraglacial debris. It computes the mass balance distribution, the englacial temperature regime and proglacial runoff. The evolution of 1,133 individual glaciers in the Swiss Alps is modeled in detail until 2060 based on new distributed data sets. Our results indicate that 52% of all very small glaciers in Switzerland will completely disappear within the next 25 years. However, a few avalanche-fed glaciers at low elevation might be able to survive even substantial atmospheric warming. We find highly variable sensitivities of very small glaciers to air temperature change, with gently-sloping, low-elevation, and debris-covered glaciers being most sensitive.
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spelling doaj.art-8ce7a77dece344b09c43ab25f3822c782022-12-22T01:13:31ZengFrontiers Media S.A.Frontiers in Earth Science2296-64632016-04-01410.3389/feart.2016.00034180679Sensitivity of very small glaciers in the Swiss Alps to future climate changeMatthias eHuss0Matthias eHuss1Mauro eFischer2University of FribourgETH ZürichUniversity of FribourgVery small glaciers (<0.5 km2) account for more than 80% of the total number of glaciers in mid- to low-latitude mountain ranges. Although their total area and volume is small compared to larger glaciers, they are a relevant component of the cryosphere, contributing to landscape formation, local hydrology and sea-level rise. Worldwide glacier monitoring mostly focuses on medium-sized to large glaciers leaving us with a limited understanding of the response of dwarf glaciers to climate change. In this study, we present a comprehensive modeling framework to assess past and future changes of very small glaciers at the mountain-range scale. Among other processes our model accounts for snow redistribution, changes in glacier geometry and the time-varying effect of supraglacial debris. It computes the mass balance distribution, the englacial temperature regime and proglacial runoff. The evolution of 1,133 individual glaciers in the Swiss Alps is modeled in detail until 2060 based on new distributed data sets. Our results indicate that 52% of all very small glaciers in Switzerland will completely disappear within the next 25 years. However, a few avalanche-fed glaciers at low elevation might be able to survive even substantial atmospheric warming. We find highly variable sensitivities of very small glaciers to air temperature change, with gently-sloping, low-elevation, and debris-covered glaciers being most sensitive.http://journal.frontiersin.org/Journal/10.3389/feart.2016.00034/fullClimate ChangeprojectionsGlacier mass balanceGlacier retreatRegional modelingSnow redistribution
spellingShingle Matthias eHuss
Matthias eHuss
Mauro eFischer
Sensitivity of very small glaciers in the Swiss Alps to future climate change
Frontiers in Earth Science
Climate Change
projections
Glacier mass balance
Glacier retreat
Regional modeling
Snow redistribution
title Sensitivity of very small glaciers in the Swiss Alps to future climate change
title_full Sensitivity of very small glaciers in the Swiss Alps to future climate change
title_fullStr Sensitivity of very small glaciers in the Swiss Alps to future climate change
title_full_unstemmed Sensitivity of very small glaciers in the Swiss Alps to future climate change
title_short Sensitivity of very small glaciers in the Swiss Alps to future climate change
title_sort sensitivity of very small glaciers in the swiss alps to future climate change
topic Climate Change
projections
Glacier mass balance
Glacier retreat
Regional modeling
Snow redistribution
url http://journal.frontiersin.org/Journal/10.3389/feart.2016.00034/full
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AT mauroefischer sensitivityofverysmallglaciersintheswissalpstofutureclimatechange