Long Short-Term Memory Prediction for COVID19 Time Series

Entire world has been dealing with the number of new Coronavirus 2 or COVID-19 cases. The spread of this severe acute respiratory syndrome has produced many concerns worldwide. Having data related to coronavirus available for tests, novel models for forecasting the number of new cases can be develop...

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Main Authors: M. S. Milivojević, A. Gavrovska
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Telecommunications Society, Academic Mind 2021-12-01
Series:Telfor Journal
Subjects:
Online Access: http://journal.telfor.rs/Published/Vol13No2/Vol13No2_A4.pdf
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author M. S. Milivojević
A. Gavrovska
author_facet M. S. Milivojević
A. Gavrovska
author_sort M. S. Milivojević
collection DOAJ
description Entire world has been dealing with the number of new Coronavirus 2 or COVID-19 cases. The spread of this severe acute respiratory syndrome has produced many concerns worldwide. Having data related to coronavirus available for tests, novel models for forecasting the number of new cases can be developed. In this paper, a long short-term memory (LSTM) based methodology is applied for such prediction. Here, experimental analysis is performed with the parameters, such as the number of layers and units of the network. The root mean squared error is calculated for data corresponding to the Republic of Serbia, as well as per different continents. The results show that LSTM model can be useful for further analysis and time series prediction.
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spelling doaj.art-8d097b59d89a4a328551baaa4b2d9a192022-12-22T04:21:09ZengTelecommunications Society, Academic MindTelfor Journal1821-32512021-12-01132818610.5937/telfor2102081MLong Short-Term Memory Prediction for COVID19 Time SeriesM. S. MilivojevićA. GavrovskaEntire world has been dealing with the number of new Coronavirus 2 or COVID-19 cases. The spread of this severe acute respiratory syndrome has produced many concerns worldwide. Having data related to coronavirus available for tests, novel models for forecasting the number of new cases can be developed. In this paper, a long short-term memory (LSTM) based methodology is applied for such prediction. Here, experimental analysis is performed with the parameters, such as the number of layers and units of the network. The root mean squared error is calculated for data corresponding to the Republic of Serbia, as well as per different continents. The results show that LSTM model can be useful for further analysis and time series prediction. http://journal.telfor.rs/Published/Vol13No2/Vol13No2_A4.pdf predictionneural networklstmacute respiratory syndromecovid-19root mean squared error
spellingShingle M. S. Milivojević
A. Gavrovska
Long Short-Term Memory Prediction for COVID19 Time Series
Telfor Journal
prediction
neural network
lstm
acute respiratory syndrome
covid-19
root mean squared error
title Long Short-Term Memory Prediction for COVID19 Time Series
title_full Long Short-Term Memory Prediction for COVID19 Time Series
title_fullStr Long Short-Term Memory Prediction for COVID19 Time Series
title_full_unstemmed Long Short-Term Memory Prediction for COVID19 Time Series
title_short Long Short-Term Memory Prediction for COVID19 Time Series
title_sort long short term memory prediction for covid19 time series
topic prediction
neural network
lstm
acute respiratory syndrome
covid-19
root mean squared error
url http://journal.telfor.rs/Published/Vol13No2/Vol13No2_A4.pdf
work_keys_str_mv AT msmilivojevic longshorttermmemorypredictionforcovid19timeseries
AT agavrovska longshorttermmemorypredictionforcovid19timeseries