The dynamics of uncertainty, macroeconomic variables, and capital market performance: A case study of Nigeria

Economic uncertainty is gradually spreading across the globe due to government intervention and global development. Though it has been extensively shown in the literature that uncertainty impacts every economic sector, various economic agents also respond to uncertainty differently, particularly whe...

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Main Authors: Emmanuel Ayeni, Oluwaseyi Fanibuyan
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2022-12-01
Series:Research in Globalization
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2590051X22000284
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author Emmanuel Ayeni
Oluwaseyi Fanibuyan
author_facet Emmanuel Ayeni
Oluwaseyi Fanibuyan
author_sort Emmanuel Ayeni
collection DOAJ
description Economic uncertainty is gradually spreading across the globe due to government intervention and global development. Though it has been extensively shown in the literature that uncertainty impacts every economic sector, various economic agents also respond to uncertainty differently, particularly when faced with an unexpected shock. Thus, this study explores the interrelationship between uncertainty, macroeconomic variables, and capital market performance in Nigeria. Findings show that uncertainty has no impact on the macroeconomic performance of Nigeria. However, the prices of crude oil impact macroeconomic performance in the country as it has a positive and significant impact on the gross domestic product, all-share index, and money supply of the Nigerian economy. The economy is exposed to external uncertainty from crude oil exports which trigger domestic uncertainty leading to macroeconomic instability in Nigeria. The study thereby recommended that a framework be developed in the Nigerian economy to reduce the domestic economy from external shock because the internal shock was found to be insignificant.
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spelling doaj.art-8d63323343584040a13a7b813cf8b2c32022-12-22T04:40:29ZengElsevierResearch in Globalization2590-051X2022-12-015100107The dynamics of uncertainty, macroeconomic variables, and capital market performance: A case study of NigeriaEmmanuel Ayeni0Oluwaseyi Fanibuyan1Corresponding author.; University of Ibadan, Faculty of Economic and Management Science, NigeriaUniversity of Ibadan, Faculty of Economic and Management Science, NigeriaEconomic uncertainty is gradually spreading across the globe due to government intervention and global development. Though it has been extensively shown in the literature that uncertainty impacts every economic sector, various economic agents also respond to uncertainty differently, particularly when faced with an unexpected shock. Thus, this study explores the interrelationship between uncertainty, macroeconomic variables, and capital market performance in Nigeria. Findings show that uncertainty has no impact on the macroeconomic performance of Nigeria. However, the prices of crude oil impact macroeconomic performance in the country as it has a positive and significant impact on the gross domestic product, all-share index, and money supply of the Nigerian economy. The economy is exposed to external uncertainty from crude oil exports which trigger domestic uncertainty leading to macroeconomic instability in Nigeria. The study thereby recommended that a framework be developed in the Nigerian economy to reduce the domestic economy from external shock because the internal shock was found to be insignificant.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2590051X22000284UncertaintyEconomy performanceAll share indexMoney supplyGross domestic product
spellingShingle Emmanuel Ayeni
Oluwaseyi Fanibuyan
The dynamics of uncertainty, macroeconomic variables, and capital market performance: A case study of Nigeria
Research in Globalization
Uncertainty
Economy performance
All share index
Money supply
Gross domestic product
title The dynamics of uncertainty, macroeconomic variables, and capital market performance: A case study of Nigeria
title_full The dynamics of uncertainty, macroeconomic variables, and capital market performance: A case study of Nigeria
title_fullStr The dynamics of uncertainty, macroeconomic variables, and capital market performance: A case study of Nigeria
title_full_unstemmed The dynamics of uncertainty, macroeconomic variables, and capital market performance: A case study of Nigeria
title_short The dynamics of uncertainty, macroeconomic variables, and capital market performance: A case study of Nigeria
title_sort dynamics of uncertainty macroeconomic variables and capital market performance a case study of nigeria
topic Uncertainty
Economy performance
All share index
Money supply
Gross domestic product
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2590051X22000284
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