Landslide Susceptibility Mapping Using Multi-Criteria Decision-Making (MCDM), Statistical, and Machine Learning Models in the Aube Department, France

Landslides are among the most relevant and potentially damaging natural risks, causing material and human losses. The department of Aube in France is well known for several major landslide occurrences. This study focuses on the assessment of Landslide Susceptibility (LS) using the Frequency Ratio (F...

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Main Authors: Abdessamad Jari, Achraf Khaddari, Soufiane Hajaj, El Mostafa Bachaoui, Sabine Mohammedi, Amine Jellouli, Hassan Mosaid, Abderrazak El Harti, Ahmed Barakat
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2023-09-01
Series:Earth
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2673-4834/4/3/37
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author Abdessamad Jari
Achraf Khaddari
Soufiane Hajaj
El Mostafa Bachaoui
Sabine Mohammedi
Amine Jellouli
Hassan Mosaid
Abderrazak El Harti
Ahmed Barakat
author_facet Abdessamad Jari
Achraf Khaddari
Soufiane Hajaj
El Mostafa Bachaoui
Sabine Mohammedi
Amine Jellouli
Hassan Mosaid
Abderrazak El Harti
Ahmed Barakat
author_sort Abdessamad Jari
collection DOAJ
description Landslides are among the most relevant and potentially damaging natural risks, causing material and human losses. The department of Aube in France is well known for several major landslide occurrences. This study focuses on the assessment of Landslide Susceptibility (LS) using the Frequency Ratio (FR) as a statistical method, the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) as a Multi-Criteria Decision-Making (MCDM) method, and Random Forest (RF) and k-Nearest Neighbor (kNN) as machine learning methods in the Aube department, northeast of France. Subsequently, the thematic layers of eight landslide causative factors, including distance to hydrography, density of quarries, elevation, slope, lithology, distance to roads, distance to faults, and rainfall, were generated in the geographic information system (GIS) environment. The thematic layers were integrated and processed to map landslide susceptibility in the study area. On the other hand, an inventory of landslides was carried out based on the database created by the French Geological Survey (BRGM), where 157 landslide occurrences were selected, and then RF and kNN models were trained to generate landslide maps (LSMs) of the study area. The generated maps were assessed by using the Area Under the Receiver Operating Characteristic Curve (ROC AUC). Subsequently, the accuracy assessment of the FR model revealed more accurate results (AUC = 66.0%) than AHP, outperforming the latter by 6%, while machine learning models results showed that RF gave better results than kNN (<7.3%) with AUC = 95%. Following the analysis of LS mapping results, lithology, distance to the hydrographic network, distance to roads, and elevation were the four main factors controlling landslide susceptibility in the study area. Future mitigation and protection activities within the Aube department can benefit from the present study mapping results, implicating an optimized land management for decision-makers.
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spelling doaj.art-8d880f015d90450ba72055bd533b0c232023-11-19T10:17:49ZengMDPI AGEarth2673-48342023-09-014369871310.3390/earth4030037Landslide Susceptibility Mapping Using Multi-Criteria Decision-Making (MCDM), Statistical, and Machine Learning Models in the Aube Department, FranceAbdessamad Jari0Achraf Khaddari1Soufiane Hajaj2El Mostafa Bachaoui3Sabine Mohammedi4Amine Jellouli5Hassan Mosaid6Abderrazak El Harti7Ahmed Barakat8Applied Sciences Ile-de-France Institute, Gustave Eiffel University, 77420 Champs-sur-Marne, FranceLaboratory of Geosciences, Faculty of Sciences, Ibn Tofail University, Morocco University Campus, Kenitra PB 133, MoroccoGeomatics, Georesources and Environment Laboratory, Faculty of Sciences and Techniques, Sultan Moulay Slimane University, Beni-Mellal 23000, MoroccoGeomatics, Georesources and Environment Laboratory, Faculty of Sciences and Techniques, Sultan Moulay Slimane University, Beni-Mellal 23000, MoroccoApplied Sciences Ile-de-France Institute, Gustave Eiffel University, 77420 Champs-sur-Marne, FranceGeomatics, Georesources and Environment Laboratory, Faculty of Sciences and Techniques, Sultan Moulay Slimane University, Beni-Mellal 23000, MoroccoGeomatics, Georesources and Environment Laboratory, Faculty of Sciences and Techniques, Sultan Moulay Slimane University, Beni-Mellal 23000, MoroccoGeomatics, Georesources and Environment Laboratory, Faculty of Sciences and Techniques, Sultan Moulay Slimane University, Beni-Mellal 23000, MoroccoGeomatics, Georesources and Environment Laboratory, Faculty of Sciences and Techniques, Sultan Moulay Slimane University, Beni-Mellal 23000, MoroccoLandslides are among the most relevant and potentially damaging natural risks, causing material and human losses. The department of Aube in France is well known for several major landslide occurrences. This study focuses on the assessment of Landslide Susceptibility (LS) using the Frequency Ratio (FR) as a statistical method, the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) as a Multi-Criteria Decision-Making (MCDM) method, and Random Forest (RF) and k-Nearest Neighbor (kNN) as machine learning methods in the Aube department, northeast of France. Subsequently, the thematic layers of eight landslide causative factors, including distance to hydrography, density of quarries, elevation, slope, lithology, distance to roads, distance to faults, and rainfall, were generated in the geographic information system (GIS) environment. The thematic layers were integrated and processed to map landslide susceptibility in the study area. On the other hand, an inventory of landslides was carried out based on the database created by the French Geological Survey (BRGM), where 157 landslide occurrences were selected, and then RF and kNN models were trained to generate landslide maps (LSMs) of the study area. The generated maps were assessed by using the Area Under the Receiver Operating Characteristic Curve (ROC AUC). Subsequently, the accuracy assessment of the FR model revealed more accurate results (AUC = 66.0%) than AHP, outperforming the latter by 6%, while machine learning models results showed that RF gave better results than kNN (<7.3%) with AUC = 95%. Following the analysis of LS mapping results, lithology, distance to the hydrographic network, distance to roads, and elevation were the four main factors controlling landslide susceptibility in the study area. Future mitigation and protection activities within the Aube department can benefit from the present study mapping results, implicating an optimized land management for decision-makers.https://www.mdpi.com/2673-4834/4/3/37landslide susceptibilityanalytic hierarchy processfrequency ratiorandom forestk-nearest neighborAube department
spellingShingle Abdessamad Jari
Achraf Khaddari
Soufiane Hajaj
El Mostafa Bachaoui
Sabine Mohammedi
Amine Jellouli
Hassan Mosaid
Abderrazak El Harti
Ahmed Barakat
Landslide Susceptibility Mapping Using Multi-Criteria Decision-Making (MCDM), Statistical, and Machine Learning Models in the Aube Department, France
Earth
landslide susceptibility
analytic hierarchy process
frequency ratio
random forest
k-nearest neighbor
Aube department
title Landslide Susceptibility Mapping Using Multi-Criteria Decision-Making (MCDM), Statistical, and Machine Learning Models in the Aube Department, France
title_full Landslide Susceptibility Mapping Using Multi-Criteria Decision-Making (MCDM), Statistical, and Machine Learning Models in the Aube Department, France
title_fullStr Landslide Susceptibility Mapping Using Multi-Criteria Decision-Making (MCDM), Statistical, and Machine Learning Models in the Aube Department, France
title_full_unstemmed Landslide Susceptibility Mapping Using Multi-Criteria Decision-Making (MCDM), Statistical, and Machine Learning Models in the Aube Department, France
title_short Landslide Susceptibility Mapping Using Multi-Criteria Decision-Making (MCDM), Statistical, and Machine Learning Models in the Aube Department, France
title_sort landslide susceptibility mapping using multi criteria decision making mcdm statistical and machine learning models in the aube department france
topic landslide susceptibility
analytic hierarchy process
frequency ratio
random forest
k-nearest neighbor
Aube department
url https://www.mdpi.com/2673-4834/4/3/37
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