Will Greenland be the last refuge for the continental European small-white orchid?Niche modeling of future distribution of Pseudorchis albida
Climate change affects populations of plants, animals, and fungi not only by direct modifications of their climatic niches but also by altering their ecological interactions. In this study, the future distribution of suitable habitats for the small-white orchid (Pseudorchis albida) was predicted usi...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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Frontiers Media S.A.
2022-12-01
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| Series: | Frontiers in Environmental Science |
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| Online Access: | https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fenvs.2022.912428/full |
| _version_ | 1797975532207341568 |
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| author | Marta Kolanowska Marta Kolanowska Sławomir Nowak Agnieszka Rewicz |
| author_facet | Marta Kolanowska Marta Kolanowska Sławomir Nowak Agnieszka Rewicz |
| author_sort | Marta Kolanowska |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Climate change affects populations of plants, animals, and fungi not only by direct modifications of their climatic niches but also by altering their ecological interactions. In this study, the future distribution of suitable habitats for the small-white orchid (Pseudorchis albida) was predicted using ecological niche modeling. In addition, the effect of global warming on the spatial distribution and availability of the pollen vectors of this species was evaluated. Due to the inconsistency in the taxonomic concepts of Pseudorchis albida, the differences in the climatic preferences of three proposed subspecies were investigated. Due to the overlap of both morphological and ecological characters of ssp. albida and ssp. tricuspis, they are considered to be synonyms, and the final analyses were carried out using ssp. albida s.l. and ssp. straminea. All of the models predict that with global warming, the number of suitable niches for these orchids will increase. This significant increase in preferred habitats is expected to occur in Greenland, but habitat loss in continental Europe will be severe. Within continental Europe, Pseudorchis albida ssp. albida will lose 44%–98% of its suitable niches and P. albida ssp. straminea will lose 46%–91% of its currently available habitats. An opposite effect of global warming was predicted for pollinators of P. albida s.l., and almost all insects studied will be subject to habitat loss. Still, within the predicted potential geographical ranges of the orchid studied, some pollen vectors are expected to occur, and these can support the long-term survival of the small-white orchid. |
| first_indexed | 2024-04-11T04:37:02Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-8d8ead82753b4d599ccf56eb394ed7e1 |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 2296-665X |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-04-11T04:37:02Z |
| publishDate | 2022-12-01 |
| publisher | Frontiers Media S.A. |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Frontiers in Environmental Science |
| spelling | doaj.art-8d8ead82753b4d599ccf56eb394ed7e12022-12-28T11:27:48ZengFrontiers Media S.A.Frontiers in Environmental Science2296-665X2022-12-011010.3389/fenvs.2022.912428912428Will Greenland be the last refuge for the continental European small-white orchid?Niche modeling of future distribution of Pseudorchis albidaMarta Kolanowska0Marta Kolanowska1Sławomir Nowak2Agnieszka Rewicz3Department of Geobotany and Plant Ecology, Faculty of Biology and Environmental Protection, University of Lodz, Lodz, PolandDepartment of Biodiversity Research, Global Change Research Institute AS CR, Brno, Czech RepublicDepartment of Plant Taxonomy and Nature Conservation, Faculty of Biology, University of Gdańsk, Gdańsk, PolandDepartment of Geobotany and Plant Ecology, Faculty of Biology and Environmental Protection, University of Lodz, Lodz, PolandClimate change affects populations of plants, animals, and fungi not only by direct modifications of their climatic niches but also by altering their ecological interactions. In this study, the future distribution of suitable habitats for the small-white orchid (Pseudorchis albida) was predicted using ecological niche modeling. In addition, the effect of global warming on the spatial distribution and availability of the pollen vectors of this species was evaluated. Due to the inconsistency in the taxonomic concepts of Pseudorchis albida, the differences in the climatic preferences of three proposed subspecies were investigated. Due to the overlap of both morphological and ecological characters of ssp. albida and ssp. tricuspis, they are considered to be synonyms, and the final analyses were carried out using ssp. albida s.l. and ssp. straminea. All of the models predict that with global warming, the number of suitable niches for these orchids will increase. This significant increase in preferred habitats is expected to occur in Greenland, but habitat loss in continental Europe will be severe. Within continental Europe, Pseudorchis albida ssp. albida will lose 44%–98% of its suitable niches and P. albida ssp. straminea will lose 46%–91% of its currently available habitats. An opposite effect of global warming was predicted for pollinators of P. albida s.l., and almost all insects studied will be subject to habitat loss. Still, within the predicted potential geographical ranges of the orchid studied, some pollen vectors are expected to occur, and these can support the long-term survival of the small-white orchid.https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fenvs.2022.912428/fullbioclimatic preferenceshabitat lossglobal warmingpollinatorsPseudorchis albida ssp. tricuspisPseudorchis albida ssp. straminea |
| spellingShingle | Marta Kolanowska Marta Kolanowska Sławomir Nowak Agnieszka Rewicz Will Greenland be the last refuge for the continental European small-white orchid?Niche modeling of future distribution of Pseudorchis albida Frontiers in Environmental Science bioclimatic preferences habitat loss global warming pollinators Pseudorchis albida ssp. tricuspis Pseudorchis albida ssp. straminea |
| title | Will Greenland be the last refuge for the continental European small-white orchid?Niche modeling of future distribution of Pseudorchis albida |
| title_full | Will Greenland be the last refuge for the continental European small-white orchid?Niche modeling of future distribution of Pseudorchis albida |
| title_fullStr | Will Greenland be the last refuge for the continental European small-white orchid?Niche modeling of future distribution of Pseudorchis albida |
| title_full_unstemmed | Will Greenland be the last refuge for the continental European small-white orchid?Niche modeling of future distribution of Pseudorchis albida |
| title_short | Will Greenland be the last refuge for the continental European small-white orchid?Niche modeling of future distribution of Pseudorchis albida |
| title_sort | will greenland be the last refuge for the continental european small white orchid niche modeling of future distribution of pseudorchis albida |
| topic | bioclimatic preferences habitat loss global warming pollinators Pseudorchis albida ssp. tricuspis Pseudorchis albida ssp. straminea |
| url | https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fenvs.2022.912428/full |
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