Association between age at diabetes onset or diabetes duration and subsequent risk of pancreatic cancer: Results from a longitudinal cohort and mendelian randomization study

Summary: Background: The aim of the study is to estimate the incidence of pancreatic cancer among individuals with new-onset type 2 Diabetes (T2DM) and evaluate the relationship of pancreatic cancer risk with age at diabetes onset and diabetes duration. Methods: This longitudinal cohort study inclu...

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Main Authors: Baiyong Shen, Yanyun Li, Chang-Sheng Sheng, Lili Liu, Tianzhichao Hou, Nan Xia, Siming Sun, Ya Miao, Yi Pang, Kai Gu, Xiongxiong Lu, Chenlei Wen, Yi Cheng, Yulin Yang, Dan Wang, Yijie Zhu, Minna Cheng, Katie Harris, Zachary T. Bloomgarden, Jingyan Tian, John Chalmers, Yan Shi
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2023-01-01
Series:The Lancet Regional Health. Western Pacific
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2666606522002115
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author Baiyong Shen
Yanyun Li
Chang-Sheng Sheng
Lili Liu
Tianzhichao Hou
Nan Xia
Siming Sun
Ya Miao
Yi Pang
Kai Gu
Xiongxiong Lu
Chenlei Wen
Yi Cheng
Yulin Yang
Dan Wang
Yijie Zhu
Minna Cheng
Katie Harris
Zachary T. Bloomgarden
Jingyan Tian
John Chalmers
Yan Shi
author_facet Baiyong Shen
Yanyun Li
Chang-Sheng Sheng
Lili Liu
Tianzhichao Hou
Nan Xia
Siming Sun
Ya Miao
Yi Pang
Kai Gu
Xiongxiong Lu
Chenlei Wen
Yi Cheng
Yulin Yang
Dan Wang
Yijie Zhu
Minna Cheng
Katie Harris
Zachary T. Bloomgarden
Jingyan Tian
John Chalmers
Yan Shi
author_sort Baiyong Shen
collection DOAJ
description Summary: Background: The aim of the study is to estimate the incidence of pancreatic cancer among individuals with new-onset type 2 Diabetes (T2DM) and evaluate the relationship of pancreatic cancer risk with age at diabetes onset and diabetes duration. Methods: This longitudinal cohort study included 428,362 new-onset T2DM patients in Shanghai and Mendelian randomization (MR) in the east-Asian population were used to investigate the association. Incidence rates of pancreatic cancer in all patients and by subgroups were calculated and compared to the general population. Findings: A total of 1056 incident pancreatic cancer cases were identified during eight consecutive years of follow-up. The overall pancreatic cancer annual incidence rate was 55·28/100,000 person years in T2DM patients, higher than that in the general population, with a standardized incidence ratio (SIR) of 1·54 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1·45–1·64). The incidence of pancreatic cancer increased with age and a significantly higher incidence was observed in the older groups with T2DM. However, the relative pancreatic cancer risk was inversely related to age of T2DM onset, and a higher SIR of 5·73 (95%CI, 4·49–7·22) was observed in the 20–54 years old group. The risk of pancreatic cancer was elevated at any diabetes duration. Fasting blood glucose ≥10·0 mmol/L was associated with increased risk of pancreatic cancer. MR analysis indicated a positive association between T2DM and pancreatic cancer risk. Interpretation: Efforts toward early and close follow-up programs, especially in individuals with young-onset T2DM, and the improvement of glucose control might represent effective strategies for improving the detection and results of treatment of pancreatic cancer. Funding: Chinese National Natural Science Foundation.
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spelling doaj.art-8db08795b5bd46b9b91deb7bf6481b5e2022-12-22T04:18:19ZengElsevierThe Lancet Regional Health. Western Pacific2666-60652023-01-0130100596Association between age at diabetes onset or diabetes duration and subsequent risk of pancreatic cancer: Results from a longitudinal cohort and mendelian randomization studyBaiyong Shen0Yanyun Li1Chang-Sheng Sheng2Lili Liu3Tianzhichao Hou4Nan Xia5Siming Sun6Ya Miao7Yi Pang8Kai Gu9Xiongxiong Lu10Chenlei Wen11Yi Cheng12Yulin Yang13Dan Wang14Yijie Zhu15Minna Cheng16Katie Harris17Zachary T. Bloomgarden18Jingyan Tian19John Chalmers20Yan Shi21Department of General Surgery, Pancreatic Disease Center, Ruijin Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China; Research Institute of Pancreatic Diseases, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China; State Key Laboratory of Oncogenes and Related Genes, Shanghai, China; Institute of Translational Medicine, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai, China; Corresponding author at: Department of General Surgery, Pancreatic Disease Center, Ruijin Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, 197 Ruijin Er Road, Shanghai, 200025 China.Division of Chronic Non-Communicable Disease and Injury, Shanghai municipal center for disease control and prevention, Shanghai, 200336, ChinaDepartment of Cardiovascular Medicine, Center for Epidemiological Studies and Clinical Trials and Center for Vascular Evaluation, Shanghai Key Lab of Hypertension, Shanghai Institute of Hypertension, Ruijin Hospital, Shanghai Jiaotong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, ChinaDivision of Chronic Non-Communicable Disease and Injury, Shanghai municipal center for disease control and prevention, Shanghai, 200336, ChinaState Key Laboratory of Medical Genomics, Clinical Trial Center, Shanghai Institute of Endocrine and Metabolic Diseases, Department of Endocrinology and Metabolism, Ruijin Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, 200025 ChinaState Key Laboratory of Medical Genomics, Clinical Trial Center, Shanghai Institute of Endocrine and Metabolic Diseases, Department of Endocrinology and Metabolism, Ruijin Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, 200025 ChinaMoores Cancer Center, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, United StatesState Key Laboratory of Medical Genomics, Clinical Trial Center, Shanghai Institute of Endocrine and Metabolic Diseases, Department of Endocrinology and Metabolism, Ruijin Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, 200025 ChinaDivision of Chronic Non-Communicable Disease and Injury, Shanghai municipal center for disease control and prevention, Shanghai, 200336, ChinaDivision of Chronic Non-Communicable Disease and Injury, Shanghai municipal center for disease control and prevention, Shanghai, 200336, ChinaDepartment of General Surgery, Pancreatic Disease Center, Ruijin Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China; Research Institute of Pancreatic Diseases, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China; State Key Laboratory of Oncogenes and Related Genes, Shanghai, China; Institute of Translational Medicine, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai, ChinaDepartment of General Surgery, Pancreatic Disease Center, Ruijin Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China; Research Institute of Pancreatic Diseases, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China; State Key Laboratory of Oncogenes and Related Genes, Shanghai, China; Institute of Translational Medicine, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai, ChinaDepartment of Cardiovascular Medicine, Center for Epidemiological Studies and Clinical Trials and Center for Vascular Evaluation, Shanghai Key Lab of Hypertension, Shanghai Institute of Hypertension, Ruijin Hospital, Shanghai Jiaotong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, ChinaState Key Laboratory of Medical Genomics, Clinical Trial Center, Shanghai Institute of Endocrine and Metabolic Diseases, Department of Endocrinology and Metabolism, Ruijin Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, 200025 ChinaDepartment of Cardiovascular Medicine, Center for Epidemiological Studies and Clinical Trials and Center for Vascular Evaluation, Shanghai Key Lab of Hypertension, Shanghai Institute of Hypertension, Ruijin Hospital, Shanghai Jiaotong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, ChinaState Key Laboratory of Medical Genomics, Clinical Trial Center, Shanghai Institute of Endocrine and Metabolic Diseases, Department of Endocrinology and Metabolism, Ruijin Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, 200025 ChinaDivision of Chronic Non-Communicable Disease and Injury, Shanghai municipal center for disease control and prevention, Shanghai, 200336, ChinaThe George Institute for Global Health, University of New South Wales, Sydney, New South Wales, AustraliaDepartment of Medicine, Division of Endocrinology, Diabetes, and Bone Disease, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, United StatesState Key Laboratory of Medical Genomics, Clinical Trial Center, Shanghai Institute of Endocrine and Metabolic Diseases, Department of Endocrinology and Metabolism, Ruijin Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, 200025 China; Corresponding author at: State Key Laboratory of Medical Genomics, Clinical Trial Center, Shanghai National Clinical Research Center for Endocrine and Metabolic Diseases, Shanghai Institute of Endocrine and Metabolic Diseases, Department of Endocrinology and Metabolism, Ruijin Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, 197 Ruijin Er Road, Shanghai, 200025 China.The George Institute for Global Health, University of New South Wales, Sydney, New South Wales, AustraliaDivision of Chronic Non-Communicable Disease and Injury, Shanghai municipal center for disease control and prevention, Shanghai, 200336, China; Shanghai Clinical Research Center for Aging and Medicine, Shanghai, China; Corresponding author at: Division of Chronic Non-Communicable Disease and Injury, Shanghai municipal center for disease control and prevention, Shanghai Clinical Research Center for Aging and Medicine, 1380 Zhong Shan Xi Road, Shanghai, 200336, China.Summary: Background: The aim of the study is to estimate the incidence of pancreatic cancer among individuals with new-onset type 2 Diabetes (T2DM) and evaluate the relationship of pancreatic cancer risk with age at diabetes onset and diabetes duration. Methods: This longitudinal cohort study included 428,362 new-onset T2DM patients in Shanghai and Mendelian randomization (MR) in the east-Asian population were used to investigate the association. Incidence rates of pancreatic cancer in all patients and by subgroups were calculated and compared to the general population. Findings: A total of 1056 incident pancreatic cancer cases were identified during eight consecutive years of follow-up. The overall pancreatic cancer annual incidence rate was 55·28/100,000 person years in T2DM patients, higher than that in the general population, with a standardized incidence ratio (SIR) of 1·54 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1·45–1·64). The incidence of pancreatic cancer increased with age and a significantly higher incidence was observed in the older groups with T2DM. However, the relative pancreatic cancer risk was inversely related to age of T2DM onset, and a higher SIR of 5·73 (95%CI, 4·49–7·22) was observed in the 20–54 years old group. The risk of pancreatic cancer was elevated at any diabetes duration. Fasting blood glucose ≥10·0 mmol/L was associated with increased risk of pancreatic cancer. MR analysis indicated a positive association between T2DM and pancreatic cancer risk. Interpretation: Efforts toward early and close follow-up programs, especially in individuals with young-onset T2DM, and the improvement of glucose control might represent effective strategies for improving the detection and results of treatment of pancreatic cancer. Funding: Chinese National Natural Science Foundation.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2666606522002115Type 2 diabetes mellitusPancreatic cancerOnset ageDiabetes durationMendelian randomization
spellingShingle Baiyong Shen
Yanyun Li
Chang-Sheng Sheng
Lili Liu
Tianzhichao Hou
Nan Xia
Siming Sun
Ya Miao
Yi Pang
Kai Gu
Xiongxiong Lu
Chenlei Wen
Yi Cheng
Yulin Yang
Dan Wang
Yijie Zhu
Minna Cheng
Katie Harris
Zachary T. Bloomgarden
Jingyan Tian
John Chalmers
Yan Shi
Association between age at diabetes onset or diabetes duration and subsequent risk of pancreatic cancer: Results from a longitudinal cohort and mendelian randomization study
The Lancet Regional Health. Western Pacific
Type 2 diabetes mellitus
Pancreatic cancer
Onset age
Diabetes duration
Mendelian randomization
title Association between age at diabetes onset or diabetes duration and subsequent risk of pancreatic cancer: Results from a longitudinal cohort and mendelian randomization study
title_full Association between age at diabetes onset or diabetes duration and subsequent risk of pancreatic cancer: Results from a longitudinal cohort and mendelian randomization study
title_fullStr Association between age at diabetes onset or diabetes duration and subsequent risk of pancreatic cancer: Results from a longitudinal cohort and mendelian randomization study
title_full_unstemmed Association between age at diabetes onset or diabetes duration and subsequent risk of pancreatic cancer: Results from a longitudinal cohort and mendelian randomization study
title_short Association between age at diabetes onset or diabetes duration and subsequent risk of pancreatic cancer: Results from a longitudinal cohort and mendelian randomization study
title_sort association between age at diabetes onset or diabetes duration and subsequent risk of pancreatic cancer results from a longitudinal cohort and mendelian randomization study
topic Type 2 diabetes mellitus
Pancreatic cancer
Onset age
Diabetes duration
Mendelian randomization
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2666606522002115
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