Monetary Policy and External Factors: Empirical Evidence for Association of Southeast Asian Nations 3

The motivation for this paper is the external factors can be the important objectives of the monetary policy in a small open economy. This study will extend the standard Taylor rule that initially encompassed output and inflation by adding the exchange rate and terms of trade. By using the augmente...

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Main Authors: Pei-Tha Gan, Nyuk-Ling Lee, Mohd Yahya Mohd Hussin, Norimah Rambeli
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: EconJournals 2016-10-01
Series:International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues
Online Access:https://econjournals.com/index.php/ijefi/article/view/2989
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author Pei-Tha Gan
Nyuk-Ling Lee
Mohd Yahya Mohd Hussin
Norimah Rambeli
author_facet Pei-Tha Gan
Nyuk-Ling Lee
Mohd Yahya Mohd Hussin
Norimah Rambeli
author_sort Pei-Tha Gan
collection DOAJ
description The motivation for this paper is the external factors can be the important objectives of the monetary policy in a small open economy. This study will extend the standard Taylor rule that initially encompassed output and inflation by adding the exchange rate and terms of trade. By using the augmented Taylor rule, this paper examines exchange rates and terms of trade and determines its empirical validity based on a sample of ASEAN-3 countries. Using the technique of unrestricted error correction model, the findings provide some policy implications; the uncertain movements of the exchange rate and terms of trade can be fine-tuned by the central bank's interest rate instrument, and the inflation and output are useful policy indicators for monetary decision making of central bank, which eventually promotes the best economic outcomes. Keywords Exchange rate, Monetary policy, Taylor rule, Terms of trade JEL Classifications: C61, E58, E61, F41
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spelling doaj.art-8e56f7b12c944772a9fd9f5d4c0849452023-02-15T16:11:51ZengEconJournalsInternational Journal of Economics and Financial Issues2146-41382016-10-0164Monetary Policy and External Factors: Empirical Evidence for Association of Southeast Asian Nations 3Pei-Tha Gan0Nyuk-Ling LeeMohd Yahya Mohd HussinNorimah RambeliUniversiti Pendidikan Sultan Idris (Sultan Idris Education University) The motivation for this paper is the external factors can be the important objectives of the monetary policy in a small open economy. This study will extend the standard Taylor rule that initially encompassed output and inflation by adding the exchange rate and terms of trade. By using the augmented Taylor rule, this paper examines exchange rates and terms of trade and determines its empirical validity based on a sample of ASEAN-3 countries. Using the technique of unrestricted error correction model, the findings provide some policy implications; the uncertain movements of the exchange rate and terms of trade can be fine-tuned by the central bank's interest rate instrument, and the inflation and output are useful policy indicators for monetary decision making of central bank, which eventually promotes the best economic outcomes. Keywords Exchange rate, Monetary policy, Taylor rule, Terms of trade JEL Classifications: C61, E58, E61, F41 https://econjournals.com/index.php/ijefi/article/view/2989
spellingShingle Pei-Tha Gan
Nyuk-Ling Lee
Mohd Yahya Mohd Hussin
Norimah Rambeli
Monetary Policy and External Factors: Empirical Evidence for Association of Southeast Asian Nations 3
International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues
title Monetary Policy and External Factors: Empirical Evidence for Association of Southeast Asian Nations 3
title_full Monetary Policy and External Factors: Empirical Evidence for Association of Southeast Asian Nations 3
title_fullStr Monetary Policy and External Factors: Empirical Evidence for Association of Southeast Asian Nations 3
title_full_unstemmed Monetary Policy and External Factors: Empirical Evidence for Association of Southeast Asian Nations 3
title_short Monetary Policy and External Factors: Empirical Evidence for Association of Southeast Asian Nations 3
title_sort monetary policy and external factors empirical evidence for association of southeast asian nations 3
url https://econjournals.com/index.php/ijefi/article/view/2989
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AT nyuklinglee monetarypolicyandexternalfactorsempiricalevidenceforassociationofsoutheastasiannations3
AT mohdyahyamohdhussin monetarypolicyandexternalfactorsempiricalevidenceforassociationofsoutheastasiannations3
AT norimahrambeli monetarypolicyandexternalfactorsempiricalevidenceforassociationofsoutheastasiannations3