Extracted features of national and continental daily biweekly growth rates of confirmed COVID-19 cases and deaths via Fourier analysis

Aims: By associating features with orthonormal bases, we analyse the values of the extracted features for the daily biweekly growth rates of COVID-19 confirmed cases and deaths on national and continental levels. Methods: By adopting the concept of Fourier coefficients, we analyse the inner pro...

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Main Author: Ray-Ming Chen
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: AIMS Press 2021-07-01
Series:Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.aimspress.com/article/doi/10.3934/mbe.2021311?viewType=HTML
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author Ray-Ming Chen
author_facet Ray-Ming Chen
author_sort Ray-Ming Chen
collection DOAJ
description Aims: By associating features with orthonormal bases, we analyse the values of the extracted features for the daily biweekly growth rates of COVID-19 confirmed cases and deaths on national and continental levels. Methods: By adopting the concept of Fourier coefficients, we analyse the inner products with respect to temporal and spatial frequencies on national and continental levels. The input data are the global time series data with 117 countries over 109 days on a national level; and 6 continents over 447 days on a continental level. Next, we calculate the Euclidean distance matrices and their average variabilities, which measure the average discrepancy between one feature vector and all others. Then we analyse the temporal and spatial variabilities on a national level. By calculating the temporal inner products on a continental level, we derive and analyse the similarities between the continents. Results: On the national level, the daily biweekly growth rates bear higher similarities in the time dimension than the ones in the space dimension. Furthermore, there exists a strong concurrency between the features for biweekly growth rates of cases and deaths. As far as the trends of the features are concerned, the features are stabler on the continental level, and less predictive on the national level. In addition, there are very high similarities between all the continents, except Asia. Conclusions: The features for daily biweekly growth rates of cases and deaths are extracted via orthonormal frequencies. By tracking the inner products for the input data and the orthonormal features, we could decompose the evolutionary results of COVID-19 into some fundamental frequencies. Though the frequency-based techniques are applied, the interpretation of the features should resort to other methods. By analysing the spectrum of the frequencies, we reveal hidden patterns of the COVID-19 pandemic. This would provide some preliminary research merits for further insightful investigations. It could also be used to predict future trends of daily biweekly growth rates of COVID-19 cases and deaths.
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spelling doaj.art-8e71aaf21194464fa9798c3562e7db832022-12-21T20:37:44ZengAIMS PressMathematical Biosciences and Engineering1551-00182021-07-011856216623810.3934/mbe.2021311Extracted features of national and continental daily biweekly growth rates of confirmed COVID-19 cases and deaths via Fourier analysisRay-Ming Chen0Department of Mathematics and Statistics, Baise University, 21 Zhongshan No. 2 Road, Basie 533000, ChinaAims: By associating features with orthonormal bases, we analyse the values of the extracted features for the daily biweekly growth rates of COVID-19 confirmed cases and deaths on national and continental levels. Methods: By adopting the concept of Fourier coefficients, we analyse the inner products with respect to temporal and spatial frequencies on national and continental levels. The input data are the global time series data with 117 countries over 109 days on a national level; and 6 continents over 447 days on a continental level. Next, we calculate the Euclidean distance matrices and their average variabilities, which measure the average discrepancy between one feature vector and all others. Then we analyse the temporal and spatial variabilities on a national level. By calculating the temporal inner products on a continental level, we derive and analyse the similarities between the continents. Results: On the national level, the daily biweekly growth rates bear higher similarities in the time dimension than the ones in the space dimension. Furthermore, there exists a strong concurrency between the features for biweekly growth rates of cases and deaths. As far as the trends of the features are concerned, the features are stabler on the continental level, and less predictive on the national level. In addition, there are very high similarities between all the continents, except Asia. Conclusions: The features for daily biweekly growth rates of cases and deaths are extracted via orthonormal frequencies. By tracking the inner products for the input data and the orthonormal features, we could decompose the evolutionary results of COVID-19 into some fundamental frequencies. Though the frequency-based techniques are applied, the interpretation of the features should resort to other methods. By analysing the spectrum of the frequencies, we reveal hidden patterns of the COVID-19 pandemic. This would provide some preliminary research merits for further insightful investigations. It could also be used to predict future trends of daily biweekly growth rates of COVID-19 cases and deaths.https://www.aimspress.com/article/doi/10.3934/mbe.2021311?viewType=HTMLcovid-19biweekly growth ratesvariabilityfourier analysistemporal and spatial
spellingShingle Ray-Ming Chen
Extracted features of national and continental daily biweekly growth rates of confirmed COVID-19 cases and deaths via Fourier analysis
Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering
covid-19
biweekly growth rates
variability
fourier analysis
temporal and spatial
title Extracted features of national and continental daily biweekly growth rates of confirmed COVID-19 cases and deaths via Fourier analysis
title_full Extracted features of national and continental daily biweekly growth rates of confirmed COVID-19 cases and deaths via Fourier analysis
title_fullStr Extracted features of national and continental daily biweekly growth rates of confirmed COVID-19 cases and deaths via Fourier analysis
title_full_unstemmed Extracted features of national and continental daily biweekly growth rates of confirmed COVID-19 cases and deaths via Fourier analysis
title_short Extracted features of national and continental daily biweekly growth rates of confirmed COVID-19 cases and deaths via Fourier analysis
title_sort extracted features of national and continental daily biweekly growth rates of confirmed covid 19 cases and deaths via fourier analysis
topic covid-19
biweekly growth rates
variability
fourier analysis
temporal and spatial
url https://www.aimspress.com/article/doi/10.3934/mbe.2021311?viewType=HTML
work_keys_str_mv AT raymingchen extractedfeaturesofnationalandcontinentaldailybiweeklygrowthratesofconfirmedcovid19casesanddeathsviafourieranalysis