Brief communication "A prototype forecasting chain for rainfall induced shallow landslides"
Although shallow landslides are a very widespread phenomenon, large area (e.g. thousands of square kilometres) early warning systems are commonly based on statistical rainfall thresholds, while physically based models are more commonly applied to smaller areas. This work provides a contribution towa...
| Main Authors: | , , , , , , , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
Copernicus Publications
2013-03-01
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| Series: | Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences |
| Online Access: | http://www.nat-hazards-earth-syst-sci.net/13/771/2013/nhess-13-771-2013.pdf |
| _version_ | 1818995081749725184 |
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| author | P. Mercogliano S. Segoni G. Rossi B. Sikorsky V. Tofani P. Schiano F. Catani N. Casagli |
| author_facet | P. Mercogliano S. Segoni G. Rossi B. Sikorsky V. Tofani P. Schiano F. Catani N. Casagli |
| author_sort | P. Mercogliano |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Although shallow landslides are a very widespread phenomenon, large area (e.g. thousands of square kilometres) early warning systems are commonly based on statistical rainfall thresholds, while physically based models are more commonly applied to smaller areas. This work provides a contribution towards the filling of this gap: a forecasting chain is designed assembling a numerical weather prediction model, a statistical rainfall downscaling tool and a geotechnical model for the distributed calculation of the factor of safety on a pixel-by-pixel basis. The forecasting chain can be used to forecast the triggering of shallow landslides with a 48 h lead time and was tested on a 3200 km<sup>2</sup> wide area. |
| first_indexed | 2024-12-20T21:08:11Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-8e79390778494fa3a8a3f5e16cc8a29c |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 1561-8633 1684-9981 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-12-20T21:08:11Z |
| publishDate | 2013-03-01 |
| publisher | Copernicus Publications |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences |
| spelling | doaj.art-8e79390778494fa3a8a3f5e16cc8a29c2022-12-21T19:26:34ZengCopernicus PublicationsNatural Hazards and Earth System Sciences1561-86331684-99812013-03-0113377177710.5194/nhess-13-771-2013Brief communication "A prototype forecasting chain for rainfall induced shallow landslides"P. MercoglianoS. SegoniG. RossiB. SikorskyV. TofaniP. SchianoF. CataniN. CasagliAlthough shallow landslides are a very widespread phenomenon, large area (e.g. thousands of square kilometres) early warning systems are commonly based on statistical rainfall thresholds, while physically based models are more commonly applied to smaller areas. This work provides a contribution towards the filling of this gap: a forecasting chain is designed assembling a numerical weather prediction model, a statistical rainfall downscaling tool and a geotechnical model for the distributed calculation of the factor of safety on a pixel-by-pixel basis. The forecasting chain can be used to forecast the triggering of shallow landslides with a 48 h lead time and was tested on a 3200 km<sup>2</sup> wide area.http://www.nat-hazards-earth-syst-sci.net/13/771/2013/nhess-13-771-2013.pdf |
| spellingShingle | P. Mercogliano S. Segoni G. Rossi B. Sikorsky V. Tofani P. Schiano F. Catani N. Casagli Brief communication "A prototype forecasting chain for rainfall induced shallow landslides" Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences |
| title | Brief communication "A prototype forecasting chain for rainfall induced shallow landslides" |
| title_full | Brief communication "A prototype forecasting chain for rainfall induced shallow landslides" |
| title_fullStr | Brief communication "A prototype forecasting chain for rainfall induced shallow landslides" |
| title_full_unstemmed | Brief communication "A prototype forecasting chain for rainfall induced shallow landslides" |
| title_short | Brief communication "A prototype forecasting chain for rainfall induced shallow landslides" |
| title_sort | brief communication a prototype forecasting chain for rainfall induced shallow landslides |
| url | http://www.nat-hazards-earth-syst-sci.net/13/771/2013/nhess-13-771-2013.pdf |
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