Application of an integrated model for evaluation and optimization of business projects portfolios

This work presents an application of an integrated model for the evaluation and probabilistic optimization of projects portfolios, integrating economic, risk and social and environmental impacts analysis. The model uses the Monte Carlo simulation and linear programming techniques for treatment of un...

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Main Authors: Camila Costa Dutra, Maria Auxiliadora Cannarozzo Tinoco, Rogério Feroldi Miorando
Format: Article
Language:Spanish
Published: Universidad del Bío-Bío 2016-12-01
Series:Ingenieria Industrial
Subjects:
Online Access:http://revistas.ubiobio.cl/index.php/RI/article/view/2950
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author Camila Costa Dutra
Maria Auxiliadora Cannarozzo Tinoco
Rogério Feroldi Miorando
author_facet Camila Costa Dutra
Maria Auxiliadora Cannarozzo Tinoco
Rogério Feroldi Miorando
author_sort Camila Costa Dutra
collection DOAJ
description This work presents an application of an integrated model for the evaluation and probabilistic optimization of projects portfolios, integrating economic, risk and social and environmental impacts analysis. The model uses the Monte Carlo simulation and linear programming techniques for treatment of uncertainties and optimization of projects portfolio. The integrated model was applied in a Brazilian company of electricity distributions. The portfolio of selected projects was related to the expansion of the supply of electricity in a town in the south of the country and the analysis horizon was set in ten years. The aim of the application was to maximize the return for the implementation of a substation and a transmission line in a set of projects, which are diverse in terms of costs, benefits and environmental and social impacts. As a result, the model generates: i) an analysis of each individual projects, from budget information (costs and benefits involved) and estimation of social and environmental impacts generated by the project and the risks (uncertainties) involved and ii) the optimum combination of projects that the company should prioritize to ensure the best financial return and lower social and environmental impacts, thus generating an optimal portfolio.
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spelling doaj.art-8e7ae820f09647d689be20c3419498fe2022-12-22T00:35:16ZspaUniversidad del Bío-BíoIngenieria Industrial0717-91030718-83072016-12-01153Application of an integrated model for evaluation and optimization of business projects portfoliosCamila Costa DutraMaria Auxiliadora Cannarozzo TinocoRogério Feroldi MiorandoThis work presents an application of an integrated model for the evaluation and probabilistic optimization of projects portfolios, integrating economic, risk and social and environmental impacts analysis. The model uses the Monte Carlo simulation and linear programming techniques for treatment of uncertainties and optimization of projects portfolio. The integrated model was applied in a Brazilian company of electricity distributions. The portfolio of selected projects was related to the expansion of the supply of electricity in a town in the south of the country and the analysis horizon was set in ten years. The aim of the application was to maximize the return for the implementation of a substation and a transmission line in a set of projects, which are diverse in terms of costs, benefits and environmental and social impacts. As a result, the model generates: i) an analysis of each individual projects, from budget information (costs and benefits involved) and estimation of social and environmental impacts generated by the project and the risks (uncertainties) involved and ii) the optimum combination of projects that the company should prioritize to ensure the best financial return and lower social and environmental impacts, thus generating an optimal portfolio.http://revistas.ubiobio.cl/index.php/RI/article/view/2950Projects PortfolioEconomic AnalysisRisk AnalysisAnalysis of Social and Environmental Impacts
spellingShingle Camila Costa Dutra
Maria Auxiliadora Cannarozzo Tinoco
Rogério Feroldi Miorando
Application of an integrated model for evaluation and optimization of business projects portfolios
Ingenieria Industrial
Projects Portfolio
Economic Analysis
Risk Analysis
Analysis of Social and Environmental Impacts
title Application of an integrated model for evaluation and optimization of business projects portfolios
title_full Application of an integrated model for evaluation and optimization of business projects portfolios
title_fullStr Application of an integrated model for evaluation and optimization of business projects portfolios
title_full_unstemmed Application of an integrated model for evaluation and optimization of business projects portfolios
title_short Application of an integrated model for evaluation and optimization of business projects portfolios
title_sort application of an integrated model for evaluation and optimization of business projects portfolios
topic Projects Portfolio
Economic Analysis
Risk Analysis
Analysis of Social and Environmental Impacts
url http://revistas.ubiobio.cl/index.php/RI/article/view/2950
work_keys_str_mv AT camilacostadutra applicationofanintegratedmodelforevaluationandoptimizationofbusinessprojectsportfolios
AT mariaauxiliadoracannarozzotinoco applicationofanintegratedmodelforevaluationandoptimizationofbusinessprojectsportfolios
AT rogerioferoldimiorando applicationofanintegratedmodelforevaluationandoptimizationofbusinessprojectsportfolios