Tropical cyclone influence on the long-term variability of Philippine summer monsoon onset

Abstract The long-term variability of Philippine summer monsoon onset from 1903 to 2013 was investigated. The onset date is defined by daily rainfall data at eight stations in the northwestern Philippines. Summer monsoons tended to start earlier in May after the mid-1990s. Other early onset periods...

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Main Authors: Hisayuki Kubota, Ryuichi Shirooka, Jun Matsumoto, Esperanza O. Cayanan, Flaviana D. Hilario
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: SpringerOpen 2017-09-01
Series:Progress in Earth and Planetary Science
Subjects:
Online Access:http://link.springer.com/article/10.1186/s40645-017-0138-5
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author Hisayuki Kubota
Ryuichi Shirooka
Jun Matsumoto
Esperanza O. Cayanan
Flaviana D. Hilario
author_facet Hisayuki Kubota
Ryuichi Shirooka
Jun Matsumoto
Esperanza O. Cayanan
Flaviana D. Hilario
author_sort Hisayuki Kubota
collection DOAJ
description Abstract The long-term variability of Philippine summer monsoon onset from 1903 to 2013 was investigated. The onset date is defined by daily rainfall data at eight stations in the northwestern Philippines. Summer monsoons tended to start earlier in May after the mid-1990s. Other early onset periods were found during the 1900s, 1920s, and 1930s, and an interdecadal variability of summer monsoon onset was identified. Independent surface wind data observed by ships in the South China Sea (SCS) revealed prevailing westerly wind in May during the early monsoon onset period. To identify atmospheric structures that trigger Philippine summer monsoon onset, we focused on the year 2013, conducting intensive upper-air observations. Tropical cyclone (TC) Yagi traveled northward in the Philippine Sea (PS) in 2013 and triggered the Philippine monsoon onset by intensifying moist low-level southwesterly wind in the southwestern Philippines and intensifying low-level southerly wind after the monsoon onset in the northwestern Philippines. The influence of TC was analyzed by the probability of the existence of TC in the PS and the SCS since 1951, which was found to be significantly correlated with the Philippine summer monsoon onset date. After the mid-1990s, early monsoon onset was influenced by active TC formation in the PS and the SCS. However, the role of TC activity decreased during the late summer monsoon periods. In general, it was found that TC activity in the PS and the SCS plays a key role in initiating Philippine summer monsoon onset.
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spelling doaj.art-8ec5e2f2a6d74b148d805c6f21f3e70f2022-12-21T20:48:32ZengSpringerOpenProgress in Earth and Planetary Science2197-42842017-09-014111210.1186/s40645-017-0138-5Tropical cyclone influence on the long-term variability of Philippine summer monsoon onsetHisayuki Kubota0Ryuichi Shirooka1Jun Matsumoto2Esperanza O. Cayanan3Flaviana D. Hilario4Faculty of Science, Hokkaido UniversityDepartment of Coupled Ocean-Atmosphere-Land Processes Research, Japanese Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology (DCOP, JAMSTEC)Department of Coupled Ocean-Atmosphere-Land Processes Research, Japanese Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology (DCOP, JAMSTEC)Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA)Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA)Abstract The long-term variability of Philippine summer monsoon onset from 1903 to 2013 was investigated. The onset date is defined by daily rainfall data at eight stations in the northwestern Philippines. Summer monsoons tended to start earlier in May after the mid-1990s. Other early onset periods were found during the 1900s, 1920s, and 1930s, and an interdecadal variability of summer monsoon onset was identified. Independent surface wind data observed by ships in the South China Sea (SCS) revealed prevailing westerly wind in May during the early monsoon onset period. To identify atmospheric structures that trigger Philippine summer monsoon onset, we focused on the year 2013, conducting intensive upper-air observations. Tropical cyclone (TC) Yagi traveled northward in the Philippine Sea (PS) in 2013 and triggered the Philippine monsoon onset by intensifying moist low-level southwesterly wind in the southwestern Philippines and intensifying low-level southerly wind after the monsoon onset in the northwestern Philippines. The influence of TC was analyzed by the probability of the existence of TC in the PS and the SCS since 1951, which was found to be significantly correlated with the Philippine summer monsoon onset date. After the mid-1990s, early monsoon onset was influenced by active TC formation in the PS and the SCS. However, the role of TC activity decreased during the late summer monsoon periods. In general, it was found that TC activity in the PS and the SCS plays a key role in initiating Philippine summer monsoon onset.http://link.springer.com/article/10.1186/s40645-017-0138-5Summer monsoon onsetTropical cycloneLong-term variabilityInterdecadal variabilityPALAUPhilippines
spellingShingle Hisayuki Kubota
Ryuichi Shirooka
Jun Matsumoto
Esperanza O. Cayanan
Flaviana D. Hilario
Tropical cyclone influence on the long-term variability of Philippine summer monsoon onset
Progress in Earth and Planetary Science
Summer monsoon onset
Tropical cyclone
Long-term variability
Interdecadal variability
PALAU
Philippines
title Tropical cyclone influence on the long-term variability of Philippine summer monsoon onset
title_full Tropical cyclone influence on the long-term variability of Philippine summer monsoon onset
title_fullStr Tropical cyclone influence on the long-term variability of Philippine summer monsoon onset
title_full_unstemmed Tropical cyclone influence on the long-term variability of Philippine summer monsoon onset
title_short Tropical cyclone influence on the long-term variability of Philippine summer monsoon onset
title_sort tropical cyclone influence on the long term variability of philippine summer monsoon onset
topic Summer monsoon onset
Tropical cyclone
Long-term variability
Interdecadal variability
PALAU
Philippines
url http://link.springer.com/article/10.1186/s40645-017-0138-5
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