Drivers for decoupling carbon footprint pressure from economic growth in China’s provinces

A growing imbalance between energy carbon emissions and vegetation carbon sequestration is a major impediment to achieving Sustainable Development Goals. Decoupling the growing imbalance from economic growth needs a stringent and coordinated package of sustainable policies. Previously, enhancing eff...

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Main Authors: Dongzhe Liang, Hongwei Lu, Yanlong Guan, Liyang Feng
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2022-09-01
Series:Geography and Sustainability
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2666683922000554
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author Dongzhe Liang
Hongwei Lu
Yanlong Guan
Liyang Feng
author_facet Dongzhe Liang
Hongwei Lu
Yanlong Guan
Liyang Feng
author_sort Dongzhe Liang
collection DOAJ
description A growing imbalance between energy carbon emissions and vegetation carbon sequestration is a major impediment to achieving Sustainable Development Goals. Decoupling the growing imbalance from economic growth needs a stringent and coordinated package of sustainable policies. Previously, enhancing efficiency and vegetation carbon sequestration were dominant drivers to decouple. However, the role and magnitude of restructurings in the energy sector and economy in decoupling were underestimated. In this context, China’s 30 provinces were selected as study areas. By employing a carbon footprint pressure (CFP) indicator to represent the imbalance, a widely decoupling method was adopted to describe the decoupling state and trend of CFP and economic growth. An extended IPAT equation and the Logarithmic Mean Divisia Index method were further used to reveal the role and magnitude of drivers on decoupling. The findings revealed that the CFP climbed significantly in 26 provinces between 2006 and 2015. We discovered that 22 provinces were working toward absolute decoupling, with 15 provinces achieving it during the 12-th Five-Year Plan. Our analysis revealed that improving energy efficiency was the primary driver of absolute decoupling, while substituting natural gas and oil for coal, reducing industry share, and enhancing carbon sequestration accelerated absolute decoupling. Considering the limited future role of improving energy efficiency and vegetation carbon sequestration, there is an urgent need to optimize and upgrade the structures of the energy sector and economy to mitigate the future climate risk.
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spelling doaj.art-8edc2f9f6b4c46538a8ddafe5c539d5d2022-12-22T02:00:52ZengElsevierGeography and Sustainability2666-68392022-09-0133258267Drivers for decoupling carbon footprint pressure from economic growth in China’s provincesDongzhe Liang0Hongwei Lu1Yanlong Guan2Liyang Feng3School of Water Conservancy and Hydropower Engineering, North China Electric Power University, Beijing 102206, China; Key Laboratory of Water Cycle and Related Land Surface Processes, Institute of Geographic Science and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100101, ChinaKey Laboratory of Water Cycle and Related Land Surface Processes, Institute of Geographic Science and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100101, China; Corresponding author.School of Environmental Science and Engineering, Southern University of Science and Technology, Shenzhen 518055, ChinaState Key Laboratory of Hydraulic Engineering Simulation and Safety, Tianjin University, Tianjin, 300392, ChinaA growing imbalance between energy carbon emissions and vegetation carbon sequestration is a major impediment to achieving Sustainable Development Goals. Decoupling the growing imbalance from economic growth needs a stringent and coordinated package of sustainable policies. Previously, enhancing efficiency and vegetation carbon sequestration were dominant drivers to decouple. However, the role and magnitude of restructurings in the energy sector and economy in decoupling were underestimated. In this context, China’s 30 provinces were selected as study areas. By employing a carbon footprint pressure (CFP) indicator to represent the imbalance, a widely decoupling method was adopted to describe the decoupling state and trend of CFP and economic growth. An extended IPAT equation and the Logarithmic Mean Divisia Index method were further used to reveal the role and magnitude of drivers on decoupling. The findings revealed that the CFP climbed significantly in 26 provinces between 2006 and 2015. We discovered that 22 provinces were working toward absolute decoupling, with 15 provinces achieving it during the 12-th Five-Year Plan. Our analysis revealed that improving energy efficiency was the primary driver of absolute decoupling, while substituting natural gas and oil for coal, reducing industry share, and enhancing carbon sequestration accelerated absolute decoupling. Considering the limited future role of improving energy efficiency and vegetation carbon sequestration, there is an urgent need to optimize and upgrade the structures of the energy sector and economy to mitigate the future climate risk.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2666683922000554Carbon footprint pressureDecoupling indicatorDecomposition analysisChina
spellingShingle Dongzhe Liang
Hongwei Lu
Yanlong Guan
Liyang Feng
Drivers for decoupling carbon footprint pressure from economic growth in China’s provinces
Geography and Sustainability
Carbon footprint pressure
Decoupling indicator
Decomposition analysis
China
title Drivers for decoupling carbon footprint pressure from economic growth in China’s provinces
title_full Drivers for decoupling carbon footprint pressure from economic growth in China’s provinces
title_fullStr Drivers for decoupling carbon footprint pressure from economic growth in China’s provinces
title_full_unstemmed Drivers for decoupling carbon footprint pressure from economic growth in China’s provinces
title_short Drivers for decoupling carbon footprint pressure from economic growth in China’s provinces
title_sort drivers for decoupling carbon footprint pressure from economic growth in china s provinces
topic Carbon footprint pressure
Decoupling indicator
Decomposition analysis
China
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2666683922000554
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AT hongweilu driversfordecouplingcarbonfootprintpressurefromeconomicgrowthinchinasprovinces
AT yanlongguan driversfordecouplingcarbonfootprintpressurefromeconomicgrowthinchinasprovinces
AT liyangfeng driversfordecouplingcarbonfootprintpressurefromeconomicgrowthinchinasprovinces