Satellites reveal a small positive yield effect from conservation tillage across the US Corn Belt

Conservation tillage is a primary tenet of conservation agriculture aimed at restoring and maintaining soil health for long-term crop productivity. Because soil degradation typically operates on century timescales, farmer adoption is influenced by near-term yield impacts and profitability. Although...

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Main Authors: Jillian M Deines, Sherrie Wang, David B Lobell
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: IOP Publishing 2019-01-01
Series:Environmental Research Letters
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab503b
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author Jillian M Deines
Sherrie Wang
David B Lobell
author_facet Jillian M Deines
Sherrie Wang
David B Lobell
author_sort Jillian M Deines
collection DOAJ
description Conservation tillage is a primary tenet of conservation agriculture aimed at restoring and maintaining soil health for long-term crop productivity. Because soil degradation typically operates on century timescales, farmer adoption is influenced by near-term yield impacts and profitability. Although numerous localized field trials have examined the yield impacts of conservation tillage, their results are mixed and often unrepresentative of real-world conditions. Here, we applied a machine-learning causal inference approach to satellite-derived datasets of tillage practices and crop yields spanning the US Corn Belt from 2005 to 2017 to assess on-the-ground yield impacts at field-level resolution across thousands of fields. We found an average 3.3% and 0.74% yield increase for maize and soybeans, respectively, for fields with long-term conservation tillage. This effect was diminished in fields that only recently converted to conservation tillage. We also found significant variability in these effects, and we identified soil and weather characteristics that mediate the direction and magnitude of yield responses. This work supports soil conservation practices by demonstrating they can be used with minimal and typically positive yield impacts.
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spelling doaj.art-8ee5db3742094e5e9918242b5840d9fa2023-08-09T14:48:26ZengIOP PublishingEnvironmental Research Letters1748-93262019-01-01141212403810.1088/1748-9326/ab503bSatellites reveal a small positive yield effect from conservation tillage across the US Corn BeltJillian M Deines0https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4279-8765Sherrie Wang1https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4618-5675David B Lobell2https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5969-3476Department of Earth System Science, Center on Food Security and the Environment, Stanford University , United States of AmericaDepartment of Earth System Science, Center on Food Security and the Environment, Stanford University , United States of America; Institute for Computational and Mathematical Engineering, Stanford University , United States of AmericaDepartment of Earth System Science, Center on Food Security and the Environment, Stanford University , United States of AmericaConservation tillage is a primary tenet of conservation agriculture aimed at restoring and maintaining soil health for long-term crop productivity. Because soil degradation typically operates on century timescales, farmer adoption is influenced by near-term yield impacts and profitability. Although numerous localized field trials have examined the yield impacts of conservation tillage, their results are mixed and often unrepresentative of real-world conditions. Here, we applied a machine-learning causal inference approach to satellite-derived datasets of tillage practices and crop yields spanning the US Corn Belt from 2005 to 2017 to assess on-the-ground yield impacts at field-level resolution across thousands of fields. We found an average 3.3% and 0.74% yield increase for maize and soybeans, respectively, for fields with long-term conservation tillage. This effect was diminished in fields that only recently converted to conservation tillage. We also found significant variability in these effects, and we identified soil and weather characteristics that mediate the direction and magnitude of yield responses. This work supports soil conservation practices by demonstrating they can be used with minimal and typically positive yield impacts.https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab503btillageconservation agriculturecrop yieldsUS Corn BeltLandsatcausal inference
spellingShingle Jillian M Deines
Sherrie Wang
David B Lobell
Satellites reveal a small positive yield effect from conservation tillage across the US Corn Belt
Environmental Research Letters
tillage
conservation agriculture
crop yields
US Corn Belt
Landsat
causal inference
title Satellites reveal a small positive yield effect from conservation tillage across the US Corn Belt
title_full Satellites reveal a small positive yield effect from conservation tillage across the US Corn Belt
title_fullStr Satellites reveal a small positive yield effect from conservation tillage across the US Corn Belt
title_full_unstemmed Satellites reveal a small positive yield effect from conservation tillage across the US Corn Belt
title_short Satellites reveal a small positive yield effect from conservation tillage across the US Corn Belt
title_sort satellites reveal a small positive yield effect from conservation tillage across the us corn belt
topic tillage
conservation agriculture
crop yields
US Corn Belt
Landsat
causal inference
url https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab503b
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AT sherriewang satellitesrevealasmallpositiveyieldeffectfromconservationtillageacrosstheuscornbelt
AT davidblobell satellitesrevealasmallpositiveyieldeffectfromconservationtillageacrosstheuscornbelt