VOICE ON QUANTITATIVE METHODS IN RISK MANAGEMENT BY AN AIR OPERATOR
This article is devoted to the diagnosis of problems arising from risk management obligations under the safety management system implemented in civil organisations of certified air operators (carriers). Focus was on the use of quantitative methods in safety risk analysis. The idea of an approach to...
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Format: | Article |
Language: | English |
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Silesian University of Technology
2020-12-01
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Series: | Scientific Journal of Silesian University of Technology. Series Transport |
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Online Access: | http://sjsutst.polsl.pl/archives/2020/vol109/103_SJSUTST109_2020_Makowski.pdf |
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author | Piotr MAKOWSKI |
author_facet | Piotr MAKOWSKI |
author_sort | Piotr MAKOWSKI |
collection | DOAJ |
description | This article is devoted to the diagnosis of problems arising from risk management obligations under the safety management system implemented in civil organisations of certified air operators (carriers). Focus was on the use of quantitative methods in safety risk analysis. The idea of an approach to determine the probability of accidents and serious incidents based on the intensity of symptoms with lower consequences and risk factors as a function of time or number of performed air operations was proposed, based on Markov discrete processes [6,10-12,16]. The essence of this approach is explained by the mathematical model of Runway Excursion probability during landing operations. The concept of improvement of operators' cooperation in the exchange of information about safety indicators by profiling the organisation was presented. The last proposal concerns the construction of a comprehensive risk assessment indicator using a safety risk matrix. |
first_indexed | 2024-12-22T12:50:34Z |
format | Article |
id | doaj.art-8f152e80618f4a6ab0b1fcc8d3040d25 |
institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
issn | 0209-3324 2450-1549 |
language | English |
last_indexed | 2024-12-22T12:50:34Z |
publishDate | 2020-12-01 |
publisher | Silesian University of Technology |
record_format | Article |
series | Scientific Journal of Silesian University of Technology. Series Transport |
spelling | doaj.art-8f152e80618f4a6ab0b1fcc8d3040d252022-12-21T18:25:14ZengSilesian University of TechnologyScientific Journal of Silesian University of Technology. Series Transport0209-33242450-15492020-12-0110910311610.20858/sjsutst.2020.109.10VOICE ON QUANTITATIVE METHODS IN RISK MANAGEMENT BY AN AIR OPERATORPiotr MAKOWSKIThis article is devoted to the diagnosis of problems arising from risk management obligations under the safety management system implemented in civil organisations of certified air operators (carriers). Focus was on the use of quantitative methods in safety risk analysis. The idea of an approach to determine the probability of accidents and serious incidents based on the intensity of symptoms with lower consequences and risk factors as a function of time or number of performed air operations was proposed, based on Markov discrete processes [6,10-12,16]. The essence of this approach is explained by the mathematical model of Runway Excursion probability during landing operations. The concept of improvement of operators' cooperation in the exchange of information about safety indicators by profiling the organisation was presented. The last proposal concerns the construction of a comprehensive risk assessment indicator using a safety risk matrix.http://sjsutst.polsl.pl/archives/2020/vol109/103_SJSUTST109_2020_Makowski.pdfdiscrete processesquantitative methodsrisk managementsafety risk |
spellingShingle | Piotr MAKOWSKI VOICE ON QUANTITATIVE METHODS IN RISK MANAGEMENT BY AN AIR OPERATOR Scientific Journal of Silesian University of Technology. Series Transport discrete processes quantitative methods risk management safety risk |
title | VOICE ON QUANTITATIVE METHODS IN RISK MANAGEMENT BY AN AIR OPERATOR |
title_full | VOICE ON QUANTITATIVE METHODS IN RISK MANAGEMENT BY AN AIR OPERATOR |
title_fullStr | VOICE ON QUANTITATIVE METHODS IN RISK MANAGEMENT BY AN AIR OPERATOR |
title_full_unstemmed | VOICE ON QUANTITATIVE METHODS IN RISK MANAGEMENT BY AN AIR OPERATOR |
title_short | VOICE ON QUANTITATIVE METHODS IN RISK MANAGEMENT BY AN AIR OPERATOR |
title_sort | voice on quantitative methods in risk management by an air operator |
topic | discrete processes quantitative methods risk management safety risk |
url | http://sjsutst.polsl.pl/archives/2020/vol109/103_SJSUTST109_2020_Makowski.pdf |
work_keys_str_mv | AT piotrmakowski voiceonquantitativemethodsinriskmanagementbyanairoperator |