VOICE ON QUANTITATIVE METHODS IN RISK MANAGEMENT BY AN AIR OPERATOR

This article is devoted to the diagnosis of problems arising from risk management obligations under the safety management system implemented in civil organisations of certified air operators (carriers). Focus was on the use of quantitative methods in safety risk analysis. The idea of an approach to...

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Main Author: Piotr MAKOWSKI
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Silesian University of Technology 2020-12-01
Series:Scientific Journal of Silesian University of Technology. Series Transport
Subjects:
Online Access:http://sjsutst.polsl.pl/archives/2020/vol109/103_SJSUTST109_2020_Makowski.pdf
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author Piotr MAKOWSKI
author_facet Piotr MAKOWSKI
author_sort Piotr MAKOWSKI
collection DOAJ
description This article is devoted to the diagnosis of problems arising from risk management obligations under the safety management system implemented in civil organisations of certified air operators (carriers). Focus was on the use of quantitative methods in safety risk analysis. The idea of an approach to determine the probability of accidents and serious incidents based on the intensity of symptoms with lower consequences and risk factors as a function of time or number of performed air operations was proposed, based on Markov discrete processes [6,10-12,16]. The essence of this approach is explained by the mathematical model of Runway Excursion probability during landing operations. The concept of improvement of operators' cooperation in the exchange of information about safety indicators by profiling the organisation was presented. The last proposal concerns the construction of a comprehensive risk assessment indicator using a safety risk matrix.
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spelling doaj.art-8f152e80618f4a6ab0b1fcc8d3040d252022-12-21T18:25:14ZengSilesian University of TechnologyScientific Journal of Silesian University of Technology. Series Transport0209-33242450-15492020-12-0110910311610.20858/sjsutst.2020.109.10VOICE ON QUANTITATIVE METHODS IN RISK MANAGEMENT BY AN AIR OPERATORPiotr MAKOWSKIThis article is devoted to the diagnosis of problems arising from risk management obligations under the safety management system implemented in civil organisations of certified air operators (carriers). Focus was on the use of quantitative methods in safety risk analysis. The idea of an approach to determine the probability of accidents and serious incidents based on the intensity of symptoms with lower consequences and risk factors as a function of time or number of performed air operations was proposed, based on Markov discrete processes [6,10-12,16]. The essence of this approach is explained by the mathematical model of Runway Excursion probability during landing operations. The concept of improvement of operators' cooperation in the exchange of information about safety indicators by profiling the organisation was presented. The last proposal concerns the construction of a comprehensive risk assessment indicator using a safety risk matrix.http://sjsutst.polsl.pl/archives/2020/vol109/103_SJSUTST109_2020_Makowski.pdfdiscrete processesquantitative methodsrisk managementsafety risk
spellingShingle Piotr MAKOWSKI
VOICE ON QUANTITATIVE METHODS IN RISK MANAGEMENT BY AN AIR OPERATOR
Scientific Journal of Silesian University of Technology. Series Transport
discrete processes
quantitative methods
risk management
safety risk
title VOICE ON QUANTITATIVE METHODS IN RISK MANAGEMENT BY AN AIR OPERATOR
title_full VOICE ON QUANTITATIVE METHODS IN RISK MANAGEMENT BY AN AIR OPERATOR
title_fullStr VOICE ON QUANTITATIVE METHODS IN RISK MANAGEMENT BY AN AIR OPERATOR
title_full_unstemmed VOICE ON QUANTITATIVE METHODS IN RISK MANAGEMENT BY AN AIR OPERATOR
title_short VOICE ON QUANTITATIVE METHODS IN RISK MANAGEMENT BY AN AIR OPERATOR
title_sort voice on quantitative methods in risk management by an air operator
topic discrete processes
quantitative methods
risk management
safety risk
url http://sjsutst.polsl.pl/archives/2020/vol109/103_SJSUTST109_2020_Makowski.pdf
work_keys_str_mv AT piotrmakowski voiceonquantitativemethodsinriskmanagementbyanairoperator