Elections in Cape Verde, 1991-2016: Testing the second-order election model in a consolidated semi-presidential African democracy

In this article, we analyse patterns of turnout and electoral choices of Cape Verde’s citizens in different types of elections, looking at all legislative, presidential and local elections held between 1991 and 2016, and testing four hypotheses derived from the second-order election model about diff...

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Main Authors: José Santana Pereira, Susana Rogeiro Nina, Danielton Delgado
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Instituto Universitário de Lisboa 2019-11-01
Series:Cadernos de Estudos Africanos
Subjects:
Online Access:https://journals.openedition.org/cea/4331
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author José Santana Pereira
Susana Rogeiro Nina
Danielton Delgado
author_facet José Santana Pereira
Susana Rogeiro Nina
Danielton Delgado
author_sort José Santana Pereira
collection DOAJ
description In this article, we analyse patterns of turnout and electoral choices of Cape Verde’s citizens in different types of elections, looking at all legislative, presidential and local elections held between 1991 and 2016, and testing four hypotheses derived from the second-order election model about differences in terms of turnout, number of spoiled/blank papers, results for the incumbent party and the electoral success of smaller parties. Our results show that, in what regards turnout and electoral behaviour, local elections present the features of second-order elections much more clearly than the presidential elections in this semi-presidential regime. However, this pattern does not necessarily mean that voters look at the latter as less second-order, but since they often took place in the honeymoon period of the legislative electoral cycle, it may only mean that there were lower incentives to punish the incumbent and/or disengage from political participation.
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spelling doaj.art-8f8f8f435c494a6dab63fcabfade7b402024-02-13T15:52:06ZengInstituto Universitário de LisboaCadernos de Estudos Africanos1645-37942182-74002019-11-0138679110.4000/cea.4331Elections in Cape Verde, 1991-2016: Testing the second-order election model in a consolidated semi-presidential African democracyJosé Santana PereiraSusana Rogeiro NinaDanielton DelgadoIn this article, we analyse patterns of turnout and electoral choices of Cape Verde’s citizens in different types of elections, looking at all legislative, presidential and local elections held between 1991 and 2016, and testing four hypotheses derived from the second-order election model about differences in terms of turnout, number of spoiled/blank papers, results for the incumbent party and the electoral success of smaller parties. Our results show that, in what regards turnout and electoral behaviour, local elections present the features of second-order elections much more clearly than the presidential elections in this semi-presidential regime. However, this pattern does not necessarily mean that voters look at the latter as less second-order, but since they often took place in the honeymoon period of the legislative electoral cycle, it may only mean that there were lower incentives to punish the incumbent and/or disengage from political participation.https://journals.openedition.org/cea/4331Cape Verdesecond-order electionsturnoutlocal electionssemi-presidentialism
spellingShingle José Santana Pereira
Susana Rogeiro Nina
Danielton Delgado
Elections in Cape Verde, 1991-2016: Testing the second-order election model in a consolidated semi-presidential African democracy
Cadernos de Estudos Africanos
Cape Verde
second-order elections
turnout
local elections
semi-presidentialism
title Elections in Cape Verde, 1991-2016: Testing the second-order election model in a consolidated semi-presidential African democracy
title_full Elections in Cape Verde, 1991-2016: Testing the second-order election model in a consolidated semi-presidential African democracy
title_fullStr Elections in Cape Verde, 1991-2016: Testing the second-order election model in a consolidated semi-presidential African democracy
title_full_unstemmed Elections in Cape Verde, 1991-2016: Testing the second-order election model in a consolidated semi-presidential African democracy
title_short Elections in Cape Verde, 1991-2016: Testing the second-order election model in a consolidated semi-presidential African democracy
title_sort elections in cape verde 1991 2016 testing the second order election model in a consolidated semi presidential african democracy
topic Cape Verde
second-order elections
turnout
local elections
semi-presidentialism
url https://journals.openedition.org/cea/4331
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AT susanarogeironina electionsincapeverde19912016testingthesecondorderelectionmodelinaconsolidatedsemipresidentialafricandemocracy
AT danieltondelgado electionsincapeverde19912016testingthesecondorderelectionmodelinaconsolidatedsemipresidentialafricandemocracy