JEPX spot prices forecasting system using GIS

Japan Electric Power Exchange (JEPX) is the only electricity market in Japan that allows transactions for electric power established in 2005. Several commodities are traded there, such as the spot market and the forward market. In particular, the spot market is a major trading market. The price of t...

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Main Authors: Shuntaro Nakayama, Atsushi Shiota, Yasunori Mitani, Masayuki Watanabe
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2023-03-01
Series:Energy Reports
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S235248472202354X
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author Shuntaro Nakayama
Atsushi Shiota
Yasunori Mitani
Masayuki Watanabe
author_facet Shuntaro Nakayama
Atsushi Shiota
Yasunori Mitani
Masayuki Watanabe
author_sort Shuntaro Nakayama
collection DOAJ
description Japan Electric Power Exchange (JEPX) is the only electricity market in Japan that allows transactions for electric power established in 2005. Several commodities are traded there, such as the spot market and the forward market. In particular, the spot market is a major trading market. The price of the spot market changes depending on the relationship between supply and demand. Therefore, it is important to forecast spot market prices to make a supply and demand plan for the next day. This research focused on the factors that determine supply and demand are related to geospatial information—first, deriving the explanatory variables for JEPX spot prices using Geographic Information System (GIS). Then, constructing the spot price forecasting system by machine learning using the derived explanatory variables. By using this system, it is possible to forecast electricity prices with higher accuracy than existing methods.
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spelling doaj.art-8f960861836340369952599d7ecbdaeb2023-04-20T04:36:53ZengElsevierEnergy Reports2352-48472023-03-019329336JEPX spot prices forecasting system using GISShuntaro Nakayama0Atsushi Shiota1Yasunori Mitani2Masayuki Watanabe3Kyushu institute of technology, 1-1 Sensui-cho, Tobata-ku, Kitakyushu, Fukuoka, 804-8550, Japan; Corresponding author.Kitakyushu city office, 1-1 Jonai, Kokurakita-ku, Kitakyushu, 803-0813, JapanKyushu institute of technology, 1-1 Sensui-cho, Tobata-ku, Kitakyushu, Fukuoka, 804-8550, JapanKyushu institute of technology, 1-1 Sensui-cho, Tobata-ku, Kitakyushu, Fukuoka, 804-8550, JapanJapan Electric Power Exchange (JEPX) is the only electricity market in Japan that allows transactions for electric power established in 2005. Several commodities are traded there, such as the spot market and the forward market. In particular, the spot market is a major trading market. The price of the spot market changes depending on the relationship between supply and demand. Therefore, it is important to forecast spot market prices to make a supply and demand plan for the next day. This research focused on the factors that determine supply and demand are related to geospatial information—first, deriving the explanatory variables for JEPX spot prices using Geographic Information System (GIS). Then, constructing the spot price forecasting system by machine learning using the derived explanatory variables. By using this system, it is possible to forecast electricity prices with higher accuracy than existing methods.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S235248472202354XJapan electric power exchangeGeographic information systemSpot priceMeteorological data
spellingShingle Shuntaro Nakayama
Atsushi Shiota
Yasunori Mitani
Masayuki Watanabe
JEPX spot prices forecasting system using GIS
Energy Reports
Japan electric power exchange
Geographic information system
Spot price
Meteorological data
title JEPX spot prices forecasting system using GIS
title_full JEPX spot prices forecasting system using GIS
title_fullStr JEPX spot prices forecasting system using GIS
title_full_unstemmed JEPX spot prices forecasting system using GIS
title_short JEPX spot prices forecasting system using GIS
title_sort jepx spot prices forecasting system using gis
topic Japan electric power exchange
Geographic information system
Spot price
Meteorological data
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S235248472202354X
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AT yasunorimitani jepxspotpricesforecastingsystemusinggis
AT masayukiwatanabe jepxspotpricesforecastingsystemusinggis