A Hybrid Mathematical Model for an Optimal Border Closure Policy During a Pandemic

During a global health crisis, a country’s borders are a weak point through which carriers from countries with high morbidity rates can enter, endangering the health of the local community and undermining the authorities’ efforts to prevent the spread of the pathogen. Therefore, most countries have...

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Main Authors: Lazebnik Teddy, Shami Labib, Bunimovich-Mendrazitsky Svetlana
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Sciendo 2023-12-01
Series:International Journal of Applied Mathematics and Computer Science
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.34768/amcs-2023-0042
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author Lazebnik Teddy
Shami Labib
Bunimovich-Mendrazitsky Svetlana
author_facet Lazebnik Teddy
Shami Labib
Bunimovich-Mendrazitsky Svetlana
author_sort Lazebnik Teddy
collection DOAJ
description During a global health crisis, a country’s borders are a weak point through which carriers from countries with high morbidity rates can enter, endangering the health of the local community and undermining the authorities’ efforts to prevent the spread of the pathogen. Therefore, most countries have adopted some level of border closure policies as one of the first steps in handling pandemics. However, this step involves a significant economic loss, especially for countries that rely on tourism as a source of income. We developed a pioneering model to help decision-makers determine the optimal border closure policies during a health crisis that minimize the magnitude of the outbreak and maximize the revenue of the tourism industry. This approach is based on a hybrid mathematical model that consists of an epidemiological sub-model with tourism and a pandemic-focused economic sub-model, which relies on elements from the field of artificial intelligence to provide policymakers with a data-driven model for a border closure strategy for tourism during a global pandemic.
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spelling doaj.art-8fa9545123c24061b7c87a5fd60c49ae2023-12-26T07:43:37ZengSciendoInternational Journal of Applied Mathematics and Computer Science2083-84922023-12-0133458360110.34768/amcs-2023-0042A Hybrid Mathematical Model for an Optimal Border Closure Policy During a PandemicLazebnik Teddy0Shami Labib1Bunimovich-Mendrazitsky Svetlana2aDepartment of Mathematics, Ariel University, 3 Kiryat Hamada St., 40700Ariel, IsraelbDepartment of Economics, Western Galilee College, Hamichlala Rd., 2412101Acre, IsraelaDepartment of Mathematics, Ariel University, 3 Kiryat Hamada St., 40700Ariel, IsraelDuring a global health crisis, a country’s borders are a weak point through which carriers from countries with high morbidity rates can enter, endangering the health of the local community and undermining the authorities’ efforts to prevent the spread of the pathogen. Therefore, most countries have adopted some level of border closure policies as one of the first steps in handling pandemics. However, this step involves a significant economic loss, especially for countries that rely on tourism as a source of income. We developed a pioneering model to help decision-makers determine the optimal border closure policies during a health crisis that minimize the magnitude of the outbreak and maximize the revenue of the tourism industry. This approach is based on a hybrid mathematical model that consists of an epidemiological sub-model with tourism and a pandemic-focused economic sub-model, which relies on elements from the field of artificial intelligence to provide policymakers with a data-driven model for a border closure strategy for tourism during a global pandemic.https://doi.org/10.34768/amcs-2023-0042health carespatio-temporal sir modelinternational bio-tourism policymulti-agent reinforcement learning
spellingShingle Lazebnik Teddy
Shami Labib
Bunimovich-Mendrazitsky Svetlana
A Hybrid Mathematical Model for an Optimal Border Closure Policy During a Pandemic
International Journal of Applied Mathematics and Computer Science
health care
spatio-temporal sir model
international bio-tourism policy
multi-agent reinforcement learning
title A Hybrid Mathematical Model for an Optimal Border Closure Policy During a Pandemic
title_full A Hybrid Mathematical Model for an Optimal Border Closure Policy During a Pandemic
title_fullStr A Hybrid Mathematical Model for an Optimal Border Closure Policy During a Pandemic
title_full_unstemmed A Hybrid Mathematical Model for an Optimal Border Closure Policy During a Pandemic
title_short A Hybrid Mathematical Model for an Optimal Border Closure Policy During a Pandemic
title_sort hybrid mathematical model for an optimal border closure policy during a pandemic
topic health care
spatio-temporal sir model
international bio-tourism policy
multi-agent reinforcement learning
url https://doi.org/10.34768/amcs-2023-0042
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