Predicting transient ischemic attack risk in patients with mild carotid stenosis using machine learning and CT radiomics

ObjectiveThis study aims to establish a radiomics-based machine learning model that predicts the risk of transient ischemic attack in patients with mild carotid stenosis (30–50% North American Symptomatic Carotid Endarterectomy Trial) using extracted computed tomography radiomics features and clinic...

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Main Authors: Hai Xia, Lei Yuan, Wei Zhao, Chenglei Zhang, Lingfeng Zhao, Jialin Hou, Yancheng Luan, Yuxin Bi, Yaoyu Feng
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Frontiers Media S.A. 2023-02-01
Series:Frontiers in Neurology
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fneur.2023.1105616/full
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author Hai Xia
Lei Yuan
Wei Zhao
Chenglei Zhang
Lingfeng Zhao
Jialin Hou
Yancheng Luan
Yuxin Bi
Yaoyu Feng
author_facet Hai Xia
Lei Yuan
Wei Zhao
Chenglei Zhang
Lingfeng Zhao
Jialin Hou
Yancheng Luan
Yuxin Bi
Yaoyu Feng
author_sort Hai Xia
collection DOAJ
description ObjectiveThis study aims to establish a radiomics-based machine learning model that predicts the risk of transient ischemic attack in patients with mild carotid stenosis (30–50% North American Symptomatic Carotid Endarterectomy Trial) using extracted computed tomography radiomics features and clinical information.MethodsA total of 179 patients underwent carotid computed tomography angiography (CTA), and 219 carotid arteries with a plaque at the carotid bifurcation or proximal to the internal carotid artery were selected. The patients were divided into two groups; patients with symptoms of transient ischemic attack after CTA and patients without symptoms of transient ischemic attack after CTA. Then we performed random sampling methods stratified by the predictive outcome to obtain the training set (N = 165) and testing set (N = 66). 3D Slicer was employed to select the site of plaque on the computed tomography image as the volume of interest. An open-source package PyRadiomics in Python was used to extract radiomics features from the volume of interests. The random forest and logistic regression models were used to screen feature variables, and five classification algorithms were used, including random forest, eXtreme Gradient Boosting, logistic regression, support vector machine, and k-nearest neighbors. Data on radiomic feature information, clinical information, and the combination of these pieces of information were used to generate the model that predicts the risk of transient ischemic attack in patients with mild carotid artery stenosis (30–50% North American Symptomatic Carotid Endarterectomy Trial).ResultsThe random forest model that was built based on the radiomics and clinical feature information had the highest accuracy (area under curve = 0.879; 95% confidence interval, 0.787–0.979). The combined model outperformed the clinical model, whereas the combined model showed no significant difference from the radiomics model.ConclusionThe random forest model constructed with both radiomics and clinical information can accurately predict and improve discriminative power of computed tomography angiography in identifying ischemic symptoms in patients with carotid atherosclerosis. This model can aid in guiding the follow-up treatment of patients at high risk.
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spelling doaj.art-8ff1a5eb2e1946f28ec92abc1d12f1132023-02-08T06:01:26ZengFrontiers Media S.A.Frontiers in Neurology1664-22952023-02-011410.3389/fneur.2023.11056161105616Predicting transient ischemic attack risk in patients with mild carotid stenosis using machine learning and CT radiomicsHai Xia0Lei Yuan1Wei Zhao2Chenglei Zhang3Lingfeng Zhao4Jialin Hou5Yancheng Luan6Yuxin Bi7Yaoyu Feng8Department of Vascular Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Kunming Medical University, Kunming, ChinaDepartment of Orthopedics, The First Affiliated Hospital of Kunming Medical University, Kunming, ChinaImaging Intervention Center, The First Affiliated Hospital of Kunming Medical University, Kunming, ChinaDepartment of Vascular Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Kunming Medical University, Kunming, ChinaDepartment of Vascular Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Kunming Medical University, Kunming, ChinaImaging Intervention Center, The First Affiliated Hospital of Kunming Medical University, Kunming, ChinaDepartment of Vascular Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Kunming Medical University, Kunming, ChinaDepartment of Vascular Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Kunming Medical University, Kunming, ChinaDepartment of Vascular Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Kunming Medical University, Kunming, ChinaObjectiveThis study aims to establish a radiomics-based machine learning model that predicts the risk of transient ischemic attack in patients with mild carotid stenosis (30–50% North American Symptomatic Carotid Endarterectomy Trial) using extracted computed tomography radiomics features and clinical information.MethodsA total of 179 patients underwent carotid computed tomography angiography (CTA), and 219 carotid arteries with a plaque at the carotid bifurcation or proximal to the internal carotid artery were selected. The patients were divided into two groups; patients with symptoms of transient ischemic attack after CTA and patients without symptoms of transient ischemic attack after CTA. Then we performed random sampling methods stratified by the predictive outcome to obtain the training set (N = 165) and testing set (N = 66). 3D Slicer was employed to select the site of plaque on the computed tomography image as the volume of interest. An open-source package PyRadiomics in Python was used to extract radiomics features from the volume of interests. The random forest and logistic regression models were used to screen feature variables, and five classification algorithms were used, including random forest, eXtreme Gradient Boosting, logistic regression, support vector machine, and k-nearest neighbors. Data on radiomic feature information, clinical information, and the combination of these pieces of information were used to generate the model that predicts the risk of transient ischemic attack in patients with mild carotid artery stenosis (30–50% North American Symptomatic Carotid Endarterectomy Trial).ResultsThe random forest model that was built based on the radiomics and clinical feature information had the highest accuracy (area under curve = 0.879; 95% confidence interval, 0.787–0.979). The combined model outperformed the clinical model, whereas the combined model showed no significant difference from the radiomics model.ConclusionThe random forest model constructed with both radiomics and clinical information can accurately predict and improve discriminative power of computed tomography angiography in identifying ischemic symptoms in patients with carotid atherosclerosis. This model can aid in guiding the follow-up treatment of patients at high risk.https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fneur.2023.1105616/fullCT angiographycarotid arterymachine learningprediction modeltransient ischemic attack
spellingShingle Hai Xia
Lei Yuan
Wei Zhao
Chenglei Zhang
Lingfeng Zhao
Jialin Hou
Yancheng Luan
Yuxin Bi
Yaoyu Feng
Predicting transient ischemic attack risk in patients with mild carotid stenosis using machine learning and CT radiomics
Frontiers in Neurology
CT angiography
carotid artery
machine learning
prediction model
transient ischemic attack
title Predicting transient ischemic attack risk in patients with mild carotid stenosis using machine learning and CT radiomics
title_full Predicting transient ischemic attack risk in patients with mild carotid stenosis using machine learning and CT radiomics
title_fullStr Predicting transient ischemic attack risk in patients with mild carotid stenosis using machine learning and CT radiomics
title_full_unstemmed Predicting transient ischemic attack risk in patients with mild carotid stenosis using machine learning and CT radiomics
title_short Predicting transient ischemic attack risk in patients with mild carotid stenosis using machine learning and CT radiomics
title_sort predicting transient ischemic attack risk in patients with mild carotid stenosis using machine learning and ct radiomics
topic CT angiography
carotid artery
machine learning
prediction model
transient ischemic attack
url https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fneur.2023.1105616/full
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