Climate change impact on medicinal plants in Indonesia
Indonesia is a global hotspot of plant diversity. The country contains medicinal plants that have immense value to the people and worldwide. However, climate change is affecting the distribution of medicinal plants in Indonesia. In this study, the future greenhouse gas emission scenarios of RCP4.5 a...
| Main Authors: | , , , , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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Elsevier
2021-10-01
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| Series: | Global Ecology and Conservation |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2351989421003024 |
| _version_ | 1818589140814397440 |
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| author | Ria Cahyaningsih Jade Phillips Joana Magos Brehm Hannes Gaisberger Nigel Maxted |
| author_facet | Ria Cahyaningsih Jade Phillips Joana Magos Brehm Hannes Gaisberger Nigel Maxted |
| author_sort | Ria Cahyaningsih |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Indonesia is a global hotspot of plant diversity. The country contains medicinal plants that have immense value to the people and worldwide. However, climate change is affecting the distribution of medicinal plants in Indonesia. In this study, the future greenhouse gas emission scenarios of RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 for a mid-term future projection to 2050 and a long-term future projection to 2080 were used to simulate the effect of climate change upon medicinal plants distribution within Indonesia. In 2050 and 2080, under both RCP scenarios species richness is expected to decrease over more than half the current distribution area of medicinal plant species. Over half of the medicinal plant species populations will lose up to 80% of their distribution area. Medicinal plant species on the islands of Papua, Java, and Sulawesi are predicted to have the largest reduction in distribution area. In addition, two-thirds of species will lose rather than gain areas of suitable climate under the future climate scenarios. Twenty medicinal plant species are identified as potentially being the most threatened by climate change in the future and are therefore the highest priority for conservation actions within Indonesia. Using these results, we recommend areas and species suitable for long term in situ and ex situ conservation within Indonesia. |
| first_indexed | 2024-12-16T09:35:55Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-906caa284d2a492aae7b9e3c40a11615 |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 2351-9894 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-12-16T09:35:55Z |
| publishDate | 2021-10-01 |
| publisher | Elsevier |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Global Ecology and Conservation |
| spelling | doaj.art-906caa284d2a492aae7b9e3c40a116152022-12-21T22:36:25ZengElsevierGlobal Ecology and Conservation2351-98942021-10-0130e01752Climate change impact on medicinal plants in IndonesiaRia Cahyaningsih0Jade Phillips1Joana Magos Brehm2Hannes Gaisberger3Nigel Maxted4School of Biosciences, University of Birmingham, Edgbaston, Birmingham B15 2TT, UK; Bogor Botanic Gardens, Indonesian Institute of Sciences, Bogor, Indonesia; Corresponding author at: School of Biosciences, University of Birmingham, Edgbaston, Birmingham B15 2TT, UK.School of Biosciences, University of Birmingham, Edgbaston, Birmingham B15 2TT, UKSchool of Biosciences, University of Birmingham, Edgbaston, Birmingham B15 2TT, UKAlliance of Bioversity International and CIAT, Rome, Italy; Department of Geoinformatics, Paris Lodron University of Salzburg, Salzburg, AustriaSchool of Biosciences, University of Birmingham, Edgbaston, Birmingham B15 2TT, UKIndonesia is a global hotspot of plant diversity. The country contains medicinal plants that have immense value to the people and worldwide. However, climate change is affecting the distribution of medicinal plants in Indonesia. In this study, the future greenhouse gas emission scenarios of RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 for a mid-term future projection to 2050 and a long-term future projection to 2080 were used to simulate the effect of climate change upon medicinal plants distribution within Indonesia. In 2050 and 2080, under both RCP scenarios species richness is expected to decrease over more than half the current distribution area of medicinal plant species. Over half of the medicinal plant species populations will lose up to 80% of their distribution area. Medicinal plant species on the islands of Papua, Java, and Sulawesi are predicted to have the largest reduction in distribution area. In addition, two-thirds of species will lose rather than gain areas of suitable climate under the future climate scenarios. Twenty medicinal plant species are identified as potentially being the most threatened by climate change in the future and are therefore the highest priority for conservation actions within Indonesia. Using these results, we recommend areas and species suitable for long term in situ and ex situ conservation within Indonesia.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2351989421003024Medicinal plantClimate changeIndonesiaIn situEx situ |
| spellingShingle | Ria Cahyaningsih Jade Phillips Joana Magos Brehm Hannes Gaisberger Nigel Maxted Climate change impact on medicinal plants in Indonesia Global Ecology and Conservation Medicinal plant Climate change Indonesia In situ Ex situ |
| title | Climate change impact on medicinal plants in Indonesia |
| title_full | Climate change impact on medicinal plants in Indonesia |
| title_fullStr | Climate change impact on medicinal plants in Indonesia |
| title_full_unstemmed | Climate change impact on medicinal plants in Indonesia |
| title_short | Climate change impact on medicinal plants in Indonesia |
| title_sort | climate change impact on medicinal plants in indonesia |
| topic | Medicinal plant Climate change Indonesia In situ Ex situ |
| url | http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2351989421003024 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT riacahyaningsih climatechangeimpactonmedicinalplantsinindonesia AT jadephillips climatechangeimpactonmedicinalplantsinindonesia AT joanamagosbrehm climatechangeimpactonmedicinalplantsinindonesia AT hannesgaisberger climatechangeimpactonmedicinalplantsinindonesia AT nigelmaxted climatechangeimpactonmedicinalplantsinindonesia |