Impacts of Projected Urban Expansion on Rainfall and Temperature during Rainy Season in the Middle-Eastern Region in Tanzania

Future changes of land use and land cover (LULC) due to urbanization can cause variations in the frequency and severity of extreme weather events, affecting local climate and potentially worsening impact of such events. This work examines the local climatic impacts associated with projected urban ex...

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Main Authors: Doreen M. Anande, Moon-Soo Park
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2021-09-01
Series:Atmosphere
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4433/12/10/1234
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author Doreen M. Anande
Moon-Soo Park
author_facet Doreen M. Anande
Moon-Soo Park
author_sort Doreen M. Anande
collection DOAJ
description Future changes of land use and land cover (LULC) due to urbanization can cause variations in the frequency and severity of extreme weather events, affecting local climate and potentially worsening impact of such events. This work examines the local climatic impacts associated with projected urban expansion through simulations of rainfall and temperature over the rapidly growing city of the middle-eastern region in Tanzania. Simulations were conducted using a mesoscale Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model for a period of 10 days during the rainfall season in April 2018. The Global Forecasting System data of 0.25° resolution was used to simulate the WRF model in two-way nested domains at resolutions of 12 km and 4 km correspondingly. Urban and built-up areas under the current state, low urbanization (30%), and high urbanization (99%) scenarios were taken into account as LULC categories. As the urbanized area increased, daily mean, maximum and minimum air temperatures, as well as precipitation increased. Local circulation affected the spatial irregularities of air temperature and precipitation. Results imply that urbanization can amplify the impacts of future climate changes dramatically. These results can be applicable to the city planning to minimize the adverse effect of urbanization on temperature and precipitation.
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spelling doaj.art-9105bd81c54b4db9a0fd4dc9c18665912023-11-22T17:24:19ZengMDPI AGAtmosphere2073-44332021-09-011210123410.3390/atmos12101234Impacts of Projected Urban Expansion on Rainfall and Temperature during Rainy Season in the Middle-Eastern Region in TanzaniaDoreen M. Anande0Moon-Soo Park1Central Forecasting Office, Tanzania Meteorological Authority, Dar Es Salaam 3056, TanzaniaDepartment of Climate and Environment, Sejong University, Seoul 05006, KoreaFuture changes of land use and land cover (LULC) due to urbanization can cause variations in the frequency and severity of extreme weather events, affecting local climate and potentially worsening impact of such events. This work examines the local climatic impacts associated with projected urban expansion through simulations of rainfall and temperature over the rapidly growing city of the middle-eastern region in Tanzania. Simulations were conducted using a mesoscale Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model for a period of 10 days during the rainfall season in April 2018. The Global Forecasting System data of 0.25° resolution was used to simulate the WRF model in two-way nested domains at resolutions of 12 km and 4 km correspondingly. Urban and built-up areas under the current state, low urbanization (30%), and high urbanization (99%) scenarios were taken into account as LULC categories. As the urbanized area increased, daily mean, maximum and minimum air temperatures, as well as precipitation increased. Local circulation affected the spatial irregularities of air temperature and precipitation. Results imply that urbanization can amplify the impacts of future climate changes dramatically. These results can be applicable to the city planning to minimize the adverse effect of urbanization on temperature and precipitation.https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4433/12/10/1234urbanizationclimate changeland use and land cover (LULC)precipitationtemperatureTanzania
spellingShingle Doreen M. Anande
Moon-Soo Park
Impacts of Projected Urban Expansion on Rainfall and Temperature during Rainy Season in the Middle-Eastern Region in Tanzania
Atmosphere
urbanization
climate change
land use and land cover (LULC)
precipitation
temperature
Tanzania
title Impacts of Projected Urban Expansion on Rainfall and Temperature during Rainy Season in the Middle-Eastern Region in Tanzania
title_full Impacts of Projected Urban Expansion on Rainfall and Temperature during Rainy Season in the Middle-Eastern Region in Tanzania
title_fullStr Impacts of Projected Urban Expansion on Rainfall and Temperature during Rainy Season in the Middle-Eastern Region in Tanzania
title_full_unstemmed Impacts of Projected Urban Expansion on Rainfall and Temperature during Rainy Season in the Middle-Eastern Region in Tanzania
title_short Impacts of Projected Urban Expansion on Rainfall and Temperature during Rainy Season in the Middle-Eastern Region in Tanzania
title_sort impacts of projected urban expansion on rainfall and temperature during rainy season in the middle eastern region in tanzania
topic urbanization
climate change
land use and land cover (LULC)
precipitation
temperature
Tanzania
url https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4433/12/10/1234
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AT moonsoopark impactsofprojectedurbanexpansiononrainfallandtemperatureduringrainyseasoninthemiddleeasternregionintanzania