A machine learning approach for predicting descending thoracic aortic diameter

BackgroundTo establish models for predicting descending thoracic aortic diameters and provide evidence for selecting the size of the stent graft for TBAD patients.MethodsA total of 200 candidates without severe deformation of aorta were included. CTA information was collected and 3D reconstructed. I...

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Main Authors: Ronghuang Yu, Min Jin, Yaohui Wang, Xiujuan Cai, Keyin Zhang, Jian Shi, Zeyi Zhou, Fudong Fan, Jun Pan, Qing Zhou, Xinlong Tang, Dongjin Wang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Frontiers Media S.A. 2023-02-01
Series:Frontiers in Cardiovascular Medicine
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fcvm.2023.1097116/full
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author Ronghuang Yu
Min Jin
Min Jin
Yaohui Wang
Xiujuan Cai
Keyin Zhang
Jian Shi
Zeyi Zhou
Fudong Fan
Jun Pan
Qing Zhou
Xinlong Tang
Xinlong Tang
Dongjin Wang
Dongjin Wang
Dongjin Wang
author_facet Ronghuang Yu
Min Jin
Min Jin
Yaohui Wang
Xiujuan Cai
Keyin Zhang
Jian Shi
Zeyi Zhou
Fudong Fan
Jun Pan
Qing Zhou
Xinlong Tang
Xinlong Tang
Dongjin Wang
Dongjin Wang
Dongjin Wang
author_sort Ronghuang Yu
collection DOAJ
description BackgroundTo establish models for predicting descending thoracic aortic diameters and provide evidence for selecting the size of the stent graft for TBAD patients.MethodsA total of 200 candidates without severe deformation of aorta were included. CTA information was collected and 3D reconstructed. In the reconstructed CTA, a total of 12 cross-sections of peripheral vessels were made perpendicular to the axis of flow of the aorta. Parameters of the cross sections and basic clinical characteristics were used for prediction. The data was randomly split into the training set and the test set in an 8:2 ratio. To fully describe diameters of descending thoracic aorta, three predicted points were set based quadrisection, and a total of 12 models at three predicted points were established using four algorithms included linear regression (LR), support vector machine (SVM), Extra-Tree regression (ETR) and random forest regression (RFR). The performance of models was evaluated by mean square error (MSE) of the prediction value, and the ranking of feature importance was given by Shapley value. After modeling, prognosis of five TEVAR cases and stent oversizing were compared.ResultsWe identified a series of parameters which affect the diameter of descending thoracic aorta, including age, hypertension, the area of proximal edge of superior mesenteric artery, etc. Among four predictive models, all the MSEs of SVM models at three different predicted position were less than 2 mm2, with approximately 90% predicted diameters error less than 2 mm in the test sets. In patients with dSINE, stent oversizing was about 3 mm, while only 1 mm in patients without complications.ConclusionThe predictive models established by machine learning revealed the relationship between basic characteristics and diameters of different segment of descending aorta, which help to provide evidence for selecting the matching distal size of the stent for TBAD patients, thereby reducing the incidence of TEVAR complications.
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spelling doaj.art-91470194066246ee940016179d9f1c652023-02-13T07:59:46ZengFrontiers Media S.A.Frontiers in Cardiovascular Medicine2297-055X2023-02-011010.3389/fcvm.2023.10971161097116A machine learning approach for predicting descending thoracic aortic diameterRonghuang Yu0Min Jin1Min Jin2Yaohui Wang3Xiujuan Cai4Keyin Zhang5Jian Shi6Zeyi Zhou7Fudong Fan8Jun Pan9Qing Zhou10Xinlong Tang11Xinlong Tang12Dongjin Wang13Dongjin Wang14Dongjin Wang15Medical School, Department of Cardio-Thoracic Surgery, Affiliated Drum Tower Hospital, Nanjing University, Nanjing, ChinaMedical School, Department of Cardio-Thoracic Surgery, Affiliated Drum Tower Hospital, Nanjing University, Nanjing, ChinaNanjing Drum Tower Hospital, Clinical College of Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, ChinaShanghai Artificial Intelligence Laboratory, Shanghai, ChinaNanjing Drum Tower Hospital, Clinical College of Nanjing University of Chinese Medicine, Nanjing, ChinaMedical School, Department of Cardio-Thoracic Surgery, Affiliated Drum Tower Hospital, Nanjing University, Nanjing, ChinaMedical School, Department of Cardio-Thoracic Surgery, Affiliated Drum Tower Hospital, Nanjing University, Nanjing, ChinaMedical School, Department of Cardio-Thoracic Surgery, Affiliated Drum Tower Hospital, Nanjing University, Nanjing, ChinaMedical School, Department of Cardio-Thoracic Surgery, Affiliated Drum Tower Hospital, Nanjing University, Nanjing, ChinaMedical School, Department of Cardio-Thoracic Surgery, Affiliated Drum Tower Hospital, Nanjing University, Nanjing, ChinaMedical School, Department of Cardio-Thoracic Surgery, Affiliated Drum Tower Hospital, Nanjing University, Nanjing, ChinaMedical School, Department of Cardio-Thoracic Surgery, Affiliated Drum Tower Hospital, Nanjing University, Nanjing, ChinaNanjing Drum Tower Hospital, Clinical College of Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, ChinaMedical School, Department of Cardio-Thoracic Surgery, Affiliated Drum Tower Hospital, Nanjing University, Nanjing, ChinaNanjing Drum Tower Hospital, Clinical College of Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, ChinaNanjing Drum Tower Hospital, Clinical College of Nanjing University of Chinese Medicine, Nanjing, ChinaBackgroundTo establish models for predicting descending thoracic aortic diameters and provide evidence for selecting the size of the stent graft for TBAD patients.MethodsA total of 200 candidates without severe deformation of aorta were included. CTA information was collected and 3D reconstructed. In the reconstructed CTA, a total of 12 cross-sections of peripheral vessels were made perpendicular to the axis of flow of the aorta. Parameters of the cross sections and basic clinical characteristics were used for prediction. The data was randomly split into the training set and the test set in an 8:2 ratio. To fully describe diameters of descending thoracic aorta, three predicted points were set based quadrisection, and a total of 12 models at three predicted points were established using four algorithms included linear regression (LR), support vector machine (SVM), Extra-Tree regression (ETR) and random forest regression (RFR). The performance of models was evaluated by mean square error (MSE) of the prediction value, and the ranking of feature importance was given by Shapley value. After modeling, prognosis of five TEVAR cases and stent oversizing were compared.ResultsWe identified a series of parameters which affect the diameter of descending thoracic aorta, including age, hypertension, the area of proximal edge of superior mesenteric artery, etc. Among four predictive models, all the MSEs of SVM models at three different predicted position were less than 2 mm2, with approximately 90% predicted diameters error less than 2 mm in the test sets. In patients with dSINE, stent oversizing was about 3 mm, while only 1 mm in patients without complications.ConclusionThe predictive models established by machine learning revealed the relationship between basic characteristics and diameters of different segment of descending aorta, which help to provide evidence for selecting the matching distal size of the stent for TBAD patients, thereby reducing the incidence of TEVAR complications.https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fcvm.2023.1097116/fullmachine learningaortic diameterTEVARCTApredictive model
spellingShingle Ronghuang Yu
Min Jin
Min Jin
Yaohui Wang
Xiujuan Cai
Keyin Zhang
Jian Shi
Zeyi Zhou
Fudong Fan
Jun Pan
Qing Zhou
Xinlong Tang
Xinlong Tang
Dongjin Wang
Dongjin Wang
Dongjin Wang
A machine learning approach for predicting descending thoracic aortic diameter
Frontiers in Cardiovascular Medicine
machine learning
aortic diameter
TEVAR
CTA
predictive model
title A machine learning approach for predicting descending thoracic aortic diameter
title_full A machine learning approach for predicting descending thoracic aortic diameter
title_fullStr A machine learning approach for predicting descending thoracic aortic diameter
title_full_unstemmed A machine learning approach for predicting descending thoracic aortic diameter
title_short A machine learning approach for predicting descending thoracic aortic diameter
title_sort machine learning approach for predicting descending thoracic aortic diameter
topic machine learning
aortic diameter
TEVAR
CTA
predictive model
url https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fcvm.2023.1097116/full
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