Study the Optimal Hedge Ratio in Exchange Rate and gold in developing and newfound financial Markets: Case Study of Tehran Stock Exchange and Istanbul

The main aim of this study is to investigate the possibility of hedging the risk of exchange rate fluctuations by using the gold future market and comparing the risk hedge in Tehran Exchange Stock as a developing financial market with the Istanbul Exchange stock as a newfound financial market. In or...

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Main Authors: Mohsen Mehrara, Naser Elahi, saeed Eslami Bidgoli, Atefeh Shahabadi Farahani
Format: Article
Language:fas
Published: Semnan University 2018-03-01
Series:مدلسازی اقتصادسنجی
Subjects:
Online Access:https://jem.semnan.ac.ir/article_3680_97c42a81507d975560acc0dbb366d790.pdf
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author Mohsen Mehrara
Naser Elahi
saeed Eslami Bidgoli
Atefeh Shahabadi Farahani
author_facet Mohsen Mehrara
Naser Elahi
saeed Eslami Bidgoli
Atefeh Shahabadi Farahani
author_sort Mohsen Mehrara
collection DOAJ
description The main aim of this study is to investigate the possibility of hedging the risk of exchange rate fluctuations by using the gold future market and comparing the risk hedge in Tehran Exchange Stock as a developing financial market with the Istanbul Exchange stock as a newfound financial market. In order to access the research goal, daily data from December 13, 2007 to April 30, 2018 was used for Iran and March 18,2013 to August 17,2018 used for turkey and the Markov-Switching Model was used. The results of this study showed that the coefficient of the future price of gold coins for zero regime (low swing) was 0/0013. For regime one (much swing), the future gold price coefficient was 0/0046. On the other hand, the results of this study showed that the coefficient for future changes in gold prices for the Istanbul Exchange in zero regime (low swing) was 0/00061 and for regime one (much swing), the coefficient of future price changes of gold was 0/0075 .
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spelling doaj.art-91589a0def264a68bc5d6f4b2ed93ebd2024-02-23T18:37:42ZfasSemnan Universityمدلسازی اقتصادسنجی2345-654X2821-21502018-03-013212110.22075/jem.2018.16015.12143680Study the Optimal Hedge Ratio in Exchange Rate and gold in developing and newfound financial Markets: Case Study of Tehran Stock Exchange and IstanbulMohsen Mehrara0Naser Elahi1saeed Eslami Bidgoli2Atefeh Shahabadi Farahani3Economic Department, University of TehranAssociate Professor, Mofid University Faculty MemberAssistant Professor, Faculty Member in Alame University saeed@eslamibidgoli.comStudent in PhD in economicsThe main aim of this study is to investigate the possibility of hedging the risk of exchange rate fluctuations by using the gold future market and comparing the risk hedge in Tehran Exchange Stock as a developing financial market with the Istanbul Exchange stock as a newfound financial market. In order to access the research goal, daily data from December 13, 2007 to April 30, 2018 was used for Iran and March 18,2013 to August 17,2018 used for turkey and the Markov-Switching Model was used. The results of this study showed that the coefficient of the future price of gold coins for zero regime (low swing) was 0/0013. For regime one (much swing), the future gold price coefficient was 0/0046. On the other hand, the results of this study showed that the coefficient for future changes in gold prices for the Istanbul Exchange in zero regime (low swing) was 0/00061 and for regime one (much swing), the coefficient of future price changes of gold was 0/0075 .https://jem.semnan.ac.ir/article_3680_97c42a81507d975560acc0dbb366d790.pdfthe optimal hedge ratiocash exchange ratefutures marketcross hedging markov-switching model
spellingShingle Mohsen Mehrara
Naser Elahi
saeed Eslami Bidgoli
Atefeh Shahabadi Farahani
Study the Optimal Hedge Ratio in Exchange Rate and gold in developing and newfound financial Markets: Case Study of Tehran Stock Exchange and Istanbul
مدلسازی اقتصادسنجی
the optimal hedge ratio
cash exchange rate
futures market
cross hedging markov-switching model
title Study the Optimal Hedge Ratio in Exchange Rate and gold in developing and newfound financial Markets: Case Study of Tehran Stock Exchange and Istanbul
title_full Study the Optimal Hedge Ratio in Exchange Rate and gold in developing and newfound financial Markets: Case Study of Tehran Stock Exchange and Istanbul
title_fullStr Study the Optimal Hedge Ratio in Exchange Rate and gold in developing and newfound financial Markets: Case Study of Tehran Stock Exchange and Istanbul
title_full_unstemmed Study the Optimal Hedge Ratio in Exchange Rate and gold in developing and newfound financial Markets: Case Study of Tehran Stock Exchange and Istanbul
title_short Study the Optimal Hedge Ratio in Exchange Rate and gold in developing and newfound financial Markets: Case Study of Tehran Stock Exchange and Istanbul
title_sort study the optimal hedge ratio in exchange rate and gold in developing and newfound financial markets case study of tehran stock exchange and istanbul
topic the optimal hedge ratio
cash exchange rate
futures market
cross hedging markov-switching model
url https://jem.semnan.ac.ir/article_3680_97c42a81507d975560acc0dbb366d790.pdf
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AT saeedeslamibidgoli studytheoptimalhedgeratioinexchangerateandgoldindevelopingandnewfoundfinancialmarketscasestudyoftehranstockexchangeandistanbul
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