More connected urban roads reduce US GHG emissions

We quantify the importance of early action to tackle urban sprawl. We focus on the long-term nature of infrastructure decisions, specifically local roadways, which can lock in greenhouse gas emissions for decades to come. The location and interconnectedness of local roadways form a near-permanent ba...

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Main Authors: Chris Barrington-Leigh, Adam Millard-Ball
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: IOP Publishing 2017-01-01
Series:Environmental Research Letters
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aa59ba
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author Chris Barrington-Leigh
Adam Millard-Ball
author_facet Chris Barrington-Leigh
Adam Millard-Ball
author_sort Chris Barrington-Leigh
collection DOAJ
description We quantify the importance of early action to tackle urban sprawl. We focus on the long-term nature of infrastructure decisions, specifically local roadways, which can lock in greenhouse gas emissions for decades to come. The location and interconnectedness of local roadways form a near-permanent backbone for the future layout of land parcels, buildings, and transportation options. We provide new estimates of the environmental impact of low-connectivity roads, characterized by cul-de-sacs and T-intersections, which we dub street-network sprawl. We find an elasticity of vehicle ownership with respect to street connectivity of –0.15—larger than suggested by previous research. We then apply this estimate to quantify the long-term emissions implications of alternative scenarios for street-network sprawl. On current trends alone, we project vehicle travel and emissions to fall by ∼3.2% over the 2015–2050 period, compared to a scenario where sprawl plateaus at its 1994 peak. Concerted policy efforts to increase street connectivity could more than triple these reductions to ∼8.8% by 2050. Longer-term reductions over the 2050–2100 period are more speculative, but could be more than 50% greater than those achieved by 2050. The longer the timescale over which mitigation efforts are considered, the more important it becomes to address the physical form of the built environment.
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spelling doaj.art-918f68056f2744adb90c52c7cd62bb692023-08-09T14:30:37ZengIOP PublishingEnvironmental Research Letters1748-93262017-01-0112404400810.1088/1748-9326/aa59baMore connected urban roads reduce US GHG emissionsChris Barrington-Leigh0Adam Millard-Ball1Institute for Health and Social Policy and McGill School of Environment, McGill University , Canada; Authors are listed alphabetically. Both authors contributed equally to this paper.Environmental Studies Department, University of California , Santa Cruz, United States of America; Authors are listed alphabetically. Both authors contributed equally to this paper.We quantify the importance of early action to tackle urban sprawl. We focus on the long-term nature of infrastructure decisions, specifically local roadways, which can lock in greenhouse gas emissions for decades to come. The location and interconnectedness of local roadways form a near-permanent backbone for the future layout of land parcels, buildings, and transportation options. We provide new estimates of the environmental impact of low-connectivity roads, characterized by cul-de-sacs and T-intersections, which we dub street-network sprawl. We find an elasticity of vehicle ownership with respect to street connectivity of –0.15—larger than suggested by previous research. We then apply this estimate to quantify the long-term emissions implications of alternative scenarios for street-network sprawl. On current trends alone, we project vehicle travel and emissions to fall by ∼3.2% over the 2015–2050 period, compared to a scenario where sprawl plateaus at its 1994 peak. Concerted policy efforts to increase street connectivity could more than triple these reductions to ∼8.8% by 2050. Longer-term reductions over the 2050–2100 period are more speculative, but could be more than 50% greater than those achieved by 2050. The longer the timescale over which mitigation efforts are considered, the more important it becomes to address the physical form of the built environment.https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aa59baclimate mitigationtransportation policyurban sprawl
spellingShingle Chris Barrington-Leigh
Adam Millard-Ball
More connected urban roads reduce US GHG emissions
Environmental Research Letters
climate mitigation
transportation policy
urban sprawl
title More connected urban roads reduce US GHG emissions
title_full More connected urban roads reduce US GHG emissions
title_fullStr More connected urban roads reduce US GHG emissions
title_full_unstemmed More connected urban roads reduce US GHG emissions
title_short More connected urban roads reduce US GHG emissions
title_sort more connected urban roads reduce us ghg emissions
topic climate mitigation
transportation policy
urban sprawl
url https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aa59ba
work_keys_str_mv AT chrisbarringtonleigh moreconnectedurbanroadsreduceusghgemissions
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