Assessing the impact of COVID-19 mass testing in South Tyrol using a semi-parametric growth model

Abstract Mass antigen testing has been proposed as a possible cost-effective tool to contain the COVID-19 pandemic. We test the impact of a voluntary mass testing campaign implemented in the Italian region of South Tyrol on the spread of the virus in the following months. We do so by using an innova...

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Main Authors: Davide Ferrari, Steven Stillman, Mirco Tonin
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Portfolio 2022-10-01
Series:Scientific Reports
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-21292-3
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author Davide Ferrari
Steven Stillman
Mirco Tonin
author_facet Davide Ferrari
Steven Stillman
Mirco Tonin
author_sort Davide Ferrari
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Mass antigen testing has been proposed as a possible cost-effective tool to contain the COVID-19 pandemic. We test the impact of a voluntary mass testing campaign implemented in the Italian region of South Tyrol on the spread of the virus in the following months. We do so by using an innovative empirical approach which embeds a semi-parametric growth model—where COVID-19 transmission dynamics are allowed to vary across regions and to be impacted by the implementation of the mass testing campaign—into a synthetic control framework which creates an appropriate control group of other Italian regions. Our results suggest that mass testing campaigns are useful instruments for mitigating the pandemic.
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spelling doaj.art-9191009d16144475b88fac5fade6a13f2022-12-22T02:38:04ZengNature PortfolioScientific Reports2045-23222022-10-011211910.1038/s41598-022-21292-3Assessing the impact of COVID-19 mass testing in South Tyrol using a semi-parametric growth modelDavide Ferrari0Steven Stillman1Mirco Tonin2Faculty of Economics and Management, Free University of Bozen-BolzanoFaculty of Economics and Management, Free University of Bozen-BolzanoFaculty of Economics and Management, Free University of Bozen-BolzanoAbstract Mass antigen testing has been proposed as a possible cost-effective tool to contain the COVID-19 pandemic. We test the impact of a voluntary mass testing campaign implemented in the Italian region of South Tyrol on the spread of the virus in the following months. We do so by using an innovative empirical approach which embeds a semi-parametric growth model—where COVID-19 transmission dynamics are allowed to vary across regions and to be impacted by the implementation of the mass testing campaign—into a synthetic control framework which creates an appropriate control group of other Italian regions. Our results suggest that mass testing campaigns are useful instruments for mitigating the pandemic.https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-21292-3
spellingShingle Davide Ferrari
Steven Stillman
Mirco Tonin
Assessing the impact of COVID-19 mass testing in South Tyrol using a semi-parametric growth model
Scientific Reports
title Assessing the impact of COVID-19 mass testing in South Tyrol using a semi-parametric growth model
title_full Assessing the impact of COVID-19 mass testing in South Tyrol using a semi-parametric growth model
title_fullStr Assessing the impact of COVID-19 mass testing in South Tyrol using a semi-parametric growth model
title_full_unstemmed Assessing the impact of COVID-19 mass testing in South Tyrol using a semi-parametric growth model
title_short Assessing the impact of COVID-19 mass testing in South Tyrol using a semi-parametric growth model
title_sort assessing the impact of covid 19 mass testing in south tyrol using a semi parametric growth model
url https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-21292-3
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