Predicting the risk factors of diabetic ketoacidosis-associated acute kidney injury: A machine learning approach using XGBoost

ObjectiveThe purpose of this study was to develop and validate a predictive model based on a machine learning (ML) approach to identify patients with DKA at increased risk of AKI within 1 week of hospitalization in the intensive care unit (ICU).MethodsPatients diagnosed with DKA from the Medical Inf...

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Main Authors: Tingting Fan, Jiaxin Wang, Luyao Li, Jing Kang, Wenrui Wang, Chuan Zhang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Frontiers Media S.A. 2023-04-01
Series:Frontiers in Public Health
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fpubh.2023.1087297/full
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author Tingting Fan
Jiaxin Wang
Luyao Li
Jing Kang
Wenrui Wang
Chuan Zhang
author_facet Tingting Fan
Jiaxin Wang
Luyao Li
Jing Kang
Wenrui Wang
Chuan Zhang
author_sort Tingting Fan
collection DOAJ
description ObjectiveThe purpose of this study was to develop and validate a predictive model based on a machine learning (ML) approach to identify patients with DKA at increased risk of AKI within 1 week of hospitalization in the intensive care unit (ICU).MethodsPatients diagnosed with DKA from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care IV (MIMIC-IV) database according to the International Classification of Diseases (ICD)-9/10 code were included. The patient’s medical history is extracted, along with data on their demographics, vital signs, clinical characteristics, laboratory results, and therapeutic measures. The best-performing model is chosen by contrasting the 8 Ml models. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), sensitivity, accuracy, and specificity were calculated to select the best-performing ML model.ResultsThe final study enrolled 1,322 patients with DKA in total, randomly split into training (1,124, 85%) and validation sets (198, 15%). 497 (37.5%) of them experienced AKI within a week of being admitted to the ICU. The eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) model performed best of the 8 Ml models, and the AUC of the training and validation sets were 0.835 and 0.800, respectively. According to the result of feature importance, the top 5 main features contributing to the XGBoost model were blood urea nitrogen (BUN), urine output, weight, age, and platelet count (PLT).ConclusionAn ML-based individual prediction model for DKA-associated AKI (DKA-AKI) was developed and validated. The model performs robustly, identifies high-risk patients early, can assist in clinical decision-making, and can improve the prognosis of DKA patients to some extent.
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spelling doaj.art-91f0e299392d4a85b9652aafaab884742023-04-06T04:46:14ZengFrontiers Media S.A.Frontiers in Public Health2296-25652023-04-011110.3389/fpubh.2023.10872971087297Predicting the risk factors of diabetic ketoacidosis-associated acute kidney injury: A machine learning approach using XGBoostTingting Fan0Jiaxin Wang1Luyao Li2Jing Kang3Wenrui Wang4Chuan Zhang5Department of Endocrinology, Second Affiliated Hospital of Jilin University, Changchun, ChinaDepartment of Endocrinology, Second Affiliated Hospital of Jilin University, Changchun, ChinaDepartment of Endocrinology, Second Affiliated Hospital of Jilin University, Changchun, ChinaDepartment of Endocrinology, Second Affiliated Hospital of Jilin University, Changchun, ChinaDigestive Diseases Center, Department of Hepatopancreatobiliary Medicine, Second Affiliated Hospital of Jilin University, Changchun, ChinaDepartment of Endocrinology, Second Affiliated Hospital of Jilin University, Changchun, ChinaObjectiveThe purpose of this study was to develop and validate a predictive model based on a machine learning (ML) approach to identify patients with DKA at increased risk of AKI within 1 week of hospitalization in the intensive care unit (ICU).MethodsPatients diagnosed with DKA from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care IV (MIMIC-IV) database according to the International Classification of Diseases (ICD)-9/10 code were included. The patient’s medical history is extracted, along with data on their demographics, vital signs, clinical characteristics, laboratory results, and therapeutic measures. The best-performing model is chosen by contrasting the 8 Ml models. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), sensitivity, accuracy, and specificity were calculated to select the best-performing ML model.ResultsThe final study enrolled 1,322 patients with DKA in total, randomly split into training (1,124, 85%) and validation sets (198, 15%). 497 (37.5%) of them experienced AKI within a week of being admitted to the ICU. The eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) model performed best of the 8 Ml models, and the AUC of the training and validation sets were 0.835 and 0.800, respectively. According to the result of feature importance, the top 5 main features contributing to the XGBoost model were blood urea nitrogen (BUN), urine output, weight, age, and platelet count (PLT).ConclusionAn ML-based individual prediction model for DKA-associated AKI (DKA-AKI) was developed and validated. The model performs robustly, identifies high-risk patients early, can assist in clinical decision-making, and can improve the prognosis of DKA patients to some extent.https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fpubh.2023.1087297/fulldiabetic ketosisacute kidney injurymachine learningXGBoostoutcome
spellingShingle Tingting Fan
Jiaxin Wang
Luyao Li
Jing Kang
Wenrui Wang
Chuan Zhang
Predicting the risk factors of diabetic ketoacidosis-associated acute kidney injury: A machine learning approach using XGBoost
Frontiers in Public Health
diabetic ketosis
acute kidney injury
machine learning
XGBoost
outcome
title Predicting the risk factors of diabetic ketoacidosis-associated acute kidney injury: A machine learning approach using XGBoost
title_full Predicting the risk factors of diabetic ketoacidosis-associated acute kidney injury: A machine learning approach using XGBoost
title_fullStr Predicting the risk factors of diabetic ketoacidosis-associated acute kidney injury: A machine learning approach using XGBoost
title_full_unstemmed Predicting the risk factors of diabetic ketoacidosis-associated acute kidney injury: A machine learning approach using XGBoost
title_short Predicting the risk factors of diabetic ketoacidosis-associated acute kidney injury: A machine learning approach using XGBoost
title_sort predicting the risk factors of diabetic ketoacidosis associated acute kidney injury a machine learning approach using xgboost
topic diabetic ketosis
acute kidney injury
machine learning
XGBoost
outcome
url https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fpubh.2023.1087297/full
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