Business cycle coherence and OCA endogeneity testing during the integration period in the European Union

The paper deals with assessing the EU from the new optimum currency area theory perspective. It focuses on measuring of the business cycle coherence applying the composite indicators of output gap similarity and synchronicity. Static as well as dynamic business cycle analysis is applied in the paper...

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Main Authors: Nikola Najman, Petr Rozmahel
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Mendel University Press 2013-01-01
Series:Acta Universitatis Agriculturae et Silviculturae Mendelianae Brunensis
Subjects:
Online Access:https://acta.mendelu.cz/61/4/1033/
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author Nikola Najman
Petr Rozmahel
author_facet Nikola Najman
Petr Rozmahel
author_sort Nikola Najman
collection DOAJ
description The paper deals with assessing the EU from the new optimum currency area theory perspective. It focuses on measuring of the business cycle coherence applying the composite indicators of output gap similarity and synchronicity. Static as well as dynamic business cycle analysis is applied in the paper. In addition, the OCA endogeneity hypothesis is tested based on results of the business cycle coherence analysis. The results show high general coherence of the business cycles across the EU countries in terms of synchronicity measures. Detailed analysis of the output gap similarity indicates differences in the scale of cyclical deviations and impact of shocks in individual countries in the EU. Also the ability to cope with the crisis as a kind of external shock differs in the EU countries. The results do not provide a clear evidence of the OCA endogeneity hypothesis related to the Euro area member and non-member countries.
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spelling doaj.art-91f6fa26f3074dc587ba704a635b9f152022-12-21T20:41:07ZengMendel University PressActa Universitatis Agriculturae et Silviculturae Mendelianae Brunensis1211-85162464-83102013-01-016141033104010.11118/actaun201361041033Business cycle coherence and OCA endogeneity testing during the integration period in the European UnionNikola Najman0Petr Rozmahel1Research Centre, Faculty of Business and Economics, Mendel University in Brno, Zemědělská 1, 613 00 Brno, Czech RepublicResearch Centre, Faculty of Business and Economics, Mendel University in Brno, Zemědělská 1, 613 00 Brno, Czech RepublicThe paper deals with assessing the EU from the new optimum currency area theory perspective. It focuses on measuring of the business cycle coherence applying the composite indicators of output gap similarity and synchronicity. Static as well as dynamic business cycle analysis is applied in the paper. In addition, the OCA endogeneity hypothesis is tested based on results of the business cycle coherence analysis. The results show high general coherence of the business cycles across the EU countries in terms of synchronicity measures. Detailed analysis of the output gap similarity indicates differences in the scale of cyclical deviations and impact of shocks in individual countries in the EU. Also the ability to cope with the crisis as a kind of external shock differs in the EU countries. The results do not provide a clear evidence of the OCA endogeneity hypothesis related to the Euro area member and non-member countries.https://acta.mendelu.cz/61/4/1033/business cycle coherenceEuro areaglobal financial crisisoptimum currency area theory
spellingShingle Nikola Najman
Petr Rozmahel
Business cycle coherence and OCA endogeneity testing during the integration period in the European Union
Acta Universitatis Agriculturae et Silviculturae Mendelianae Brunensis
business cycle coherence
Euro area
global financial crisis
optimum currency area theory
title Business cycle coherence and OCA endogeneity testing during the integration period in the European Union
title_full Business cycle coherence and OCA endogeneity testing during the integration period in the European Union
title_fullStr Business cycle coherence and OCA endogeneity testing during the integration period in the European Union
title_full_unstemmed Business cycle coherence and OCA endogeneity testing during the integration period in the European Union
title_short Business cycle coherence and OCA endogeneity testing during the integration period in the European Union
title_sort business cycle coherence and oca endogeneity testing during the integration period in the european union
topic business cycle coherence
Euro area
global financial crisis
optimum currency area theory
url https://acta.mendelu.cz/61/4/1033/
work_keys_str_mv AT nikolanajman businesscyclecoherenceandocaendogeneitytestingduringtheintegrationperiodintheeuropeanunion
AT petrrozmahel businesscyclecoherenceandocaendogeneitytestingduringtheintegrationperiodintheeuropeanunion