Lessons Learnt from the Influencing Factors of Forested Areas’ Vulnerability under Climatic Change and Human Pressure in Arid Areas: A Case Study of the Thiès Region, Senegal
Understanding the factors influencing the vulnerability of forested areas is crucial for human well-being and effective governance of ecosystem supply and demand. Based on remote sensing data, this study also considered ten natural and human variables as indexes to explore the main influencing facto...
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2024-03-01
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author | Bonoua Faye Guoming Du Quanfeng Li Hélène Véronique Marie Thérèse Faye Jeanne Colette Diéne Edmée Mbaye Henri Marcel Seck |
author_facet | Bonoua Faye Guoming Du Quanfeng Li Hélène Véronique Marie Thérèse Faye Jeanne Colette Diéne Edmée Mbaye Henri Marcel Seck |
author_sort | Bonoua Faye |
collection | DOAJ |
description | Understanding the factors influencing the vulnerability of forested areas is crucial for human well-being and effective governance of ecosystem supply and demand. Based on remote sensing data, this study also considered ten natural and human variables as indexes to explore the main influencing factors that may impact the vulnerability of the Thies region’s forested areas. The 2005, 2010, 2015, and 2020 satellite image data were processed using ArcGIS 10.6 and ENVI 5.1 software. The methodology includes using the transfer matrix approach and calculating the geographic landscape index to describe the dominant morphology of forested areas. Furthermore, a mixed linear regression model was built to establish the connection between forested areas and the potential contributing components. Our study revealed that the forested areas led to relative fragmentation, with an average of 88 patches for Aggregation Index (AI), 3.25 for Largest Patch Index (LPI), 2.50 for Patch Density (PD), and 112 for Landscape Shape Index (LSI) between 2005 and 2020. In addition, the transfer matrix indicated that the loss of forestry areas was about −78.8 km<sup>2</sup> for agricultural land, −127.8 km<sup>2</sup> for bare land, and −65.3 km<sup>2</sup> for artificial surfaces. The most critical factors that influenced forested areas were agricultural and manufactural added value, rainfall (<i>p</i> < 0.05), slope, distance to the road, and agricultural sown area (<i>p</i> < 0.001). Overall, this investigation has revealed that the effective management of forested areas in the Thies region requires an understandable assessment. It was observed that both human anthropogenic and natural factors significantly contribute to the decline in forested areas. |
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language | English |
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spelling | doaj.art-91fe1c215ceb4d2dbcb80fe07829bbec2024-03-27T13:19:40ZengMDPI AGApplied Sciences2076-34172024-03-01146242710.3390/app14062427Lessons Learnt from the Influencing Factors of Forested Areas’ Vulnerability under Climatic Change and Human Pressure in Arid Areas: A Case Study of the Thiès Region, SenegalBonoua Faye0Guoming Du1Quanfeng Li2Hélène Véronique Marie Thérèse Faye3Jeanne Colette Diéne4Edmée Mbaye5Henri Marcel Seck6School of Public Administration and Law, Northeast Agricultural University, Harbin 150030, ChinaSchool of Public Administration and Law, Northeast Agricultural University, Harbin 150030, ChinaSchool of Public Administration and Law, Northeast Agricultural University, Harbin 150030, ChinaDepartment of Economics, Cheikh Hamidou Kane University, Dakar 15126, SenegalSchool of Economics and Management, Northeast Agricultural University, Harbin 150030, ChinaDepartment of Geography, Cheikh Anta Diop University, Dakar P.O. Box 5003, SenegalDepartment of Geography, UFR Sciences and Technologies, Assane Seck University, Ziguinchor P.O. Box 523, SenegalUnderstanding the factors influencing the vulnerability of forested areas is crucial for human well-being and effective governance of ecosystem supply and demand. Based on remote sensing data, this study also considered ten natural and human variables as indexes to explore the main influencing factors that may impact the vulnerability of the Thies region’s forested areas. The 2005, 2010, 2015, and 2020 satellite image data were processed using ArcGIS 10.6 and ENVI 5.1 software. The methodology includes using the transfer matrix approach and calculating the geographic landscape index to describe the dominant morphology of forested areas. Furthermore, a mixed linear regression model was built to establish the connection between forested areas and the potential contributing components. Our study revealed that the forested areas led to relative fragmentation, with an average of 88 patches for Aggregation Index (AI), 3.25 for Largest Patch Index (LPI), 2.50 for Patch Density (PD), and 112 for Landscape Shape Index (LSI) between 2005 and 2020. In addition, the transfer matrix indicated that the loss of forestry areas was about −78.8 km<sup>2</sup> for agricultural land, −127.8 km<sup>2</sup> for bare land, and −65.3 km<sup>2</sup> for artificial surfaces. The most critical factors that influenced forested areas were agricultural and manufactural added value, rainfall (<i>p</i> < 0.05), slope, distance to the road, and agricultural sown area (<i>p</i> < 0.001). Overall, this investigation has revealed that the effective management of forested areas in the Thies region requires an understandable assessment. It was observed that both human anthropogenic and natural factors significantly contribute to the decline in forested areas.https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3417/14/6/2427Thies, Senegalforested areasinfluencing factorsclimatic changearid area |
spellingShingle | Bonoua Faye Guoming Du Quanfeng Li Hélène Véronique Marie Thérèse Faye Jeanne Colette Diéne Edmée Mbaye Henri Marcel Seck Lessons Learnt from the Influencing Factors of Forested Areas’ Vulnerability under Climatic Change and Human Pressure in Arid Areas: A Case Study of the Thiès Region, Senegal Applied Sciences Thies, Senegal forested areas influencing factors climatic change arid area |
title | Lessons Learnt from the Influencing Factors of Forested Areas’ Vulnerability under Climatic Change and Human Pressure in Arid Areas: A Case Study of the Thiès Region, Senegal |
title_full | Lessons Learnt from the Influencing Factors of Forested Areas’ Vulnerability under Climatic Change and Human Pressure in Arid Areas: A Case Study of the Thiès Region, Senegal |
title_fullStr | Lessons Learnt from the Influencing Factors of Forested Areas’ Vulnerability under Climatic Change and Human Pressure in Arid Areas: A Case Study of the Thiès Region, Senegal |
title_full_unstemmed | Lessons Learnt from the Influencing Factors of Forested Areas’ Vulnerability under Climatic Change and Human Pressure in Arid Areas: A Case Study of the Thiès Region, Senegal |
title_short | Lessons Learnt from the Influencing Factors of Forested Areas’ Vulnerability under Climatic Change and Human Pressure in Arid Areas: A Case Study of the Thiès Region, Senegal |
title_sort | lessons learnt from the influencing factors of forested areas vulnerability under climatic change and human pressure in arid areas a case study of the thies region senegal |
topic | Thies, Senegal forested areas influencing factors climatic change arid area |
url | https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3417/14/6/2427 |
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