The Consistency of the CUSUM-Type Estimator of the Change-Point and Its Application

In this paper, we investigate the CUSUM-type estimator of mean change-point models based on <i>m</i>-asymptotically almost negatively associated (<i>m</i>-AANA) sequences. The family of <i>m</i>-AANA sequences contains AANA, NA, <i>m</i>-NA, and indepe...

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Main Authors: Saisai Ding, Xiaoqin Li, Xiang Dong, Wenzhi Yang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2020-11-01
Series:Mathematics
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7390/8/12/2113
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author Saisai Ding
Xiaoqin Li
Xiang Dong
Wenzhi Yang
author_facet Saisai Ding
Xiaoqin Li
Xiang Dong
Wenzhi Yang
author_sort Saisai Ding
collection DOAJ
description In this paper, we investigate the CUSUM-type estimator of mean change-point models based on <i>m</i>-asymptotically almost negatively associated (<i>m</i>-AANA) sequences. The family of <i>m</i>-AANA sequences contains AANA, NA, <i>m</i>-NA, and independent sequences as special cases. Under some weak conditions, some convergence rates are obtained such as <inline-formula><math display="inline"><semantics><mrow><msub><mi>O</mi><mi>P</mi></msub><mrow><mo>(</mo><msup><mi>n</mi><mrow><mn>1</mn><mo>/</mo><mi>p</mi><mo>−</mo><mn>1</mn></mrow></msup><mo>)</mo></mrow></mrow></semantics></math></inline-formula>, <inline-formula><math display="inline"><semantics><mrow><msub><mi>O</mi><mi>P</mi></msub><mrow><mo>(</mo><msup><mi>n</mi><mrow><mn>1</mn><mo>/</mo><mi>p</mi><mo>−</mo><mn>1</mn></mrow></msup><msup><mo form="prefix">log</mo><mrow><mn>1</mn><mo>/</mo><mi>p</mi></mrow></msup><mi>n</mi><mo>)</mo></mrow></mrow></semantics></math></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><math display="inline"><semantics><mrow><msub><mi>O</mi><mi>P</mi></msub><mrow><mo>(</mo><msup><mi>n</mi><mrow><mi>α</mi><mo>−</mo><mn>1</mn></mrow></msup><mo>)</mo></mrow></mrow></semantics></math></inline-formula>, where <inline-formula><math display="inline"><semantics><mrow><mn>0</mn><mo>≤</mo><mi>α</mi><mo><</mo><mn>1</mn></mrow></semantics></math></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><math display="inline"><semantics><mrow><mn>1</mn><mo><</mo><mi>p</mi><mo>≤</mo><mn>2</mn></mrow></semantics></math></inline-formula>. Our rates are better than the ones obtained by Kokoszka and Leipus (Stat. Probab. Lett., 1998, 40, 385–393). In order to illustrate our results, we do perform simulations based on <i>m</i>-AANA sequences. As important applications, we use the CUSUM-type estimator to do the change-point analysis based on three real data such as Quebec temperature, Nile flow, and stock returns for Tesla. Some potential applications to change-point models in finance and economics are also discussed in this paper.
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spelling doaj.art-92118311d2ac4d3e8917c6658ce4741a2023-11-20T22:23:36ZengMDPI AGMathematics2227-73902020-11-01812211310.3390/math8122113The Consistency of the CUSUM-Type Estimator of the Change-Point and Its ApplicationSaisai Ding0Xiaoqin Li1Xiang Dong2Wenzhi Yang3School of Mathematical Sciences, Anhui University, Hefei 230601, ChinaSchool of Mathematical Sciences, Anhui University, Hefei 230601, ChinaSchool of Life Sciences, Anhui University, Hefei 230601, ChinaSchool of Mathematical Sciences, Anhui University, Hefei 230601, ChinaIn this paper, we investigate the CUSUM-type estimator of mean change-point models based on <i>m</i>-asymptotically almost negatively associated (<i>m</i>-AANA) sequences. The family of <i>m</i>-AANA sequences contains AANA, NA, <i>m</i>-NA, and independent sequences as special cases. Under some weak conditions, some convergence rates are obtained such as <inline-formula><math display="inline"><semantics><mrow><msub><mi>O</mi><mi>P</mi></msub><mrow><mo>(</mo><msup><mi>n</mi><mrow><mn>1</mn><mo>/</mo><mi>p</mi><mo>−</mo><mn>1</mn></mrow></msup><mo>)</mo></mrow></mrow></semantics></math></inline-formula>, <inline-formula><math display="inline"><semantics><mrow><msub><mi>O</mi><mi>P</mi></msub><mrow><mo>(</mo><msup><mi>n</mi><mrow><mn>1</mn><mo>/</mo><mi>p</mi><mo>−</mo><mn>1</mn></mrow></msup><msup><mo form="prefix">log</mo><mrow><mn>1</mn><mo>/</mo><mi>p</mi></mrow></msup><mi>n</mi><mo>)</mo></mrow></mrow></semantics></math></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><math display="inline"><semantics><mrow><msub><mi>O</mi><mi>P</mi></msub><mrow><mo>(</mo><msup><mi>n</mi><mrow><mi>α</mi><mo>−</mo><mn>1</mn></mrow></msup><mo>)</mo></mrow></mrow></semantics></math></inline-formula>, where <inline-formula><math display="inline"><semantics><mrow><mn>0</mn><mo>≤</mo><mi>α</mi><mo><</mo><mn>1</mn></mrow></semantics></math></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><math display="inline"><semantics><mrow><mn>1</mn><mo><</mo><mi>p</mi><mo>≤</mo><mn>2</mn></mrow></semantics></math></inline-formula>. Our rates are better than the ones obtained by Kokoszka and Leipus (Stat. Probab. Lett., 1998, 40, 385–393). In order to illustrate our results, we do perform simulations based on <i>m</i>-AANA sequences. As important applications, we use the CUSUM-type estimator to do the change-point analysis based on three real data such as Quebec temperature, Nile flow, and stock returns for Tesla. Some potential applications to change-point models in finance and economics are also discussed in this paper.https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7390/8/12/2113CUSUM estimatorchange-pointfinancial time seriesnegatively associated sequences
spellingShingle Saisai Ding
Xiaoqin Li
Xiang Dong
Wenzhi Yang
The Consistency of the CUSUM-Type Estimator of the Change-Point and Its Application
Mathematics
CUSUM estimator
change-point
financial time series
negatively associated sequences
title The Consistency of the CUSUM-Type Estimator of the Change-Point and Its Application
title_full The Consistency of the CUSUM-Type Estimator of the Change-Point and Its Application
title_fullStr The Consistency of the CUSUM-Type Estimator of the Change-Point and Its Application
title_full_unstemmed The Consistency of the CUSUM-Type Estimator of the Change-Point and Its Application
title_short The Consistency of the CUSUM-Type Estimator of the Change-Point and Its Application
title_sort consistency of the cusum type estimator of the change point and its application
topic CUSUM estimator
change-point
financial time series
negatively associated sequences
url https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7390/8/12/2113
work_keys_str_mv AT saisaiding theconsistencyofthecusumtypeestimatorofthechangepointanditsapplication
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AT wenzhiyang theconsistencyofthecusumtypeestimatorofthechangepointanditsapplication
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