Lemthang Tsho glacial Lake outburst flood (GLOF) in Bhutan: cause and impact

Abstract Background The Hindu Kush Himalayan (HKH) region being seismically active and sensitive to climate change is prone to glacial lake outburst flood (GLOF). The Lemthang Tsho GLOF breached in the evening of 28 July 2015 innorth-western Bhutan is reminds of the looming threat, and stresses the...

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Main Authors: Deo Raj Gurung, Narendra Raj Khanal, Samjwal Ratna Bajracharya, Karma Tsering, Sharad Joshi, Phuntsho Tshering, Lalit Kumar Chhetri, Yeshey Lotay, Tashi Penjor
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: SpringerOpen 2017-06-01
Series:Geoenvironmental Disasters
Subjects:
Online Access:http://link.springer.com/article/10.1186/s40677-017-0080-2
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author Deo Raj Gurung
Narendra Raj Khanal
Samjwal Ratna Bajracharya
Karma Tsering
Sharad Joshi
Phuntsho Tshering
Lalit Kumar Chhetri
Yeshey Lotay
Tashi Penjor
author_facet Deo Raj Gurung
Narendra Raj Khanal
Samjwal Ratna Bajracharya
Karma Tsering
Sharad Joshi
Phuntsho Tshering
Lalit Kumar Chhetri
Yeshey Lotay
Tashi Penjor
author_sort Deo Raj Gurung
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Background The Hindu Kush Himalayan (HKH) region being seismically active and sensitive to climate change is prone to glacial lake outburst flood (GLOF). The Lemthang Tsho GLOF breached in the evening of 28 July 2015 innorth-western Bhutan is reminds of the looming threat, and stresses the need to have good risk management plan. The need to understand the physical processes in generating GLOF to is therefore imperative in order to effectively manage the associated risk. The paper therefore assesses the cause and impact of the Lemthang Tsho GLOF event using field and remote sensing data. Results The collapse of near vertical wall of supraglacial lake triggered by 2 days of incessant rainfall, opened up the englacial conduit resulting in emptying of interconnected supraglacial lakes into Lemthang Tsho. The5.1 magnitude earthquake epicentered 187 km to southeast in the Indian state of Assam in the morning (7:10 am Bhutan Standard Time) of the same day is unlikely to have played any role in triggering the event. The estimated volume of water unleased is 0.37 million m3, with peak discharge estimated to be ranging from 1253 to 1562 m3/s, and velocity of 7.14–7.57 m/s. The impact was minimal and confined up to 30 km downstream from the lake. The flood took lives of 4 horses, washed away 4 timber cantilever bridges, 148 pieces of timber, damaged 1 acre of land, and washed away 1 km of trail. The team also monitored 3 out of 25 identified critical glacial lakes and downgraded the risk of all 3 critical glacial lakes based on the finding. This brings the number of critical glacial lakes in Bhutan to 22. Conclusion The threat of GLOF still looms large in the Himalaya, particularly in view of impact of climate change and frequent seismic activities. There is a need for good risk management practices which starts fromidentification of critical glacial lakes, to prioritize in-depth investigation. As the present list of critical glacial lakes are largely based on inventory done over a decade based on topographic maps some of which datedback to 1960s, we need to revisit the critical glacial lakes and assess the risk considering recent changes. The new assessment needs to consider supraglacial lakes as one of the criteria in evaluating the GLOF risk, as highlighted by the Lemthang Tsho GLOF.
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spelling doaj.art-922947ac6f0446998b8c9934f0dce94c2022-12-22T00:51:38ZengSpringerOpenGeoenvironmental Disasters2197-86702017-06-014111310.1186/s40677-017-0080-2Lemthang Tsho glacial Lake outburst flood (GLOF) in Bhutan: cause and impactDeo Raj Gurung0Narendra Raj Khanal1Samjwal Ratna Bajracharya2Karma Tsering3Sharad Joshi4Phuntsho Tshering5Lalit Kumar Chhetri6Yeshey Lotay7Tashi Penjor8International Centre for Integrated Mountain DevelopmentInternational Centre for Integrated Mountain DevelopmentInternational Centre for Integrated Mountain DevelopmentNational Center for Hydrology and Meteorology, Royal Government of BhutanInternational Centre for Integrated Mountain DevelopmentNational Center for Hydrology and Meteorology, Royal Government of BhutanDepartment of Geology and Mines, Royal Government of BhutanDepartment of Disaster Management, Royal Government of BhutanDistrict Administration, Sarpang District, Royal Government of BhutanAbstract Background The Hindu Kush Himalayan (HKH) region being seismically active and sensitive to climate change is prone to glacial lake outburst flood (GLOF). The Lemthang Tsho GLOF breached in the evening of 28 July 2015 innorth-western Bhutan is reminds of the looming threat, and stresses the need to have good risk management plan. The need to understand the physical processes in generating GLOF to is therefore imperative in order to effectively manage the associated risk. The paper therefore assesses the cause and impact of the Lemthang Tsho GLOF event using field and remote sensing data. Results The collapse of near vertical wall of supraglacial lake triggered by 2 days of incessant rainfall, opened up the englacial conduit resulting in emptying of interconnected supraglacial lakes into Lemthang Tsho. The5.1 magnitude earthquake epicentered 187 km to southeast in the Indian state of Assam in the morning (7:10 am Bhutan Standard Time) of the same day is unlikely to have played any role in triggering the event. The estimated volume of water unleased is 0.37 million m3, with peak discharge estimated to be ranging from 1253 to 1562 m3/s, and velocity of 7.14–7.57 m/s. The impact was minimal and confined up to 30 km downstream from the lake. The flood took lives of 4 horses, washed away 4 timber cantilever bridges, 148 pieces of timber, damaged 1 acre of land, and washed away 1 km of trail. The team also monitored 3 out of 25 identified critical glacial lakes and downgraded the risk of all 3 critical glacial lakes based on the finding. This brings the number of critical glacial lakes in Bhutan to 22. Conclusion The threat of GLOF still looms large in the Himalaya, particularly in view of impact of climate change and frequent seismic activities. There is a need for good risk management practices which starts fromidentification of critical glacial lakes, to prioritize in-depth investigation. As the present list of critical glacial lakes are largely based on inventory done over a decade based on topographic maps some of which datedback to 1960s, we need to revisit the critical glacial lakes and assess the risk considering recent changes. The new assessment needs to consider supraglacial lakes as one of the criteria in evaluating the GLOF risk, as highlighted by the Lemthang Tsho GLOF.http://link.springer.com/article/10.1186/s40677-017-0080-2Glacial lakeGlofMountain hazardClimate changeNatural hazardBhutan
spellingShingle Deo Raj Gurung
Narendra Raj Khanal
Samjwal Ratna Bajracharya
Karma Tsering
Sharad Joshi
Phuntsho Tshering
Lalit Kumar Chhetri
Yeshey Lotay
Tashi Penjor
Lemthang Tsho glacial Lake outburst flood (GLOF) in Bhutan: cause and impact
Geoenvironmental Disasters
Glacial lake
Glof
Mountain hazard
Climate change
Natural hazard
Bhutan
title Lemthang Tsho glacial Lake outburst flood (GLOF) in Bhutan: cause and impact
title_full Lemthang Tsho glacial Lake outburst flood (GLOF) in Bhutan: cause and impact
title_fullStr Lemthang Tsho glacial Lake outburst flood (GLOF) in Bhutan: cause and impact
title_full_unstemmed Lemthang Tsho glacial Lake outburst flood (GLOF) in Bhutan: cause and impact
title_short Lemthang Tsho glacial Lake outburst flood (GLOF) in Bhutan: cause and impact
title_sort lemthang tsho glacial lake outburst flood glof in bhutan cause and impact
topic Glacial lake
Glof
Mountain hazard
Climate change
Natural hazard
Bhutan
url http://link.springer.com/article/10.1186/s40677-017-0080-2
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