Market interactions between agricultural commodities and the dry bulk shipping market

We investigate and quantify the relationship between agricultural commodities and ocean-going freight rates, using a weekly dataset from 2010 to 2019 and a Vector Error Correction Methodology. The results are firstly supportive of the view that vessel classes are highly interconnected, and secondly...

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Main Authors: Nektarios A. Michail, Kostis D. Melas
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2021-03-01
Series:Asian Journal of Shipping and Logistics
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2092521220300547
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author Nektarios A. Michail
Kostis D. Melas
author_facet Nektarios A. Michail
Kostis D. Melas
author_sort Nektarios A. Michail
collection DOAJ
description We investigate and quantify the relationship between agricultural commodities and ocean-going freight rates, using a weekly dataset from 2010 to 2019 and a Vector Error Correction Methodology. The results are firstly supportive of the view that vessel classes are highly interconnected, and secondly confirm that commodity prices can have a strong impact on freight rates across most vessel classes. For commodities in which no impact is registered on freight rates, the possibility of substitution effects exists. Furthermore, the results indicate that the markets in which these products trade can be a significant determinant of future freight rate movements. These findings can be particularly useful for agricultural businesses that are concerned with the transportation cost of their products and the ways that the latter can be mitigated.
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spelling doaj.art-92a0b7118930498f834d05bca87147a32022-12-21T23:20:25ZengElsevierAsian Journal of Shipping and Logistics2092-52122021-03-013717381Market interactions between agricultural commodities and the dry bulk shipping marketNektarios A. Michail0Kostis D. Melas1Economic Analysis and Research Department, Central Bank of Cyprus, School of Economics and Business, Cyprus University of Technology, Cyprus Centre for Business Research, Nicosia, CyprusFaculty of Business and Economics, Metropolitan College, Thessaloniki, Greece; Corresponding author at: Faculty of Business and Economics, Metropolitan College, 14, El. Venizelou, 546 24, Thessaloniki, Greece.We investigate and quantify the relationship between agricultural commodities and ocean-going freight rates, using a weekly dataset from 2010 to 2019 and a Vector Error Correction Methodology. The results are firstly supportive of the view that vessel classes are highly interconnected, and secondly confirm that commodity prices can have a strong impact on freight rates across most vessel classes. For commodities in which no impact is registered on freight rates, the possibility of substitution effects exists. Furthermore, the results indicate that the markets in which these products trade can be a significant determinant of future freight rate movements. These findings can be particularly useful for agricultural businesses that are concerned with the transportation cost of their products and the ways that the latter can be mitigated.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2092521220300547Agricultural commoditiesDry bulkShipping freight ratesCointegrationVariance decomposition
spellingShingle Nektarios A. Michail
Kostis D. Melas
Market interactions between agricultural commodities and the dry bulk shipping market
Asian Journal of Shipping and Logistics
Agricultural commodities
Dry bulk
Shipping freight rates
Cointegration
Variance decomposition
title Market interactions between agricultural commodities and the dry bulk shipping market
title_full Market interactions between agricultural commodities and the dry bulk shipping market
title_fullStr Market interactions between agricultural commodities and the dry bulk shipping market
title_full_unstemmed Market interactions between agricultural commodities and the dry bulk shipping market
title_short Market interactions between agricultural commodities and the dry bulk shipping market
title_sort market interactions between agricultural commodities and the dry bulk shipping market
topic Agricultural commodities
Dry bulk
Shipping freight rates
Cointegration
Variance decomposition
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2092521220300547
work_keys_str_mv AT nektariosamichail marketinteractionsbetweenagriculturalcommoditiesandthedrybulkshippingmarket
AT kostisdmelas marketinteractionsbetweenagriculturalcommoditiesandthedrybulkshippingmarket