Saudi Arabia’s Foreign Policy under MBS: decision unit change and its impacts towards Yemen and Syria

Abstract If Saudi Arabia’s regional strategy involves the containment of Iran’s proxies, why, under King Salman, did Saudi Arabia attack the Houthis in Yemen, but give up its attempt to overthrow Bashar al-Assad in Syria? I argue here that both decisions reflect Mohammed bin Salman’s willingness to...

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Main Author: José Antonio Lima
Format: Article
Language:Spanish
Published: Pontifícia Universidade Católica do Rio de Janeiro 2023-12-01
Series:Contexto Internacional
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0102-85292023000200200&tlng=en
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author José Antonio Lima
author_facet José Antonio Lima
author_sort José Antonio Lima
collection DOAJ
description Abstract If Saudi Arabia’s regional strategy involves the containment of Iran’s proxies, why, under King Salman, did Saudi Arabia attack the Houthis in Yemen, but give up its attempt to overthrow Bashar al-Assad in Syria? I argue here that both decisions reflect Mohammed bin Salman’s willingness to seek ‘heterodox’ solutions in foreign policy, a feature that guided Saudi foreign policy in the face of a changing decision-making unit in the Saudi regime. While MBS’s influence in the case of Yemen is more easily identified, in the case of Syria this is not so straightforward. The crown prince only acquired the ability to manoeuvre Saudi policy towards Syria after consolidating his power within the regime, in 2017, and, from there, he put in place measures that, in practice, facilitated a coexistence arrangement between Saudi Arabia and Russia. In both cases, the objective was to contain the perceived Iranian advances in a scenario of reduced appetite by the United States to provide security for Saudi Arabia. This conclusion is reached through the use of a Foreign Policy Analysis approach, more specifically, the analysis of the decision-making units, to broaden and deepen the observations made from a regime security perspective.
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spelling doaj.art-92dcc1b4200e430d882c31b5f18a57bc2023-12-26T08:27:12ZspaPontifícia Universidade Católica do Rio de JaneiroContexto Internacional1982-02402023-12-0145210.1590/s0102-8529.20234502e20220004Saudi Arabia’s Foreign Policy under MBS: decision unit change and its impacts towards Yemen and SyriaJosé Antonio Limahttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-0781-5793Abstract If Saudi Arabia’s regional strategy involves the containment of Iran’s proxies, why, under King Salman, did Saudi Arabia attack the Houthis in Yemen, but give up its attempt to overthrow Bashar al-Assad in Syria? I argue here that both decisions reflect Mohammed bin Salman’s willingness to seek ‘heterodox’ solutions in foreign policy, a feature that guided Saudi foreign policy in the face of a changing decision-making unit in the Saudi regime. While MBS’s influence in the case of Yemen is more easily identified, in the case of Syria this is not so straightforward. The crown prince only acquired the ability to manoeuvre Saudi policy towards Syria after consolidating his power within the regime, in 2017, and, from there, he put in place measures that, in practice, facilitated a coexistence arrangement between Saudi Arabia and Russia. In both cases, the objective was to contain the perceived Iranian advances in a scenario of reduced appetite by the United States to provide security for Saudi Arabia. This conclusion is reached through the use of a Foreign Policy Analysis approach, more specifically, the analysis of the decision-making units, to broaden and deepen the observations made from a regime security perspective.http://www.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0102-85292023000200200&tlng=enMiddle EastSaudi ArabiaMohammed bin Salmanforeign policyForeign Policy AnalysisYemenSyria
spellingShingle José Antonio Lima
Saudi Arabia’s Foreign Policy under MBS: decision unit change and its impacts towards Yemen and Syria
Contexto Internacional
Middle East
Saudi Arabia
Mohammed bin Salman
foreign policy
Foreign Policy Analysis
Yemen
Syria
title Saudi Arabia’s Foreign Policy under MBS: decision unit change and its impacts towards Yemen and Syria
title_full Saudi Arabia’s Foreign Policy under MBS: decision unit change and its impacts towards Yemen and Syria
title_fullStr Saudi Arabia’s Foreign Policy under MBS: decision unit change and its impacts towards Yemen and Syria
title_full_unstemmed Saudi Arabia’s Foreign Policy under MBS: decision unit change and its impacts towards Yemen and Syria
title_short Saudi Arabia’s Foreign Policy under MBS: decision unit change and its impacts towards Yemen and Syria
title_sort saudi arabia s foreign policy under mbs decision unit change and its impacts towards yemen and syria
topic Middle East
Saudi Arabia
Mohammed bin Salman
foreign policy
Foreign Policy Analysis
Yemen
Syria
url http://www.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0102-85292023000200200&tlng=en
work_keys_str_mv AT joseantoniolima saudiarabiasforeignpolicyundermbsdecisionunitchangeanditsimpactstowardsyemenandsyria