The assessment of the uncertainty of updated stand-level inventory data

Predictions of growth and yield are essential in forest management planning. Growth predictions are usually obtained by applying complex simulation systems, whose accuracy is difficult to assess. Moreover, the computerised updating of old inventory data is increasing in the management of forest...

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Main Authors: Haara, Arto, Leskinen, Pekka
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Finnish Society of Forest Science 2009-01-01
Series:Silva Fennica
Online Access:https://www.silvafennica.fi/article/219
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author Haara, Arto
Leskinen, Pekka
author_facet Haara, Arto
Leskinen, Pekka
author_sort Haara, Arto
collection DOAJ
description Predictions of growth and yield are essential in forest management planning. Growth predictions are usually obtained by applying complex simulation systems, whose accuracy is difficult to assess. Moreover, the computerised updating of old inventory data is increasing in the management of forest planning systems. A common characteristic of prediction models is that the uncertainties involved are usually not considered in the decision-making process. In this paper, two methods for assessing the uncertainty of updated forest inventory data were studied. The considered methods were (i) the models of observed errors and (ii) the k-nearest neighbour method. The derived assessments of uncertainty were compared with the empirical estimates of uncertainty. The practical utilisation of both methods was considered as well. The uncertainty assessments of updated stand-level inventory data using both methods were found to be feasible. The main advantages of the two studied methods include that bias as well as accuracy can be assessed.
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spelling doaj.art-92f0c4ad89014412aab013fe011d0e7b2022-12-22T02:59:37ZengFinnish Society of Forest ScienceSilva Fennica2242-40752009-01-0143110.14214/sf.219The assessment of the uncertainty of updated stand-level inventory dataHaara, ArtoLeskinen, PekkaPredictions of growth and yield are essential in forest management planning. Growth predictions are usually obtained by applying complex simulation systems, whose accuracy is difficult to assess. Moreover, the computerised updating of old inventory data is increasing in the management of forest planning systems. A common characteristic of prediction models is that the uncertainties involved are usually not considered in the decision-making process. In this paper, two methods for assessing the uncertainty of updated forest inventory data were studied. The considered methods were (i) the models of observed errors and (ii) the k-nearest neighbour method. The derived assessments of uncertainty were compared with the empirical estimates of uncertainty. The practical utilisation of both methods was considered as well. The uncertainty assessments of updated stand-level inventory data using both methods were found to be feasible. The main advantages of the two studied methods include that bias as well as accuracy can be assessed.https://www.silvafennica.fi/article/219
spellingShingle Haara, Arto
Leskinen, Pekka
The assessment of the uncertainty of updated stand-level inventory data
Silva Fennica
title The assessment of the uncertainty of updated stand-level inventory data
title_full The assessment of the uncertainty of updated stand-level inventory data
title_fullStr The assessment of the uncertainty of updated stand-level inventory data
title_full_unstemmed The assessment of the uncertainty of updated stand-level inventory data
title_short The assessment of the uncertainty of updated stand-level inventory data
title_sort assessment of the uncertainty of updated stand level inventory data
url https://www.silvafennica.fi/article/219
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