Regional economic growth and unemployment in the European Union – a spatio-temporal analysis at the NUTS-2 level (2013–2019)

The study aims to verify the relationship between the unemployment rate and economic growth in European Union (EU) regions. As the most important macroeconomic relationship, the significance of the dependence between the labour market situation and the output growth is widely known and considered. A...

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Main Author: Mateusz Jankiewicz
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Research Centre for Astronomy and Earth Sciences, Hungarian Academy of Sciences 2023-06-01
Series:Hungarian Geographical Bulletin
Subjects:
Online Access:https://ojs.mtak.hu/index.php/hungeobull/article/view/9035
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author Mateusz Jankiewicz
author_facet Mateusz Jankiewicz
author_sort Mateusz Jankiewicz
collection DOAJ
description The study aims to verify the relationship between the unemployment rate and economic growth in European Union (EU) regions. As the most important macroeconomic relationship, the significance of the dependence between the labour market situation and the output growth is widely known and considered. Analysis in this research was conducted using data for 229 EU regions on the NUTS-2 level in the years 2013–2019. In order to verify the relationship between the unemployment rate and the output growth, the spatio-temporal models for pooled time series and cross-sectional data (TSCS) were estimated. The Fitted Trend and Elasticity Method of verifying Okun’s law was used in the analysis, wherein the deterministic trend factor was enriched with the spatial element. Educational attainment as the additional explanatory variable was included in the models. The neighbourhood between regions was quantified based on two criteria: (1) common border criterion – related to the possibility of population migrations, and (2) similarity of the unemployment rate criterion – related to the imitation effect in the issue of introduced rules and regulations on the labour market by regional governments. One of the hypotheses verified in the investigation is the superiority of the economic neighbourhood over the geographical neighbourhood.
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spelling doaj.art-92f278ef850c46dcb43a98c05f8f86e52023-06-30T12:06:24ZengResearch Centre for Astronomy and Earth Sciences, Hungarian Academy of SciencesHungarian Geographical Bulletin2064-50312064-51472023-06-0172217919210.15201/hungeobull.72.2.69035Regional economic growth and unemployment in the European Union – a spatio-temporal analysis at the NUTS-2 level (2013–2019)Mateusz Jankiewicz0Department of Applied Informatics and Mathematics in Economics, Faculty of Economic Sciences and Management, Nicolaus Copernicus University in Toruń, Toruń, PolandThe study aims to verify the relationship between the unemployment rate and economic growth in European Union (EU) regions. As the most important macroeconomic relationship, the significance of the dependence between the labour market situation and the output growth is widely known and considered. Analysis in this research was conducted using data for 229 EU regions on the NUTS-2 level in the years 2013–2019. In order to verify the relationship between the unemployment rate and the output growth, the spatio-temporal models for pooled time series and cross-sectional data (TSCS) were estimated. The Fitted Trend and Elasticity Method of verifying Okun’s law was used in the analysis, wherein the deterministic trend factor was enriched with the spatial element. Educational attainment as the additional explanatory variable was included in the models. The neighbourhood between regions was quantified based on two criteria: (1) common border criterion – related to the possibility of population migrations, and (2) similarity of the unemployment rate criterion – related to the imitation effect in the issue of introduced rules and regulations on the labour market by regional governments. One of the hypotheses verified in the investigation is the superiority of the economic neighbourhood over the geographical neighbourhood.https://ojs.mtak.hu/index.php/hungeobull/article/view/9035economic growtheuropean unionokun’s lawspatio-temporal modelsunemployment rate
spellingShingle Mateusz Jankiewicz
Regional economic growth and unemployment in the European Union – a spatio-temporal analysis at the NUTS-2 level (2013–2019)
Hungarian Geographical Bulletin
economic growth
european union
okun’s law
spatio-temporal models
unemployment rate
title Regional economic growth and unemployment in the European Union – a spatio-temporal analysis at the NUTS-2 level (2013–2019)
title_full Regional economic growth and unemployment in the European Union – a spatio-temporal analysis at the NUTS-2 level (2013–2019)
title_fullStr Regional economic growth and unemployment in the European Union – a spatio-temporal analysis at the NUTS-2 level (2013–2019)
title_full_unstemmed Regional economic growth and unemployment in the European Union – a spatio-temporal analysis at the NUTS-2 level (2013–2019)
title_short Regional economic growth and unemployment in the European Union – a spatio-temporal analysis at the NUTS-2 level (2013–2019)
title_sort regional economic growth and unemployment in the european union a spatio temporal analysis at the nuts 2 level 2013 2019
topic economic growth
european union
okun’s law
spatio-temporal models
unemployment rate
url https://ojs.mtak.hu/index.php/hungeobull/article/view/9035
work_keys_str_mv AT mateuszjankiewicz regionaleconomicgrowthandunemploymentintheeuropeanunionaspatiotemporalanalysisatthenuts2level20132019