Designing Attraction of Intervention Matrix (AIM) (Case study of interventionist actors in Syria)
Actor analysis is one of the most important methods in futures studies, actor analysis has a special status independently and with combination to other methods especially with scenario planning methods. Aim of this article is to design an actor analysis model based on stakeholders’ analysis models i...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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Command and Staff University
2018-02-01
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| Series: | آیندهپژوهی دفاعی |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | http://www.dfsr.ir/article_33781_d25e1a0fa6f11e1fadc461445b9d13f6.pdf |
| _version_ | 1811161268189396992 |
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| author | Mohammad Amin Ghalambor Seyed Mohammad Moghimi Seyed Mahmoud Hoseini Fatemeh Saghafi |
| author_facet | Mohammad Amin Ghalambor Seyed Mohammad Moghimi Seyed Mahmoud Hoseini Fatemeh Saghafi |
| author_sort | Mohammad Amin Ghalambor |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Actor analysis is one of the most important methods in futures studies, actor analysis has a special status independently and with combination to other methods especially with scenario planning methods. Aim of this article is to design an actor analysis model based on stakeholders’ analysis models in management fields and specific actor analysis models in futures studies filed, in order to develop this model main factors from current models were discovered then the mentioned model was developed according to confirmed factors. Research methodology was based on Lynham’s methodology and data were collected from current theory and 14 expert's opinion which gathered from individual interview and expert panel. Results lead us to design attraction of intervention matrix (AIM) based on four index, power, type, tendency and time of actor intervention. This matrix categorizes actors into 5 area contain invaders, defenders, allies, merchants and hesitant and gain capability of actor analysis and strategy development. Attraction of intervention matrix was applied in Syria case in order to peruse capability of model in a real case, in order to rank actors, we used 5 methods including Simple Additive Method, Linear Assignment Method, TOPSIS, Taxonomy and Friedman test and utilized Copland methods to merge outcomes. Eventually results reveled in attraction of intervention matrix and 7 key actors including 5 allies (with positive strong power and continually intervention) and 2 invaders (with negative strong power and continually intervention) were marked and other actors were in groups with weaker power and delay in intervention. |
| first_indexed | 2024-04-10T06:11:56Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-93006f1b53794b1b9825b54b14437ad2 |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 2588-428X 2645-7172 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-04-10T06:11:56Z |
| publishDate | 2018-02-01 |
| publisher | Command and Staff University |
| record_format | Article |
| series | آیندهپژوهی دفاعی |
| spelling | doaj.art-93006f1b53794b1b9825b54b14437ad22023-03-02T12:24:59ZengCommand and Staff Universityآیندهپژوهی دفاعی2588-428X2645-71722018-02-0127557533781Designing Attraction of Intervention Matrix (AIM) (Case study of interventionist actors in Syria)Mohammad Amin Ghalambor0Seyed Mohammad Moghimi1Seyed Mahmoud Hoseini2Fatemeh Saghafi3Ph.D. Student of Futures Studies, University of TehranFutures Studies, Faculty of Management, University of Tehran, Tehran, IranAssociate Professor, Department of Management and Accounting, University of Shahid BeheshtiAssociate Professor, Department of Management and Accounting, University of TehranActor analysis is one of the most important methods in futures studies, actor analysis has a special status independently and with combination to other methods especially with scenario planning methods. Aim of this article is to design an actor analysis model based on stakeholders’ analysis models in management fields and specific actor analysis models in futures studies filed, in order to develop this model main factors from current models were discovered then the mentioned model was developed according to confirmed factors. Research methodology was based on Lynham’s methodology and data were collected from current theory and 14 expert's opinion which gathered from individual interview and expert panel. Results lead us to design attraction of intervention matrix (AIM) based on four index, power, type, tendency and time of actor intervention. This matrix categorizes actors into 5 area contain invaders, defenders, allies, merchants and hesitant and gain capability of actor analysis and strategy development. Attraction of intervention matrix was applied in Syria case in order to peruse capability of model in a real case, in order to rank actors, we used 5 methods including Simple Additive Method, Linear Assignment Method, TOPSIS, Taxonomy and Friedman test and utilized Copland methods to merge outcomes. Eventually results reveled in attraction of intervention matrix and 7 key actors including 5 allies (with positive strong power and continually intervention) and 2 invaders (with negative strong power and continually intervention) were marked and other actors were in groups with weaker power and delay in intervention.http://www.dfsr.ir/article_33781_d25e1a0fa6f11e1fadc461445b9d13f6.pdfactor analysisfutures studiesmulti-level scenario planningstakeholders’ analysisattraction of intervention matrix (aim) |
| spellingShingle | Mohammad Amin Ghalambor Seyed Mohammad Moghimi Seyed Mahmoud Hoseini Fatemeh Saghafi Designing Attraction of Intervention Matrix (AIM) (Case study of interventionist actors in Syria) آیندهپژوهی دفاعی actor analysis futures studies multi-level scenario planning stakeholders’ analysis attraction of intervention matrix (aim) |
| title | Designing Attraction of Intervention Matrix (AIM)
(Case study of interventionist actors in Syria) |
| title_full | Designing Attraction of Intervention Matrix (AIM)
(Case study of interventionist actors in Syria) |
| title_fullStr | Designing Attraction of Intervention Matrix (AIM)
(Case study of interventionist actors in Syria) |
| title_full_unstemmed | Designing Attraction of Intervention Matrix (AIM)
(Case study of interventionist actors in Syria) |
| title_short | Designing Attraction of Intervention Matrix (AIM)
(Case study of interventionist actors in Syria) |
| title_sort | designing attraction of intervention matrix aim case study of interventionist actors in syria |
| topic | actor analysis futures studies multi-level scenario planning stakeholders’ analysis attraction of intervention matrix (aim) |
| url | http://www.dfsr.ir/article_33781_d25e1a0fa6f11e1fadc461445b9d13f6.pdf |
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